Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Donnie Baseball KU coming fellas, where and when? AO plunge WOW 4. After mid-month, severe cold should reach the East Coast, possibly preceded by a storm. At least one day of single digit lows is likely in such cities as Philadelphia and New York City. The last time the temperature fell below 10°F in either city was January 17, 2009 when the temperature fell to 6°F in both New York City and Philadelphia. 5. The great AO- regime that is currently underway will persist through at least the first 20 days of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Donnie Baseball KU coming fellas, where and when? AO plunge WOW 4. After mid-month, severe cold should reach the East Coast, possibly preceded by a storm. At least one day of single digit lows is likely in such cities as Philadelphia and New York City. The last time the temperature fell below 10°F in either city was January 17, 2009 when the temperature fell to 6°F in both New York City and Philadelphia. 5. The great AO- regime that is currently underway will persist through at least the first 20 days of the month. I have a meeting in FL ...leaving BOS 1/18 returning 1/20. The storm probably hits 1/19....though 1/18 early would be perfect as I'd be forced into not going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Rather refreshing being away from model guidance all day. Reviewing 12z and 18z runs now during the down time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Rather refreshing being away from model guidance all day. Reviewing 12z and 18z runs now during the down time I haven't been micro analyzing this thing all day like I normally do. I basically said screw it until tonight's model runs because these events are tough to pin down until the last second. I have a general 2-4" forecast out and I'm sure someone will get a lolli of 6" or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Rather refreshing being away from model guidance all day. Reviewing 12z and 18z runs now during the down time It's been rather refreshing for me to put way less emotional investment in this event than the post Xmas storm. I'm good with whatever we get up here in the NW quadrant. It is nice to see WSW for all of Franklin Co. and well N into VT it shows that both Alb and Bos offices have some confidence in decent snow for these parts. Still clear, starry sky here which has let us radiate down to 19/13 already. Hoping for some good ratios with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I have a meeting in FL ...leaving BOS 1/18 returning 1/20. The storm probably hits 1/19....though 1/18 early would be perfect as I'd be forced into not going... Models want a swfe or a Hudson Valley special on that day. That seems like it could be our only "borderline" storm, as far as ptype goes..for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Models want a swfe or a Hudson Valley special on that day. That seems like it could be our only "borderline" storm, as far as ptype goes..for a while. I mentioned in the other thread but damn that has ice written on it, obviously way off but whole NA has that cold look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I was thinking that, haha... I've only been able to check once every 24 hours and each day I come back there's another 25 pages of posts... so each day I think something big happened on the models but alas, nope. We just dying for something to talk about, lol. And as I say that, this post is just adding to the many, many posts of nothingness, haha. Someone in SNE sees 6" no problem in high ratio snowband. I think MRG and MPM take this one to the bank. LOL. I think I'll do quite well here relatively speaking. 6-10" , If stars come into complete alignment perhaps better. MPM won't fair so well as his consistent lack of faith will undoubtedly have angered ULLR and he'll struggle to get his low ball estimate of 4". Self-fulfilling prophecy type of thing. Hope you're enjoying Utah. When do you return? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I have a meeting in FL ...leaving BOS 1/18 returning 1/20. The storm probably hits 1/19....though 1/18 early would be perfect as I'd be forced into not going... Youll be back for it Jerry. I'm in Jamaica the 18th - 21th. it'll hit then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 SREF 24hr QPF centered on the same time, last 4 runs from oldest to newest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Heading for single digits here now 11/6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 low level clouds rolling in from the ese now off the sound, radar returns blossoming across eastern li and se ct, looks as though some convergence its starting to take shape, let meso mania begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 low level clouds rolling in from the ese now off the sound, radar returns blossoming across eastern li and se ct, looks as though some convergence its starting to take shape, let meso mania begin. Craig Allen on FB has the Scooter JR idea in the back of his head, Great Met The more the main weather models we use deprive this upcoming system of moisture (and therefore reduces potential snow amounts) the more I'm getting concerned about it getting bigger. Sometimes, there are obscure but better tools to use. After this evening's broadcasts on 880, I'll try to write up some of these concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well at the very least, this should be interesting to watch from a mesoscale perspective. Someone will get lucky....we just don't know who yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 LOL. I think I'll do quite well here relatively speaking. 6-10" , If stars come into complete alignment perhaps better. MPM won't fair so well as his consistent lack of faith will undoubtedly have angered ULLR and he'll struggle to get his low ball estimate of 4". Self-fulfilling prophecy type of thing. Hope you're enjoying Utah. When do you return? You guys look to be in good shape. And what the hell is the ULLR?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Look at that snow blossoming SE to NW over Se CT... Beginning of the Norlun?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well at the very least, this should be interesting to watch from a mesoscale perspective. Someone will get lucky....we just don't know who yet. I'm looking forward to see how it evolves tomorrow...even if I end up with an inch. Despite how unpredictable they can be, I feel like there is always a little something we can take away from the event.....something to put in the back of our heads for the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Craig Allen on FB has the Scooter JR idea in the back of his head, Great Met The more the main weather models we use deprive this upcoming system of moisture (and therefore reduces potential snow amounts) the more I'm getting concerned about it getting bigger. Sometimes, there are obscure but better tools to use. After this evening's broadcasts on 880, I'll try to write up some of these concerns. I would imagine most mets and weather enthusiasts will be looking at hi res models this evening and during the day tormorrow to see where banding will set up. Craig Allen is God as far as I am concerned, listen to him everyday on cbs 880.. This event tonight over eastern li and se ct is well modeled and discussed at length by okx. Im just looking forward to the pit tom nite with feathery dendrites cascading down from the gods, should be a perfect night, not too cold, not much wind............perfect for the kids and adults. 26 mostly cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 You guys look to be in good shape. And what the hell is the ULLR?? Ullr = the Norse god of skiing/snow. Expert with the bow and arrow as well. It seems my sacrifices will pay off again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Look at that snow blossoming SE to NW over Se CT... Beginning of the Norlun?? Kind of the pre-game from the first low. NAM has forecast it for awhile but had it a little further south. Didn't move it much for the next 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 OT but humorous and snow related. Have people seen the video of this crazy mofo car skiing in Manhattan during the blizzard?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yea me too, on the way home I could tell he was not confidant, uses MM5 , DT pointed out to him on FB the .75 lolli over you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 OT but humorous and snow related. Have people seen the video of this crazy mofo car skiing in Manhattan during the blizzard?!? Not so crazy did it all the time as a kid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Kind of the pre-game from the first low. NAM has forecast it for awhile but had it a little further south. Didn't move it much for the next 12 hours. Let's see how far NW it gets..Some areas could get a 1-3 type snow overnight if it sits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yea me too, on the way home I could tell he was not confidant, uses MM5 , DT pointed out to him on FB the .75 lolli over you Well looks like you draw first blood within an hour or two, hope some of those echoes make it to the ground for you.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well looks like you draw first blood within an hour or two, hope some of those echoes make it to the ground for you.............. Why wouldn't they? No dry air to overcome..Should start snowing immed..once flakes fly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Let's see how far NW it gets..Some areas could get a 1-3 type snow overnight if it sits upton mentioned the fact this could occur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Not so crazy did it all the time as a kid The only time skis involve cars with me is when traveling up to VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Why wouldn't they? No dry air to overcome..Should start snowing immed..once flakes fly looking at radar, the echoes are creating half semi circle around the site.........seems to me this may initially be some virga.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 LOL. I think I'll do quite well here relatively speaking. 6-10" , If stars come into complete alignment perhaps better. MPM won't fair so well as his consistent lack of faith will undoubtedly have angered ULLR and he'll struggle to get his low ball estimate of 4". Self-fulfilling prophecy type of thing. Hope you're enjoying Utah. When do you return? I'm a consultant. You always low-ball. I hope to be a pleasantly suprised client. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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