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January GENERAL BANTER


oconeexman

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Man, I left for an hour to do somethings and this storm thread went to the crapper.

hahah. Folks getting all kinds of pissed off. This storm really need to get here for some folks.....

:lol: That is exactly what I was thinking and we have a day and a half to go...jeez

Tempers are short there and it amazes me. We cannot change what is going to happen so we deal with what we get.

Well said Rosie :) Not that I'm looking forward to ice...but it is what it is and I'm going to enjoy this bonus winter precip...this is the south after all :whistle:

The weenies must unite!

:lmao: :lmao: :lol::hug:

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Since this is the banter thread and we aren't judgmental with folks, care to elaborate a bit more? How do you think things will pan out? :)

Well, first off, I am not even close to a hobbyist met - yet.

I came aboard here because of my curiosity of the how our weather patterns are going to change because the recent lull in sunspot activity.

I've really been 'hitting the books hard' online to learn more & catch up with the technical aspects of weather from sites like UNISYS, NWS, NOAA, etc.

That being said, usually here in central NC, big weather events (snows) are triggered by a big H over the Ohio Valley w/ a big sfc L off the SE coast.

This time, there are 2 big ULL's (if I am seeing correctly on the 500 mb maps) - 1 in the NE amd the other, the over the Rockies.

Together, they seem to be pushing significant cold air south for this event w/ a 3rd low coming across the Gulf - I can't remember seeing this setup in winter w/ cold in place. Originally I thought the TX low now forming was going to be a sfc low, but the pros on the model thread are saying the TX low coming is an ULL.

From what I have read here on the model thread starting w/ page 7, part I, the icing line and it's size in the SE keeps shifting with the forecasts (to be expected). Most of the models have be showing a flat W to E QPL line across MS, AL, & parts of GA......weird.

To some it up, my total inexperience included, I'm thinking the NE ULL will lag a bit to keep feeding cold air at the same time the Rockies ULL will assist that. Then, the TX low will strengthen as it approaches GA because and the NE ULL will have move out quicklly. IF that's the case, I think I'm gonna see A Lot more ice w/ others too.

BTW, I am only bantering as I have no idea which models are the best for polar weather and its weather at this time.

Please correct any of my lame assumptions -- the critique will be appreciated.

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I love the looks of that snowband setting up shop over me,NeGa, and oconeexman's house.:snowman:

Come to PAPA!!!

Like a wall goes up at the state line of NC SC and no heavy returns make the trip up 85.......

No way you get left out of this...at least 6" for you Mark!!!!!

I promise

15:1 ratios, possibly higher for most of monday IMHO.

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Like a wall goes up at the state line of NC SC and no heavy returns make the trip up 85.......

That dry air is gonna be tough to overcome. Hopefully, the low will make up the difference...without a warm nose and convection gut punching us.

0z Euro drove that home last night, too. Disturbed me...a little.

I'm still unrealistically hopeful, though.thumbsupsmileyanim.gifSnowman.gifwub.gif

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I have 8 of the cranky, demanding brats! They really hate cold and I have to play door tender when I let them out for a while. Snow really makes them crazy too.

Will be funny to see them in 6" of snow hopping around!!

My mom just told me she will have to ride her mule to work on monday...I was thinking you had a mule??

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Will be funny to see them in 6" of snow hopping around!!

My mom just told me she will have to ride her mule to work on monday...I was thinking you had a mule??

The 4 wheel type (neighbors), Christmas we took a ride in it, no windshield and the snow was flying! Must be nuts.

Funny with cats, they shake their paws with every step in the snow.

I do like what is shown for this area last run!

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the New Nam stunk here in central NC. I thought we were starting to slowly get the moisture to work further North East through NC and then it shows this junk again. At 42 it looks poised to flood across NC but then it looks as if all the moisture was shunted East all the sudden during the next 6 hours and we are only left with leftovers my way and worse for Raleigh and points North.

Like others have said, I just don't get the NE vortex pulls out faster and we still end up with little to show for it.:gun_bandana:

Hopefully the Nam is just wrong but we are getting into its sweet time frame where it should be more accurate.

Still looks good for most of you South of me though.

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Not to be a weenie here, but this is pretty much pitiful for RDU. Almost towel-tossing time. That 18z NAM had the 540 line sliding north as well. I mean Va border north in those last frames. Not to mention precip (or lack there of). Definitely a storm for Ga, upstate SC, and west/sw NC.

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Not to be a weenie here, but this is pretty much pitiful for RDU. Almost towel-tossing time. That 18z NAM had the 540 line sliding north as well. I mean Va border north in those last frames. Not to mention precip (or lack there of). Definitely a storm for Ga, upstate SC, and west/sw NC.

You can be a weenie here. :)

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WxinCanton over on the model thread has posted a NAM40 showing a 1032 H over the Ohio Valley and slightly leading the L in the Gulf...that's what I've seen in the past for good sn in NC.

Could someone w/ experience clue me in as to what I would need to see in place on that NAM 40 for the Gulf low to strengthen w/ regards to QPF?

Thank you in advance.

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Alrighty then...Raleigh says .75 to 1.25 ( But our 4km shows N Alabama, N Georgia, upstate SC and the NC southwest piedmont as the bulls eye with 0.75 to 1.25.)

So at 15:1 for most of the event 10+" for Rosie through NEGa through ME and burrel and lilj to Foothills(Robert) and that includes STRONG (Mark).

Can this possibly be right?? Almost to good to be true!:thumbsup:

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Alrighty then...Raleigh says .75 to 1.25 ( But our 4km shows N Alabama, N Georgia, upstate SC and the NC southwest piedmont as the bulls eye with 0.75 to 1.25.)

So at 15:1 for most of the event 10+" for Rosie through NEGa through ME and burrel and lilj to Foothills(Robert) and that includes STRONG (Mark).

Can this possibly be right?? Almost to good to be true!:thumbsup:

Definitely too good to be true. :axe: From GSP's latest AFD:

AND THERE IS LINGERING CONCERN THAT CONVECTION NEAR

THE GULF MIGHT INTERFERE WITH THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE THAT WE WILL

HAVE AVAILABLE THIS FAR NORTH.

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Alrighty then...Raleigh says .75 to 1.25 ( But our 4km shows N Alabama, N Georgia, upstate SC and the NC southwest piedmont as the bulls eye with 0.75 to 1.25.)

So at 15:1 for most of the event 10+" for Rosie through NEGa through ME and burrel and lilj to Foothills(Robert) and that includes STRONG (Mark).

Can this possibly be right?? Almost to good to be true!:thumbsup:

We'll take it! Forecast is for 5 to 7 with higher amounts possible so who knows?

I am really glad I am retired at times like this!

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