ski MRG Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Going to be a close call, Def issues east, Low Just SE of the cape around 984 ish @96 Logan 11 has been calling for a coastal hugger since mid-week. Looks like he was onto something. Looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Dead on with 00z. Maybe a smidge colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Dead on with 00z. Maybe a smidge colder. Should we pronounce the Euro King again and trust it?lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Keep in mind the Euro's propensity this season to over do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Through 114hr 1.00" line GON-BOS 0.50" line AQW-IZG-BGR 0.25" line RUT-BML-MLT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Dead on with 00z. Maybe a smidge colder. Best of all, Well hopefully this time around, We are inside 100 hrs..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Should we pronounce the Euro King again and trust it?lol Its looking to recalim its throne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Keep in mind the Euro's propensity this season to over do it. Just having it basically with the same solution 2 runs in a row is a major coup..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 JB says BOS and the cape change to rain on Wed.. I doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Its looking to recalim its throne Like a true addict, the more snow I get the more I want. I would like to see a bomb that encompasses all of NE , north to south, east to west. (East can mix if it means the mountains get blasted.)lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 JB says BOS and the cape change to rain on Wed.. I doubt it I don't. I think this stays tucked in close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 JB says BOS and the cape change to rain on Wed.. I doubt it With the track right now, We would need a further west shift and both of those places to change to rain to get decent snow up here and in NH/VT.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I don't. I think this stays tucked in close. Euro current track and 0Z (this being almost dead on) is all snow and not tucked in so close. Why would it tuck? Give me some met reasoning besides your own by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confuzzled Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 GFS in usual OTS mode...Euro/GGEM/Gapper/Ensembles big hits. laaaaaa laaaaa lock GGEm looks outside the BM to me in today's run. Last night all the models were looking good especially the Euro. Today it looks like the 12z GFS, GGEM and UKIE are trending eastward. Still waiting on the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The problem is verbatium on ths run is once the low makes it just SE of the cape, Its starts to track NE away with the low passing east of Nova Scotia pulling the precip field east away from the maine coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro takes the low from 40/70.5 to 42/67.8 or so....just about a perfect snow track for Boston. Euro does keep 2m AOB freezing throughout as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro takes the low from 40/70.5 to 42/67.8 or so....just about a perfect snow track for Boston. Euro does keep 2m AOB freezing throughout as well. That's a porno track Jerry...your winter forecast for BOS is looking pretty good right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 With the track right now, We would need a further west shift and both of those places to change to rain to get decent snow up here and in NH/VT.... Like I said earlier, I desire a track over the canal and into the GOM. I'm looking for big snows ... been on the outside looking in all winter and half of last as well. Getting awful dang close to Doc's traditional Lock It Up time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 980mb in the GOM... does it actually make it into the GOM? looks to me on free maps it moves from just SE of cape, ENE to south of Cape Breton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Someone let us know if the Euro got rid of the torch it had for days 8-10 on last nite's run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 GGEm looks outside the BM to me in today's run. Last night all the models were looking good especially the Euro. Today it looks like the 12z GFS, GGEM and UKIE are trending eastward. Still waiting on the Euro... Euro is just as good. Also, today's GFS was outstanding if you look at the ensembles which are far more robust vs the op. Didn't see crazy uncle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro current track and 0Z (this being almost dead on) is all snow and not tucked in so close. Why would it tuck? Give me some met reasoning besides your own by. If H5 closes off a hair more west it could, but you're looking pretty good right now. I think NNE is going to have to hope for more deform delight again (which isn't necessarily a bad thing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 does it actually make it into the GOM? looks to me on free maps it moves from just SE of cape, ENE to south of Cape Breton? No, Just it takes a jump east of it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Someone let us know if the Euro got rid of the torch it had for days 8-10 on last nite's run Its out to 174hrs and it is still cold.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Euro current track and 0Z (this being almost dead on) is all snow and not tucked in so close. Why would it tuck? Give me some met reasoning besides your own by. Haven't the ensembles been consistently NW of the Op for the last few runs? With each Op run coming a little NW of the last? With over 100 hrs to go if this were to continue..... Also a weakening block? In addition, a number of people, much more astute than I, have expressed a feeling that this could in fact hug. Logan 11 for one and I think that Scott (coastalwx) has said similar things. You're right though, my biggest reasoning is it would benefit mby.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Someone let us know if the Euro got rid of the torch it had for days 8-10 on last nite's run Torch is canceled.....AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Every single member more robust in qpf vs the op... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Haven't the ensembles been consistently NW of the Op for the last few runs? With each Op run coming a little NW of the last? With over 100 hrs to go if this were to continue..... Also a weakening block? In addition, a number of people, much more astute than I, have expressed a feeling that this could in fact hug. Logan 11 for one and I think that Scott (coastalwx) has said similar things. You're right though, my biggest reasoning is it would benefit mby.lol On the GFS. And psst....the Euro OP run if anything is a hair east of 0Z if not dead on. I'll post some straws but can't find the pics. Either way...your by will find a way to get good snows. edit: Looks like last night's Euro ensembles were similar but a bit further east of op. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Its out to 174hrs and it is still cold.......... 186 is much colder and looking SWFEish. You can sorta see the subtle ridging hint in the isobars in NH/ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Haven't the ensembles been consistently NW of the Op for the last few runs? With each Op run coming a little NW of the last? With over 100 hrs to go if this were to continue..... Also a weakening block? In addition, a number of people, much more astute than I, have expressed a feeling that this could in fact hug. Logan 11 for one and I think that Scott (coastalwx) has said similar things. You're right though, my biggest reasoning is it would benefit mby.lol Those are all valid points as far as I'm concerned.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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