Wow Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 at 60, PV is WEAKER and southern s/w is STRONGER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 It appears to me that this 12Z Euro will be colder than the 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The euro also has light snow over most of the Carolinas tomorrow night, some pockets of 1" maybe in the piedmont. The mtns do very well. Otherwise, no major changes I see unless its the closed low over Arizona (opened up on other models) Cool! Thanks so much Robert for keeping us updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 at 60, PV is WEAKER and southern s/w is STRONGER same at 66.. a bit faster... 805mb temps: -12C over most of NC.. 0 line down to C GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Bitter cold over Tenn Valley and midatlantic at 60, with -12 to -14 areas. The New Mexico cutoff is stronger than ever, and is opening up at 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Bitter cold over Tenn Valley and midatlantic at 60, with -12 to -14 areas. The New Mexico cutoff is stronger than ever, and is opening up at 66. Did it open previously and then close back off around TX before opening back up as it headed through the deep south? How does this compare to previous runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 Bitter cold over Tenn Valley and midatlantic at 60, with -12 to -14 areas. The New Mexico cutoff is stronger than ever, and is opening up at 66. We'd definitely see some single digits if this occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 at 72, opening up , and going negative around the Big Bend of Texas, and snow is near DFW, and northeast TX. Most of TX has exploded in moisture . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 72 TX trough a hair weaker, NE PV and "kicker" trough a bit deeper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 OT...haha this system will bring some -20F air too me....Yall want some of that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Good grief, Northeast TExas is approaching 10" of snow maybe already , getting some crazy totals over srn Ark, nrn La as well. The light snow has reached BHM and near MEM by 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 s/w is weaker than 0z..a bit less QPF output.. colder tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 84 hour map says that it will be a good bit colder at 850...some places as much as 4C colder vs. 0Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 at 84 hour, the zero goe from Macon to Jackson . Very cold, esp in Tenn and NC.Most of Arkasnsas and southern half of Tn is in snow. Its rached n. GA as well, but light there so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 s/w is weaker than 0z..a bit less QPF output More confluence, deeper vortex makes this very believable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 84- short weaker and a bit faster, which is good as the GOM surface low is weaker with less warm air moving north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 by 90 hrs.. precip shield is smaller. surface low weaker. meh. doubt we'll see much in NC from this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 at 90, theres a 1008 low over Mobile. and snow most of north half of GA and Ala and southern Tn.By 96, still snowing hard in Atlanta and the Upstate, just geting into NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flurry Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 OT...haha this system will bring some -20F air too me....Yall want some of that? Keep it...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 84- short weaker and a bit faster, which is good as the GOM surface low is weaker with less warm air moving north beauty is in the eyes of the beholder cheez..........lol. My friends in the I-40 corridor in mid TN crackin my nads and saying no way are going to have fun with me if this whiffs for them. I don't like it so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 96 hours, .5 in ATL, all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 at 90, theres a 1008 low over Mobile. and snow most of north half of GA and Ala and southern Tn.By 96, still snowing hard in Atlanta and the Upstate, just geting into NC QPF output is meager at 102. Less than 0.25" over most of NC/SC. I know you shouldn't rely on it at this stage, but all the models are consistent about it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 40S special? 1011mb slp at 96hrs centered near Apalachicola FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 by 90 hrs.. precip shield is smaller. surface low weaker. meh. doubt we'll see much in NC from this run You may be right, but the trend is good. The precip back west in Ark and Miss has expanded greately I think. Also, the 850's are plenty low in GA to the Carolinas. For whatever reason it still dimishes the precip as it comes our way, but seems to be getting heavier further north and east , each run...so thats a trend. By 102, the low is on SAV and ATL has just warmed to Zero, Still snowing in most of N. Ga and the Carolinas, but lighter compared to the Miss and Al region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 102 .75 ATL north .5 to GSP and AVL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I can see how NC ****COULD*** miss out on a lot of moisture with this system..That confluence will more than likely destroy this system as it gets close to the SE. I hope not, but if your in NC, might not be that good of a setup for yall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 QPF output is meager at 102. Less than 0.25" over most of NC/SC. I know you shouldn't rely on it at this stage, but all the models are consistent about it now. I think we make up for it with colder 850's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 You may be right, but the trend is good. The precip back west in Ark and Miss has expanded greately I think. Also, the 850's are plenty low in GA to the Carolinas. For whatever reason it still dimishes the precip as it comes our way, but seems to be getting heavier further north and east , each run...so thats a trend. By 102, the low is on SAV and ATL has just warmed to Zero, Still snowing in most of N. Ga and the Carolinas, but lighter compared to the Miss and Al region. Robert, Did you mean east or......... west? It seems precip on the Euro for areas east on the northern side have dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 108 still snowing lightly in north GA, next trough digging in nicely so the Carolinas should benefit from that later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 You may be right, but the trend is good. The precip back west in Ark and Miss has expanded greately I think. Also, the 850's are plenty low in GA to the Carolinas. For whatever reason it still dimishes the precip as it comes our way, but seems to be getting heavier further north and east , each run...so thats a trend. By 102, the low is on SAV and ATL has just warmed to Zero, Still snowing in most of N. Ga and the Carolinas, but lighter compared to the Miss and Al region. The trend is good for whom? The s/w trended weaker. At best, we'd be on the northern fringe and pick up a few inches based on this trend. Colder trend, yes. More robust s/w with a healthy precip shield, no. Maybe they're all wrong and the QPF will be much more. I figured that last time for the christmas storm, but was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.