ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Yeah looks nice. Seems like a little orographics over the ORH hills. Yeah this run is the opposite of the NAM for my area...I'm getting a mini jackpot after getting shafted on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The GFS cant make up its mind either. Shocking to me really that we are seeing such big moves. Look at the 12z 66hr vs the 18z 60 and the 0z 54. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 SNH up to about Brian getting decent snow at 66h....still in SNE N of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The GFS cant make up its mind either. Shocking to me really that we are seeing such big moves. Look at the 12z 66hr vs the 18z 60 and the 0z 54. Crazy. Instills confidence of a significant snow throughout the majority of ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I was expecting more out of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 SNH up to about Brian getting decent snow at 66h....still in SNE N of the pike. GFS QPF map is going to look somewhat similar to the SREF, it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The convergence zone pretty much rots over my house at 72hr. Looks like a S VT/Monads jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 DT maps out. He loves south of Bos to Hartford and then hooking up into extreme sw mass and well up into nys. south of that line 4-7 8-12 and possible bullseye of 16 nw of nyc. 1-3 norht of that line. map on storm visat or wxrisk facebook http://www.stormvista.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=6621 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I was expecting more out of the GFS. It cut back over some of ern areas...but it could be the ebb and flow of these events. It also could trend to a ne mass thing too...up through sw ME. It's just too early to figure out. It still looks pretty good to me at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 GFS QPF map is going to look somewhat similar to the SREF, it seems. Yeah it does look similar...except the SREF jackpotted E MA and SE NH...this one will probably be N ORH hills/Monads over to N Berks and S VT. But people should understand this is going to change almost every run....48+ hours out for this type of event is an eternity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The convergence zone pretty much rots over my house at 72hr. Looks like a S VT/Monads jackpot. Those work out well for me and MoneyPit. Have not seen one here since 07/08 (aside from the higher elevations late last Feb.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 It cut back over some of ern areas...but it could be the ebb and flow of these events. It also could trend to a ne mass thing too...up through sw ME. It's just too early to figure out. It still looks pretty good to me at H5. Yeah definitely. I was just hoping it would start showing some semblance of a low in the GOM, like how the 0z NAM depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Add in the E MA OES that the GFS won't model well and it's pretty much a universal 3-6/4-8. Funny how the GFS decides to keep the inv trof slowly progressive without stalling it out over NYC/S Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 It cut back over some of ern areas...but it could be the ebb and flow of these events. It also could trend to a ne mass thing too...up through sw ME. It's just too early to figure out. It still looks pretty good to me at H5. The lack of mesoscale details shows well on a global model,, Will be an interesting dilemma for the city that never sleeps casters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 5-8'' over 2.5 days...ambiance snow that still amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 Yeah definitely. I was just hoping it would start showing some semblance of a low in the GOM, like how the 0z NAM depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 GFS totals for archive purposes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Instills confidence of a significant snow throughout the majority of ne. It's tracking the 8h/7h lows further north instead of them running out just under the coast it's along the Pike up towards the MA border. Probably the minor difference in some SREF members too. It's also quite a bit faster than the 12z in crossing our area until it gets out over the GOM. Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Add in the E MA OES that the GFS won't model well and it's pretty much a universal 3-6/4-8. Funny how the GFS decides to keep the inv trof slowly progressive without stalling it out over NYC/S Coast. The lack of mesoscale details shows well on a global model,, Will be an interesting dilemma for the city that never sleeps casters. Yeah those are pretty cold thicknesses with erly flow underneath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 ... Just noticed it on later panels. Seems a bit late with it, compared to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 http://www.stormvista.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=6621 Again most people are not members there, public face book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Yeah it does look similar...except the SREF jackpotted E MA and SE NH...this one will probably be N ORH hills/Monads over to N Berks and S VT. But people should understand this is going to change almost every run....48+ hours out for this type of event is an eternity. Truth might be somewhere in the middle of the gfs and nam. I think there's pieces to each run that are valid. Who knows...should be a fun next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Add in the E MA OES that the GFS won't model well and it's pretty much a universal 3-6/4-8. Funny how the GFS decides to keep the inv trof slowly progressive without stalling it out over NYC/S Coast. It looks pretty similar to the 12z Euro in that regard. It swings the action up into our area fairly quickly and then rots there for 24-30 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 GFS totals for archive purposes It's actually pretty consisent in terms of the 18z...just doesn't have the clown bullseye. Axis is similar though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 Asswipe Since he is no longer a member here, I won't post the graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 00z Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Yeah those are pretty cold thicknesses with erly flow underneath. This is the kind of deal where ocean enhancement will be felt well inland...perhaps even better than right at the shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 CRAZY UNCLE FTW!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Wow, Ukie looks good...keeping in mind we are missing 6 hourly amounts at 54h and 66h...and almost certainly still snowing after 72h too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 RGEM is somewhere between the NAM and GFS. Not as intense as the NAM though for sure with that feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.