moneypitmike Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Messenger is naked by hr 60. Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Little bit of enhancement and prolonging the snow as the ULL goes underneath us at 72h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Congrats! It gives you 3-5" through hr 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 It gives you 3-5" through hr 78. Cool--say godbye to the grass! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Messenger is naked by hr 60. As I thought....you were saying..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Ryan will be recanting to KeV after this run, general region SNE snow with lolls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The GFS is way faster with the ULL progression than the 12z EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Lets get that blob west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Some of the SREF members had that qpf max near and just E of the Cape further west over the region....so that is what we can hope for if you want to try and get greedy for a larger event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 It seems like the GFS tries to get the CCB going as the intense Manitoba Mauler disturbance around hour 36 dives to the south of the region trying to pull the SPV along with it, I think the trends are getting better with a faster secondary northern jet stream disturbance coming through the mid level flow. H7, H5 lows try to go to the south of us on the 18z GFS, 18z NAM was too slow with the northern stream energy and therefore went further northward then the GFS does. I think the 00z runs will show us the trends even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 MPM gets over 6". He'll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The NAM is borderline trough porn, I'm all over it. Time to start getting the warnings ready for SW CT. I'm feeling mighty fine with that thing hitting me solidly for the better part of the last 60 hours of runs. Obviously, but it's becoming obvious NYC area and us are going to get at least advisory snows. Good lord, does anyone have the debbie downer video ready? This is a sad place right now. :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Not bad Bullseye doesnt look suspicious at all, I'm locking this solution in. Whales on Stellwagen Bank FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 so it jumped over from nyc to eastern mass?? is there ever a central conn is getting crushed map?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 so it jumped over from nyc to eastern mass?? is there ever a central conn is getting crushed map?? I think it was on one run of the gfs/nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Nice to see the GFS cave on that norlun for NYC that was robbing New England of snows I think... great flip-flop (not sure you can call it a trend) for New England including the ski resorts in NNE.. could be looking at 6-12 across a 48 hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 so it jumped over from nyc to eastern mass?? is there ever a central conn is getting crushed map?? Just plan on a generalized two day event with periods of moderate snow everywhere, if someone gets lucky they get smoked but the theme today is more of a typical ULL Powdah puff blown off the streets deal, not a Nor'easter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 Ryan will be recanting to KeV after this run, general region SNE snow with lolls. He always does. He has trouble recognizing these setups Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 All kidding aside the GFS isn't all that different than the EC/NAM with the idea of a combo trough semi-comma head type deal. That's our great white hope. Crazy how changes are coming every six hours on this scale inside of 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 Probably see WSW's for all of SNE tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Probably see WSW's for all of SNE tomorrow morning I doubt they hoist watches given the duration...probably an advisory event for most places at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 It's obvious that NYC and sw CT are obviously going to be the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 It's ok.. some odd numbered ones go east-west as well. thats what i thought ....anyways I-95 i always though of it as runnig more east-west since it runs along the CT shoreline Just kidding with you, think the corridor get a nice 3-6 with lolls, nice snowy period, hopefully the ULL is full of vigor too. haha yeah its cool we needed your positivity around here today, looks like a long duration light-mod snowfall for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I doubt they hoist watches given the duration...probably an advisory event for most places at best. Right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Probably see WSW's for all of SNE tomorrow morning lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Just plan on a generalized two day event with periods of moderate snow everywhere, if someone gets lucky they get smoked but the theme today is more of a typical , ULL Powdah puff blown off the streets deal, not a Nor'easter sounds good to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 All kidding aside the GFS isn't all that different than the EC/NAM with the idea of a combo trough semi-comma head type deal. That's our great white hope. Crazy how changes are coming every six hours on this scale inside of 72 hours. You know the pattern, see it at 144 lose it at 96 see it again at 48, should be a nice region wide powder as we thought. Nice scenery changer, need to work hard to get this out of here after Sat to let the big dog slide in, Euro Enns are again changing like Ray changes his depends, every twelve hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Nice to see the GFS cave on that norlun for NYC that was robbing New England of snows I think... great flip-flop (not sure you can call it a trend) for New England including the ski resorts in NNE.. could be looking at 6-12 across a 48 hour period. The trends are from H7 to H5, not necessarily at the surface at this time. This will change though. Likely a nowcasting situation. All kidding aside the GFS isn't all that different than the EC/NAM with the idea of a combo trough semi-comma head type deal. That's our great white hope. Crazy how changes are coming every six hours on this scale inside of 72 hours. Our hope of big snows is with the 18z GFS idea of a faster northern stream disturbance moving through the Great Lakes and Oh Valley. If this can happen it will force the SPV further south and southeast. We need the CCB or Comma head to materialize a little faster. models tend to have trouble with these features, especially on the western side of the cyclone. Still a lot of time for further and better trends. Probably see WSW's for all of SNE tomorrow morning Maybe. TAN is rather conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.