FoothillsNC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Roberts posts in the other thread reminded me of that when he said gsp was forecasting highs in the mid to upper 40s with a really cold airmass in place. This makes no sense but it doesn't stop people like burns from copying it. Then of course they all are always too warm in cad situations, no matter how badly they get burned over and over and regardless of whether the models are showing subfreezing temps all day. They will still go upper 30s and of course they bust I was actually referring to a TV station on the upstate in that thread, not the NWS, sorry if I misled. But you're right , everyone has gone warm on the cold outbreaks last Winter and this one. Not a single day was underforecast or even close to the verified high temps for the CLT or GSP region, from as little as 2 days out. The only reason I mentioned it is because a lot of my friends on FB or here ask me when making plans, and see my forecast graphics were much colder during the 5 major cold outbreaks we've been through, and they asked why mine was so different from what they were seeing on TV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Batman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Candyman, thanks for the write up and insight into the forecasting process. Lookout, to your point about discipilnary consquences for TV mets. I think forcing GB to pee on an electric fence would be ample punishment for some of his on air antics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Can someone tell me when the snow would start in my location from the storm next week according to what the models show? Would it be Monday during the day or at night? Just wondering if I should make plans to change some plans I have for Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Can someone tell me when the snow would start in my location from the storm next week according to what the models show? Would it be Monday during the day or at night? Just wondering if I should make plans to change some plans I have for Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Can someone tell me when the snow would start in my location from the storm next week according to what the models show? Would it be Monday during the day or at night? Just wondering if I should make plans to change some plans I have for Monday night. Check the weather forecast Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Can someone tell me when the snow would start in my location from the storm next week according to what the models show? Would it be Monday during the day or at night? Just wondering if I should make plans to change some plans I have for Monday night. Expect the first flakes at 10:15 am Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Can someone tell me when the snow would start in my location from the storm next week according to what the models show? Would it be Monday during the day or at night? Just wondering if I should make plans to change some plans I have for Monday night. Last Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Can someone tell me when the snow would start in my location from the storm next week according to what the models show? Would it be Monday during the day or at night? Just wondering if I should make plans to change some plans I have for Monday night. brick, I know this is "General Banter" but that doesn't mean "I can be lazy" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Wow, thanks for the help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Go look at the models. 12z-5= 7AM take Z and subtract 5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 For all backyard posters... Here is a decent site that will give you a rough time frame of when to expect precip and how much. Again, it's not going to do EVERY town, but it does a decent job at showing you when things can happen (personal experience shows this forecasts too low for highs and sometimes too high for lows... if that made sense ). I use it mainly to get a rough idea of when models say it's supposed to start raining. http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx n of atl Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Thank You! For all backyard posters... Here is a decent site that will give you a rough time frame of when to expect precip and how much. Again, it's not going to do EVERY town, but it does a decent job at showing you when things can happen (personal experience shows this forecasts too low for highs and sometimes too high for lows... if that made sense ). I use it mainly to get a rough idea of when models say it's supposed to start raining. http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Can someone tell me when the snow would start in my location from the storm next week according to what the models show? Would it be Monday during the day or at night? Just wondering if I should make plans to change some plans I have for Monday night. The answer in contained within your post. I'll cut and paste for you. "the snow would start in my location next week day or at night" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Drink in hand you destructive alcoholic. LOL. i singlehandedly trolled Marcus into getting rid of Eastern. darn drunks. lol jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 This might be a good thread for a public service announcement. Some of you folks might be needing a generator early next week. From personal experience, I highly recommend the Honda EU3000iSA. It's a great midsize generator for getting you through extended outages. It's very quite and sips the gas. At 3,000 watts, it's enough to run the basics like a refrigerator, microwave, radio, etc. Most importantly, it has a Honda-brand internal inverter that prevents it from frying sensitive electronics. The same cannot be said for some of the cheaper generators you might find at the large hardware stores. No matter what you buy, make sure it has an internal inverter. I've also heard great things about the smaller Honda EU2000iA and some of the Yamaha generators, but I've not owned them and cannot speak from experience. Places like Northern Tool and farm supply stores usually carry the Hondas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 4 to 5 inches would be nice, but seems the totals are not as impressive now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Brick, please don't get caught up on QPF right now. It nearly always trends wetter closer to the event. We're 4 days out. Repeat to yourself: just one run. Just one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 WRAL starting to bang the drum a little bit. http://www.wral.com/weather/story/8889004/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Brick should be weenie of the year. based off his posts today I'd say he is a lock.... check the other thread if you don't believe me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Batman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Brick should be weenie of the year. based off his posts today I'd say he is a lock.... check the other thread if you don't believe me. He needs to start taking his meds. twice daily before this storm gets any closer. Ideal timing would be just prior to 12Z and 0Z model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Wow just said the Euro doesn't show much precip for NC now! UGH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Sounds like it may be a fail for NC. Too good to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Sounds like it may be a fail for NC. Too good to be true. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Seriously, it seems like the moisture gets less and less with each model run for central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Seriously, it seems like the moisture gets less and less with each model run for central NC. Do you think it might be a good idea to wait until we're inside 72? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Foothills sounds happy about it, though. Says it will be a good hit for NC. Wow doesn't seem excited. Says the precip is too light. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Foothills sounds happy about it, though. Says it will be a good hit for NC. Wow doesn't seem excited. Says the precip is too light. Who knows. Thank you for the parallel commentary of what is being discussed in another thread, Brick. No need for me to venture outside of the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Thank you for the parallel commentary of what is being discussed in another thread, Brick. No need for me to venture outside of the banter thread. Well, we can't seem to banter about it there, so I banter about it here in the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bozart Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Well, we can't seem to banter about it there, so I banter about it here in the banter thread. Banter away, Brick. Every time you mention QPFs someone jumps down your throat. Meanwhile, everyone -- and I mean everyone and his brother -- is talking QPFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Banter away, Brick. Every time you mention QPFs someone jumps down your throat. Meanwhile, everyone -- and I mean everyone and his brother -- is talking QPFs. Fo real, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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