burgertime Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 not really, BUT the HP is nosing in better. Gotcha! Thanks for the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 ne Tex. southern Ark, to near LA border is getting hit hard with snow at 102. This is a ton of moisture and lift in the lower miss. Valley. Would be nice to see that translate northeast. 1004 low near New orleans , big snowstorm southern ark, northern central Miss into central Ala to Atlanta (light so far in ATL) The vortex has pulled out of the northeast and the tilt of the strong trough in Louisaiana looks aimed to come inland to the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 At 114 pretty much everywhere north of a Columbus to Macon to Augusta is in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Don't know how this will turn out, but when heavy precip in central and southern TX and a low in the western gulf, LOOK OUT SOUTHERN APPS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 strong divergence over Southeast at 114, with a tight cutoff to the heavy snow somehwere over n. Alabama and n. Ga. Its a major snowstorm for Atlanta and Birmingham.. the 850 support snow well south of Atlanta to Shrveport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Another good run for BHM, ATL, HSV, CHA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 ne Tex. southern Ark, to near LA border is getting hit hard with snow at 102. This is a ton of moisture and lift in the lower miss. Valley. Would be nice to see that translate northeast. 1004 low near New orleans , big snowstorm southern ark, northern central Miss into central Ala to Atlanta (light so far in ATL) The vortex has pulled out of the northeast and the tilt of the strong trough in Louisaiana looks aimed to come inland to the Southeast. @120 it's looking a lot like the Christmas storm, low is over Pensacola. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 By 12z Monday all areas north of Columbus to Macon to Augusta have QPF of >.25" with it being all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Euro keeps most of us below freezing on Sunday...perfect for a snowstorm the next day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The qpf is going to be phenomenal I think for most of Miss, Ala and Ga. I-20 takes a major beating with mostly snow unlesss somehwer e in there sneaks in sleet (Tony?) the low is south of Mobile and weakening thanks to the confluence. Snow reachs southern NC but so far its not heavy like in GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 @120 it's looking a lot like the Christmas storm, low is over Pensacola. Only colder, the 0c line is south of KCHS on the front end to start with HP nosed on down running from KSAV west back just south of Columbus extending west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Half a foot at CAE by 12z Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 Thur 7pm Monday EURO still has QPF over all of N GA, NAL and SE TN and most of the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Only colder, the 0c line is south of KCHS on the front end to start with HP nosed on down. Interesting temp wise, I've been looking at this threat as a no go for CHS because I figured temps would be much too warm but it seems like the Euro is giving us hope storm. What do you think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Like Burger mentioned, this is the Christmas storm track. but much colder everywhere. Its precip shield is mainly south of 40, but I think its being a little too far south, just my opinion, as most Gulf storms are further north than shown at 3 to 5 days out, we'll see. Regardless, the temps are going to be there, much of the Deep South gets a big one from this, and the qpf and lift is probably maxed from northern louisiana to northern /central Miss-Ala-Ga where the whole section could top 6" with no problem. I woudlnt' be surprised to see southern Arkansas or some spots overa foot with this setup. At 132, the low is stalled off the GA coast, still snowing in Carolinas and GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The qpf is going to be phenomenal I think for most of Miss, Ala and Ga. I-20 takes a major beating with mostly snow unlesss somehwer e in there sneaks in sleet (Tony?) the low is south of Mobile and weakening thanks to the confluence. Snow reachs southern NC but so far its not heavy like in GA. Does this run mirror the Feb. 12th storm that buried anyone along I-20 in Georgia and SC? What it sounds like to me more than the Dec. 26th storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DLI4SCwx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Half a foot at CAE by 12z Monday. Just Wow! Just hope the trends keep getting better and better for all of us in the SE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 Like Burger mentioned, this is the Christmas storm track. but much colder everywhere. Its precip shield is mainly south of 40, but I think its being a little too far south, just my opinion, as most Gulf storms are further north than shown at 3 to 5 days out, we'll see. Regardless, the temps are going to be there, much of the Deep South gets a big one from this, and the qpf and lift is probably maxed from northern louisiana to northern /central Miss-Ala-Ga where the whole section could top 6" with no problem. I woudlnt' be surprised to see southern Arkansas or some spots overa foot with this setup. At 132, the low is stalled off the GA coast, still snowing in Carolinas and GA. Still pretty much there at 144 also with QPF still as far back as N.GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Interesting temp wise, I've been looking at this threat as a no go for CHS because I figured temps would be much too warm but it seems like the Euro is giving us hope storm. What do you think. KCHS has been concerned about boundary layer temperatures at the surface since Monday with regards to freezing rain (already has been in the forecast for the past 2 days) and the uncertainties. This run of the EURO so far supports a sleet/snow beginning at least at 120 hours for most of SC with the 0c line south of SC at least to start. waiting for the PBP from 120 hours on until the 144 hour updates at Plymouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Like Burger mentioned, this is the Christmas storm track. but much colder everywhere. Its precip shield is mainly south of 40, but I think its being a little too far south, just my opinion, as most Gulf storms are further north than shown at 3 to 5 days out, we'll see. Regardless, the temps are going to be there, much of the Deep South gets a big one from this, and the qpf and lift is probably maxed from northern louisiana to northern /central Miss-Ala-Ga where the whole section could top 6" with no problem. I woudlnt' be surprised to see southern Arkansas or some spots overa foot with this setup. At 132, the low is stalled off the GA coast, still snowing in Carolinas and GA. Why is the GFS and now EURO showing it stall off the coast, I know the Euro stalls it further south but they both seem to stall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Half a foot at CAE by 12z Monday. Sorry for the newbie questions by what is 12z Monday? Is that noon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 this is an excellent track and setup, perfect for the Classic 1980's snowstorm that used to happen occassionally. We really havent' had that setup , we almost did last season, but the temps didn't cooperate much on a widespread basis like this. I'd prefer to see it s moisture further north, but there's plenty more time for that. Its hard to see the strong s/w shrink out like that but it is stronger and for a longer trip , once again like the Christmas storm was. The trends have all been great, and Its looking like the questions now will be how much snow. It could be one for the books in places like Jackson Birmingham Atlanta and Columbia, and someone in between will be shoveling lots of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Sorry for the newbie questions by what is 12z Monday? Is that noon? 12z Monday = 7 am Monday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Euro is painfully dry here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 12 UTC ECMWF Day 6 has a high pressure of 1058mb O.o Also appears to draw more cold air southward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 Thru 12z EURO QPF looks like: >.75" from Rome to Lake Lanier south to Columbus/Macon to the SE corner of GA. That same amount covers most of the southern half of SC with higher amounts along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Pretty far south. This will probably trend north, but the QPF verbatim from the Euro is 0.5" line along NC/SC and TN/GA border. 0.25" line a little south of I-40. 0 line runs through C AL/C MS/ATL/CAE to ILM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 144 hours, temperatures warmed at 850mb Coastal and Inland Coastal sections of South Carolina which IF SFC boundary layers are still below freezing could mean a major problem, starting from snow/sleet to ZR and potentially lots of it if the 850mb verify too warm and SFC boundary layer temperatures remain or go below FRZ on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 redevelopment Tuesday over n. Ga and the Carolinas, with stalled lee trough and incoming divergence. This is going to be biggest, most widespread snowstorm across the South east since 1988, maybe 1982. gotta run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 this is an excellent track and setup, perfect for the Classic 1980's snowstorm that used to happen occassionally. We really havent' had that setup , we almost did last season, but the temps didn't cooperate much on a widespread basis like this. I'd prefer to see it s moisture further north, but there's plenty more time for that. Its hard to see the strong s/w shrink out like that but it is stronger and for a longer trip , once again like the Christmas storm was. The trends have all been great, and Its looking like the questions now will be how much snow. It could be one for the books in places like Jackson Birmingham Atlanta and Columbia, and someone in between will be shoveling lots of sleet. No, we need our snow down here. Hopefully we all get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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