RaleighWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Also some reanalysis files from that Storm 500mb Heights jan1988500mb.zip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Jan 1988 700mb RH/SLP jan1988700mb.zip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Jan 1988 500mb Vort vort.zip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Cheeze....cheeze....cheeze....cheeze....cheeze..... Pull the GA mojo for us man.:snowman::snowman::snowman: you had some good mojo with the first one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 pretty sure Cold Rain brought it home for us last time.....just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I nominate myself! I kid, I kid......Cheez should do the honors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I have been gone since around noon so I didn't get a chance to see the euro until a bit ago, along with everything else. Also haven't read anything here yet but I do have to pick on cheez a bit for his fear last night of a trend north and warmer trend starting. It would seem the latest runs disagree cheez - where are you? better hurry we are waiting for our new thread lol i was out from about noon until an hour ago as well. my big surprise was that apparently most (or a lot) of the models are actually in fairly good agreement, from 4 days out. that is just wild - i dont know i recall them being in agreement this far out. i just hope they arent all wrong some of the snowfall maps even though unreliable as everyone says, are still pretty darn amazing with what they are showing for the se. i have another long day tomorrow but am going to at least try and wait for the 0z gfs (unless the nam doesnt look good) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Hope he gets back online soon, or someone else will have to start it. New model runs not too far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Jan 1988 500mb Vort Thanks Allen for the info. I've heard Jan 88 thrown around a lot today and I didn't really see it. This will give me some good research material. Thanks again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i was trying to figure out from the ruc on twister what the talk about was for tomorrow, as it looked pretty mundane (for n ga and the upstate) through hour 11. then got to hour 12 lol - looks much more interesting. although for ne ga and the upstate might get downsloped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i was trying to figure out from the ruc on twister what the talk about was for tomorrow, as it looked pretty mundane (for n ga and the upstate) through hour 11. then got to hour 12 lol - looks much more interesting. although for ne ga and the upstate might get downsloped. RUC shouldn't really be used except for current conditions and very short-term forecasting (just a few hours out). Precip fields are worthless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
socar2001 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 been at work all day and have seen anything posted last few pages but are the latest soundings better as far as cae not getting a bad ice storm? if not then a cold rain? i'd much rather have that than ice. thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Time for a new thread, who wants to do the honers... Someone down south maybe? ALhurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 you had some good mojo with the first one? So far.....hopefully Cheez and carry it on. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 You think that's funny, watch this 18Z DGEX loop, heat wave! http://www.daculaweather.com/DGEX_18z_850mb_all_counties.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well I sent Cheez a PM but he might not be back on till the Euro tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 If cheez doesnt get back in time I say Cold Rain give it a whirl and see if his good luck propels the 00z models!! Worth a shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I agree. Cold rain had terrific mojo with our Christmas storm so why not for this go around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 You think that's funny, watch this 18Z DGEX loop, heat wave! http://www.daculawea...ll_counties.php Haha it's snowfall map doesn't even make sense looking at the temps on that loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bta0812 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 lol There really are a couple of posters on here that ruin it for me. I made one post, not unlike many others I read, with one typo and get thrashed. I'll keep reading and learning and try to sift through the condescending tones that ring through some of the posts. On another note, Greg Fishel dropped his usual conservative comments on us tonight. Anyone have any info on what specific models he prefers or how he goes about his forecasts when it comes to snow? He's a known snow lover but is almost always late to the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Time for a new thread, who wants to do the honers... Someone down south maybe? ALhurricane Brilliant. Love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Haha it's snowfall map doesn't even make sense looking at the temps on that loop. My thoughts too! Too warm but 15"+ of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 RUC shouldn't really be used except for current conditions and very short-term forecasting (just a few hours out). Precip fields are worthless. the RUC did extremely well out to 12 hours an d 18 on the minor (near miss) event a few weeks ago with wet snow and rain to snow in NC , and the Dec 26 morning event in western NC, SC and GA with teh 700mb moisure lee trough that dumped 3" here. But overall its qpf leaves a lot to be desired. I nominate NeGa to start a thread. Don't recall he has , and it can really precipitate there LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 What about Dawson starting the next thread? He has had good luck so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Agree! Chezz is not around. Lets go nega. the RUC did extremely well out to 12 hours an d 18 on the minor (near miss) event a few weeks ago with wet snow and rain to snow in NC , and the Dec 26 morning event in western NC, SC and GA with teh 700mb moisure lee trough that dumped 3" here. But overall its qpf leaves a lot to be desired. I nominate NeGa to start a thread. Don't recall he has , and it can really precipitate there LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 OK...part 2...if someone wants to delete mine and start one themselves...I'm OK with it. :snowman: http://www.americanw...0-storm-part-2/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well the moisture keeps getting lighter and lighter each run! But this was expected as usual thing get a little hairy around here within the 3 to 4 day range. Saturday we probably will start worry about being dry slotted or something crazy like that. Then Sunday comes and we realize we are alright and a calmness sets in. The GooFuS drops 0.27 qpf on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 It's done. The roller coaster has left the station! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 What about Dawson starting the next thread? He has had good luck so far. Perfect!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 t Well the moisture keeps getting lighter and lighter each run! But this was expected as usual thing get a little hairy around here within the 3 to 4 day range. Saturday we probably will start worry about being dry slotted or something crazy like that. Then Sunday comes and we realize we are alright and a calmness sets in. Always trust the pattern, then the models. Im of the thinking this is .50 minimum and closer to .8-1.0 down toward Charlotte. Should see some model consensus/strong trends towards this by Saturday 0z/ no latter than 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.