Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 If we can get this backside energy to capture/slow down that s/w as it exits the Carolina coast that will slow the progression of the SLP E and SE MA and CC may get clipped. NAM is almost doing that and the RGEM looks to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I think a lot of us saw the potential for LP forming off the Delmarva when a potent 5 H approaches the coast its pretty common,, models clueing in finally but so far too late for any real impact, do not get your hopes up, this could in fact screw everyone Its the same low that models were trying to turn into a blizzard a few days ago. It likely goes OTS, but maybe we can get lucky with it coming far enough west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 GFS smokes NW CT and the Berkshires at 24h. That's a pretty nice shield of precip moving across Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 GFS smokes NW CT and the Berkshires at 24h. Looks worse to me than previous runs. 30hr is paltry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i don't have either...hahahahha! Fantasy balls? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Looks worse to me than previous runs. 30hr is paltry. Weird...I'm getting different amounts from different sites. Allan's images look more robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Looks worse to me than previous runs. 30hr is paltry. Its more robust out there I think than 18z was...it might be worse for those of us further northeast though. I'm not sure yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Its the same low that models were trying to turn into a blizzard a few days ago. It likely goes OTS, but maybe we can get lucky with it coming far enough west. Yep, hoping for the full circle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Its more robust out there I think than 18z was...it might be worse for those of us further northeast though. I'm not sure yet. I just realized QPF hadn't loaded on the images I'm using yet even though the rest of the sfc data was plotted. I should weenie tag myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Its more robust out there I think than 18z was...it might be worse for those of us further northeast though. I'm not sure yet. Nice southeast 850 wind burst beefing that up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I just realized QPF hadn't loaded on the images I'm using yet even though the rest of the sfc data was plotted. I should weenie tag myself. Allan's site is a bit more robust looking than NCEP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Some weird shi) going on by 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Nice southeast 850 wind burst beefing that up Yeah its got like 35 knots from the SE at 850 over N CT...combine that with easterly sfc flow...someone might get a little surprise in the hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 BINGO we have BINGO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 BINGO we have BINGO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Some weird shi) going on by 36 hours. Yeah, the SLP looks to be escaping E when it looks like it should be heading more NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 That may be worth a 21 bun salute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yeah its got like 35 knots from the SE at 850 over N CT...combine that with easterly sfc flow...someone might get a little surprise in the hills. seeing .25" totals on an inverted trough over hilly terrain on a global model is good enough to think low end warning is still a reasonable possibility for someone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 wonder if any enhancement will set up over NW RI ORH Wa wa area ? looks like west of MPM gets slammed ....prob. just west of pete as well....who is the met over in lenox.....he'll prob. get a 8inches of powder in 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i think we need restraints...and a tranquilizer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yeah, the SLP looks to be escaping E when it looks like it should be heading more NE. NYC/NJ getting pelted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 BINGO we have BINGO You mean with lp tracking a hundred miles se of the bm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Congrats E MA at 54hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 E MA getting it good at 54h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 E MA getting it good at 54h Norlun part two? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 I got BINGO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Norlun part two? Lol Yeah low tries to escape east but inverted trough ripped back west for round 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 seeing .25" totals on an inverted trough over hilly terrain on a global model is good enough to think low end warning is still a reasonable possibility for someone Red flag fur sah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 This is similar to yesterday's 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yeah low tries to escape east but inverted trough ripped back west for round 2. Inverted perverted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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