tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hr 120 the northern stream is starting to try and phase in....the se coast storm loooks to be centered about 100 or so miles se of cape fear just lgt to mod precip over the carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 man is the euro really trying to dig in at hr 126 prob to late...but not shock if this brushes costal section and sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Very good idea. I almost requested this yesterday, but wasn't sure how it would be received... Yup, another good move here by the admin./mods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 deff an improvement this run, with the northern stream getting more involved and a storm closer to the coast compared to 0z...hr 126 has what looks to be a new low pressure trying to form by hse...mod precip breaking on in eastern carolina and se va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 1008 off OBX at 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hr 132 light snow up to phl.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hr 132 sub 1008 low about 100 or so miles east of hse....northern stream phasing in, but looks a little to late...lgt precip up to about phl....with lgt to mod over se va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 H5 heights and upper air pattern suggests its going east northeast from there..but I am not complaining. Nice trend on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hr 138 sub 1004 low about 200-250 or so miles east of orf lgt precip from nyc south, through all of pa, delmarva, va...with some lgt to mod precip brusihng the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 prob about .10+ for phl and nyc so far through hr 144.....still light snow falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hr 144 996 low about 300-400 miles east of acy lgt precip dc to phl...with some lgt to mod precip brushing nj coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hr 150 storm is about 100 or so miles east of the bm....lgt precip over the area...looks like an inverted trof hanging back towards jerz coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hr 156 lgt precip over the area as the ull swings over head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 like john said, vastly better improvements with the northern stream coming in quicker and phasing, which the 0z didnt have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 For those saying that the ECM did not show a storm for the 11-13th time period that is simply not the case. I believe it was the night of the 3rd when tombo did the PBP for the first event in which is this norlun for this weekend and it showed a Blizzard for that run.... That same run also had another Historical East Coast Snowstorm,,,thats right two HECS in one run for the 11-13th time frame... So , if you want to use the ECM..it showed something the GFS has really yet to show...but then surprise lost it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 preciep is about .25+ from phl-monmouth county-LI-sne... .10+ for all of PA and north nj....also includes nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 preciep is about .25+ from phl-monmouth county-LI-sne... .10+ for all of PA and north nj....also includes nyc very similar to the ggem. Looks like all the global runs this 12z suite are close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 UKMET is about the same as 00z but weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 For those saying that the ECM did not show a storm for the 11-13th time period that is simply not the case. I believe it was the night of the 3rd when tombo did the PBP for the first event in which is this norlun for this weekend and it showed a Blizzard for that run.... That same run also had another Historical East Coast Snowstorm,,,thats right two HECS in one run for the 11-13th time frame... So , if you want to use the ECM..it showed something the GFS has really yet to show...but then surprise lost it.... Correct, the Euro had two back to back 0z runs where it showed the best outcome for us perhaps in its entire history lol-- I remember JM and I were looking at the qpf maps and it translated to like 40-50 inches of snow over 10 days if it would have verified. It basically had two or three HECS in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 very similar to the ggem. Looks like all the global runs this 12z suite are close. hmmm but we probably dont want them to be close because we want them to trend much closer to the west nice to see some trending at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Now we should be really excited because accuweather is known tor conservative forecasts, and never hypes storms and targets the I95 corridor with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Now we should be really excited because accuweather is known tor conservative forecasts, and never hypes storms and targets the I95 corridor with snow. right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Now we should be really excited because accuweather is known tor conservative forecasts, and never hypes storms and targets the I95 corridor with snow. If he put on his big daddy hat i am going to state college to tan his hide . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 hmmm but we probably dont want them to be close because we want them to trend much closer to the west nice to see some trending at least. Just pointing out the solutions today, as we've seen this season, it'll likely change many more times the next 4 days. I still believe this is either a snow or no event. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 This is just a test run for this. All that's actually changing are the Jan 11-14 discussion threads because splitting the regions up for obs threads was done last storm, and the medium range thread is staying one thread. It's an effort to make it easier to keep up with discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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