ChescoWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Wxsim module has snow arriving in the NW Philadelphia burbs at around daybreak on Friday. Temps will only rise to 28 for a high and then begin to slip during the PM. Total snowfall for the day is projected at 3 or 4". Snow should be done by rush hour Friday evening. Paul www.chescowx.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Elliot Abrams on 1010 wins says 3-6 area wide and that we have several snow chances next few weeks and cold. Craig Allen said "several inches" of accumulation, whatever that means Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Elliot Abrams on 1010 wins says 3-6 area wide and that we have several snow chances next few weeks and cold. Craig Allen said "several inches" of accumulation, whatever that means Coming up next on AmericanWx, a ten page discussion on just how many inches is "several inches". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Alan who is conervative is forecasting 1 to 3 for S. Jersey, 3 to 6 C/N NJ and some place north of 78 maybe more. Rossi When did Alan turn conservative? Since he left NY have not seen or heard him........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Kasper has been on NJ 101.5 for many years now. NJ 101.5 is the "go-to" station for the state of NJ for state sepcific news and weather. Alan always seemed like a real good guy and a heck of a forecaster. I would go with him over any local/NYC forecast. Also, I am waiting to get in the range of the NMM/ARW high-resolution precip maps. I love those things and they seem to nail the general bands very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Kasper has been on NJ 101.5 for many years now. NJ 101.5 is the "go-to" station for the state of NJ for state sepcific news and weather. Alan always seemed like a real good guy and a heck of a forecaster. I would go with him over any local/NYC forecast. Big time agree...In NY he was THE BEST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Storm #2 looking a lot better this morning on the gfs. Dgex still has it too, but a little further south and off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 New nam is looking like a good band that develops from Baltimore northeastward which would dump a couple inches worth of snow. Surface temps look above freezing though so this will have trouble sticking in the first part of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParanormalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 New nam is looking like a good band that develops from Baltimore northeastward which would dump a couple inches worth of snow. Surface temps look above freezing though so this will have trouble sticking in the first part of the day Yeah, not bad at all at h54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 New nam is looking like a good band that develops from Baltimore northeastward which would dump a couple inches worth of snow. Surface temps look above freezing though so this will have trouble sticking in the first part of the day Well some evaporational cooling might take care of the temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 New nam is looking like a good band that develops from Baltimore northeastward which would dump a couple inches worth of snow. Surface temps look above freezing though so this will have trouble sticking in the first part of the day New NAM is setting up the Norlun/Band well SW of prior runs, look to bullseye PHL/TTN at least through hour 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Low is developing WAY closer to the coast at 60 hrs it has a 987 mb about 150 miles off shore of NJ with a .56 precip max in NW NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 At 63 hrs it is still snowing over N NJ with a 986 mb low near the Benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I thought last nights 0z GFS was bullish, the new 12NAM is even more bullish! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 New nam depicts a crazy event for these parts..Intense UVM in a narrow band that would produce 10" of snow for a lucky place...and very little for an unlucky place a few miles down the road. Wow . Bullseye in this type of event 60hrs out on the NAM? Probably not the best place to be in but wow this is a sweet solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Looks like 4 to 6 from Monmouth/Middelsex county, NJ and 6 to 8 from rte 78 on north Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 New nam depicts a crazy event for these parts..Intense UVM in a narrow band that would produce 10" of snow for a lucky place...and very little for an unlucky place a few miles down the road. Wow . just like happened in Feb 08 (i think) in the philly area...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Through 72 hrs has a small 1 inch precip max over NW NJ and NE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Through 72 hrs has a small 1 inch precip max over NW NJ and NE PA. 1.13" over NW NJ and NE PA precip max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM22 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 just like happened in Feb 08 (i think) in the philly area...... Whats the NAM showing for The PHL metro, and Wilmington Area? I am going to be traveling friday and wondering if I am gonna have issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Whats the NAM showing for The PHL metro, and Wilmington Area? I am going to be traveling friday and wondering if I am gonna have issues About .25" of precip. So 2"-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 just like happened in Feb 08 (i think) in the philly area...... It was Feb. 09 and that was just strange luck. This is a much more intense norlun event on the nam with omegas that are through the roof in that band around 60hrs or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Thank you for the information. 1.13" over NW NJ and NE PA precip max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Nice for E PA Ski areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 These are the types of events we have the nam for by the way. The nam signal for an intense band of heavy snow dumping on some lucky place is alarming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM22 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 About .25" of precip. So 2"-4". Thanks, I appreciate - sounds like my little mustang will be doing the fishtail! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 These are the types of events we have the nam for by the way. The nam signal for an intense band of heavy snow dumping on some lucky place is alarming. Hopefully I won't get 10 here in Edison while you get 1 just down the parkway.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Wow, major bust potential with forecasts depending on where that ribbon of heaviest precipitation sets up. I would think interior NW Jersey and extreme NE PA seem the best bet for higher snowfall totals right now based on surface temps and where the models have been setting up the band the past 24-36 hours. Interstate 84 special? Don't forget how big a difference temperatures between 30 and say, 36 degrees make when its snowing during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParanormalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Looking at the 500mb maps, the low could be 50 miles or so further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 how much at JFK on the soundings, .60+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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