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January 10th-12th OV/MW/GL Winter Storm prospects


Madmaxweather

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  On 1/8/2011 at 6:25 PM, Chicago Storm said:

0.34" for CMH.

0.37" for ZZV.

Eh not bad from 0z. It wasn't a huge difference it don't seem for most place anyway. Thanks for posting the qpf totals and analysis guys. I know id be discouraged if it was only showing .09.. what's your largest storm so far?

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  On 1/8/2011 at 6:27 PM, dilly84 said:

Eh not bad from 0z. It wasn't a huge difference it don't seem for most place anyway. Thanks for posting the qpf totals and analysis guys. I know id be discouraged if it was only showing .09.. what's your largest storm so far?

4" back in mid Dec.

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  On 1/8/2011 at 6:37 PM, Chicago Storm said:

4" back in mid Dec.

Bout the same as CMH, theirs was a little over 3. Mine is like 1.5 or so.. winter has really been a downer so far.. you could be in line for a big one on the 16th.. looks like there's a good chance it'll be a sloppy mess here.. long ways out.

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  On 1/8/2011 at 7:44 PM, Hoosier said:

I'm not sure about farther west but for the eastern Midwest/OV, this type of setup reminds me of 12/8/05. Now, before buckeye directs obscenities my way, it probably wouldn't be an exact repeat. Just that there are some general similarities imo.

I'd take itthumbsupsmileyanim.gif

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=usrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=100&interval=5&year=2005&month=12&day=8&hour=13&minute=0

n0r_20051208_2215.png

n0r_20051208_1245.png

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  On 1/8/2011 at 7:44 PM, Hoosier said:

I'm not sure about farther west but for the eastern Midwest/OV, this type of setup reminds me of 12/8/05. Now, before buckeye directs obscenities my way, it probably wouldn't be an exact repeat. Just that there are some general similarities imo.

dont remember it, explain?

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One of the newest Euro runs has just come in and it continues to bring a good amount of QPF to the tri state. Here are some of the numbers from 1AM Tuesday through 7 AM Wednesday:

CVG: 0.26" which would equal about 3.6" of snow based on snow ratios of about 15:1

Hamilton: 0.29" which would equal about 4.6" of snow based on majority 15:1 ratio possibly going to 20:1 late.

Dayton: 0.30" which equals about 4.5" of snow on a 15:1 ratio

Columbus: 0.34", which equals about 5.5" of snow

Wilmington: 0.29" which would again equal about 4.6" of snow.

Frankfort, KY: 0.28" which would equal about 3.6" of snow based on a 15:1 ratio.

So in general the Euro is kicking out about 3-5" of snow for most of the tri state, with higher amounts northeast of Cincy. The timing is in agreement with the other models, and the qpf is in pretty good agreement with one other model.

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