40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Keep up the positive behavior and perhaps the CoT will endorse your membership pledge. I called for a good winter when I released my outlook back in October.....I'm just growing a bit more bullish. I've been touting this March for the past year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Yeah I would love to get a lot of snow, but I see a bust coming-- maybe only 2" down here, while CT/MASS/RI see 6+ Even with 2 inches though, Im thinking the sanitation department is going to put a lot of work into this "storm" to try and get people to forget what happened last time lol. They'll be walking donw the street with shovels like I did when I was a kid. Are we being cynical? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Hopefully Phil can restore some order here shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I am getting worried about what the NAM and GFS have shown in the last several runs for southwest and southern Maine. They have us under a giant hole, which climo does NOT favor. I wonder what todays runs will show, its like looking at a magic 8 ball for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 They'll be walking donw the street with shovels like I did when I was a kid. Are we being cynical? Yea, probably. Although I could definitely see that happening lol. Theyve also been calling for private contractors, since apparently some of the SD went on "strike" during the storm because of budget cuts (and didnt tell anyone at the time.) Im ready to move to GC lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 What the heck is CoT? The Circle of Trust. Those of us with a deep sense of inner calm and confidence that this winter will deliver. I just risked my membership with a post in the other thread, but I think I recovered in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Alex, could we please move on from the NC sanitation dept. DISCO....thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Wow.....14.2\9 Brrrrrr..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 somebody bobbutts I think, posted this link 3 days ago. About every 12-16 hours I click on it. It start around .11, then .21, then yesterday .31 and now this morning.61. The GFS thinks with increasing certainty that I am going to get a really nice snow. http://coolwx.com/cg...rent&field=prec LOL just saw that half the snow comes from next weeks storm. Oh my..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 OKX taking out of both sides of their mouth; either hoist the watch or don't. They hoisted it.....People also need to read the disco that accompanies these things. Calling for 2-5" with possibly more is perfectly fine at this juncture and if you've ever attempted a Friday evening NYC area Metro rush hour in snow, you'd understand why they did this.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Alex, could we please move on from the NC sanitation dept. DISCO....thx. sorry it was supposed to be a one time post lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 They'll be walking donw the street with shovels like I did when I was a kid. Are we being cynical? Snowblower broken then, too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 They hoisted it.....People also need to read the disco that accompanies these things. Calling for 2-5" with possibly more is perfectly fine at this juncture and if you've ever attempted a Friday evening NYC area Metro rush hour in snow, you'd understand why they did this.... Fair enough, but it seems to me that they are trying to hoist a safety net; either hoist it or don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Fair enough, but it seems to me that they are trying to hoist a safety net; either hoist it or don't. Personally I view these intricate setups with grave concern and early WSW's as the kiss of death, lol. We'll see how it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I think his call is ridiculous. AhhhhhHahhhhh! It's not a call. It's a guess! Ahhhhahhhh! You wrisk the wrath of the Gwreat Wone. You alone must atone for your sin!! Differentiating between a guess and an early call is silly to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Personally I view these intricate setups with grave concern and early WSW's as the kiss of death, lol. We'll see how it goes Yea, I understand your point....have to err on the side of caution, but I think they were a little quick on the trigger, but hey....who the hell am I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 AhhhhhHahhhhh! It's not a call. It's a guess! Ahhhhahhhh! You wrisk the wrath of the Gwreat Wone. You alone must atone for your sin!! Differentiating between a guess and an early call is silly to me. Looks like a first bust to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Snowblower broken then, too? Lol. I never owned one until last year. When I was a kid, we had a really long drive. I was one of five boys in the family, so my dad had no reason to splurge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Scooter posting something soon about NE Mass lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Wow, that was about as cautious and uncertain an AFD that I have ever read from BOX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Kev, what are you down to up on the hill.....14.0\9, here in the swamp.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I think some of the meso models are hitting ne mass (esp Essex county) and up through the sw tip of Maine pretty good. I could see that given the OES/CF contribution and the fact that the trough could stall near that local. We'll see what today's models do, but I'm starting to like that area for now. I also think we could see a secondary area perhaps by the ORH hills as the inv trough comes east and all that erly flow gets a nice boost of lift. In an atmosphere that is relatively unstable, that lift will probably help out a little more than normal. Just my thoughts, anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I think some of the meso models are hitting ne mass (esp Essex county) and up through the sw tip of Maine pretty good. I could see that given the OES/CF contribution and the fact that the trough could stall near that local. We'll see what today's models do, but I'm starting to like that area for now. I also think we could see a secondary area perhaps by the ORH hills as the inv trough comes east and all that erly flow gets a nice boost of lift. In an atmosphere that is relatively unstable, that lift will probably help out a little more than normal. Just my thoughts, anyways. I agree.....which is why I hate these oes setups.....I usually end up in the subsidence exhaust. If you're not in the band, then you don't want to be anywhere near it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Wow, that was about as cautious and uncertain an AFD that I have ever read from BOX. MM 5 really keying in on your area Boston North Shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I hate to say it, but I have to throw Jerry a bone.....this winter is really reminding me of 1993-94......BIG year alongt he immediate coast, which places me in relative minimum. The hills will likely catch up near the end of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Kev, what are you down to up on the hill.....14.1\9, here in the swamp.... 18.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 MM 5 really keying in on your are Boston North Shore I saw that, but I think it's going to be east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 18.1 Is that your ratio for the upcoming system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Is that your ratio for the upcoming system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I agree.....which is why I hate these oes setups.....I usually end up in the subsidence exhaust. If you're not in the band, then you don't want to be anywhere near it. Well it's also because the trough may stall there too. This is a wicked bust potential for some.These things always get "mesoscale" on us, with a couple or three bands that dump on areas. I think the question is how widespread will the snow be. I think there will be a general 1-3 or 2-4 deal over most areas, but of course..where does the good stuff set up? For now, I think I like those areas I mentioned, but we'll see what the 12z suite does. It could shift it around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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