chapelhillwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 They should just leave it up to the mods. During intense periods of activity on the forum like right now, some people need to be told that they need to STOP doing what they're doing. "durr can i get a total for peach cobbler county" isn't the constructive disco we need in the serious thread and should be in this thread. EDIT: Hugo89, you have a point. Probably wise to delete the first dumb post and then post if they make a habit of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 During intense periods of activity on the forum like right now, some people need to be told that they need to STOP doing what they're doing. "durr can i get a total for peach cobbler county" isn't the constructive disco we need in the serious thread and should be in this thread. This is true. And it can be done via PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 This is true. And it can be done via PM. This is also true. Although I feel like the worst of them haven't evolved enough to know what a PM is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 This is also true. Although I feel like the worst of them haven't evolved enough to know what a PM is! Is the plural of PM, PMS? Know what that is. Makes storm mode look like Sesame Street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Is the plural of PM, PMS? Know what that is. Makes storm mode look like Sesame Street. Not sure... but I did spend 6th through 8th grade at PMS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Not sure... but I did spend 6th through 8th grade at PMS. I have a wife and four daughters. You're not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Matthew East has RDU in an icy mix. http://mattheweast.blogspot.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I have a wife and four daughters. You're not even close. My sister is now 13 and I come home every day to smoldering craters near where my house used to be. Brick: We'll probably mix with or kick over to IP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Matthew East has RDU in an icy mix. http://mattheweast.blogspot.com/ Looks like a good call to me. In fact if you just used that map for every good sized NC winter event you would be correct about 3/4s of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NAM seems to be more north this run with the precip. Maybe we're starting to see the start of the north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NAM seems to be more north this run with the precip. Maybe we're starting to see the start of the north trend. Let's wait for it to finish! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Matthew East has RDU in an icy mix. http://mattheweast.blogspot.com/ NWS RAL agrees in the afternoon discussion. CONCERNING PTYPES...QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS...BUT A WEAK COASTAL LOW...LACK OF A TRUE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH...AND A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW AND H85 LOW WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS SUPPORTS A MORE MIXED PTYPE EVENT. SINCE THE LEAD SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO BE DEAMPLIFIED AND THE BEST HEIGHT FALLS WITH THE NORTHERN WAVE ARE PROGGED TO OCCUR OVER THE OHIO VALLEY..PRECIP AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE MAINLY DRIVEN BY MODEST WARM ADVECTION FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THIS ALSO ARGUES FOR A TRANSITION FROM SNOW AT ONSET TO A PTYPE MIX LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING (SNOW NW AND RAIN SE)...FITTING CLIMATOLOGY QUITE WELL. GFS/ECMWF CRITICAL THICKNESS NOMOGRAMS SUPPORT THIS THINKING ALSO...SO THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS MORE IN THE WAY OF A MIX FOR A LARGER PORTION OF THE CWA TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE TRIAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 An icy mix could actually be worse for the roads than all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 An icy mix could actually be worse for the roads than all snow. One example of that was Jan 30 vs. the Christmas storm. In January, snow mixed with and changed to sleet. The roads remained slick for a VERY long time. Storm was on Friday night and I sprained my wrist sledding on a ROAD on MONDAY. A couple weeks ago, we got a solid 5" but the roads were basically fine by that afternoon, despite at least 2" on them at the end of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Looks like the NAM is a step in the right direction, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 SECONDARY SURFACE LOW AND H85 LOW WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS So much for that Miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Looks like the NAM is a step in the right direction, though. Not really, QPF still sucks, really lightens up once hits NC, every model is showing this, this is going to be a light event for us, no 2 ways around that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Looks better according to this. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/7521-the-jan-9-10-storm-part-2/page__view__findpost__p__239670 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Looks better according to this. http://www.americanw...post__p__239670 Well it's good for southwest NC but for us this is going to be at most .25-40" of precip at best. Good news is it's going to hit DC and places north though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 To change directions just slightly, it looks like the CPC is giving up on any real prolonged cold for us folks: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well it's good for southwest NC but for us this is going to be at most .25-40" of precip at best. Good news is it's going to hit DC and places north though. I'd take 3 to 4 inches of all snow, but sounds like it is going to be a lot of mix. This thing just looks like a big disappointment compared to a couple of days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 This is a quality post on the main thread. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/7521-the-jan-9-10-storm-part-2/page__view__findpost__p__239794 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I'd take 3 to 4 inches of all snow, but sounds like it is going to be a lot of mix. This thing just looks like a big disappointment compared to a couple of days ago. I would too but GFS gave us 1/2" of snow and .25" of freezing rain, which is what the NAM looks like too. Non event for RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 To change directions just slightly, it looks like the CPC is giving up on any real prolonged cold for us folks: Best news we had all day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Best news we had all day! Yeah - but we can't cork it and open it back up in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I would too but GFS gave us 1/2" of snow and .25" of freezing rain, which is what the NAM looks like too. Non event for RDU. I think it could still cause a mess on the roads if we get ice on top of snow. A lot easier driving in just snow than ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I'd take 3 to 4 inches of all snow, but sounds like it is going to be a lot of mix. This thing just looks like a big disappointment compared to a couple of days ago. Yep. Real bummer at this point for the us folks in central NC. Oh well, I'm not giving up the ghost yet. Maybe we will see a trend back in our favor over the next two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Gotta love how the areas with heavy snow stop at a corner right above RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 So much for that Miller A Ugh. It was a nice dream while it lasted. What does the period after this event look like now for central and eastern NC? Will there be cold air in place for the next system or are we backing off that as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx n of atl Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Any suggestion on the best way to do a time-lapse video of the storm at night????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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