weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I think what John (Tip) was referring to was this....D8... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The 18z NOGAPS slides the leading edge under us and then the whole vortex joins it and gives E MA a HECS, lol. Very plausible....I said Sunday night that we wouldn't even begin to have an idea until Wednesday and I'm sticking to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 big snowstorm coming to SNE ok ignore the euro and gfs ctblizzard24 is in the house (or is it katodog?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 A few weenies have broken at my place if they were bigger than 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The 18z NOGAPS slides the leading edge under us and then the whole vortex joins it and gives E MA a HECS, lol. Flag or fluke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 How did the euro handle it Euro didn't do much with it (which is good) but then decided to pinch off the leading edge of the vortex as it was going off the coast of the Mid-Atlantic and let it run out to sea screwing us in that manner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Ride the NAM. 1'+ for everyone..everyone else will join at 00z tonight. Nam/Nogaps > Euro/GFS/GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 See HM's post today about norlun troughs and heavy snowfall I said I know it's possible, but I'll bet against it everytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Euro didn't do much with it (which is good) but then decided to pinch off the leading edge of the vortex as it was going off the coast of the Mid-Atlantic and let it run out to sea screwing us in that manner. All these little nuances are anyone's guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 You mean the model that schooled all the others last week? Did the Euro Ensm. not score well in the 4-5day range with this past system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Flag or fluke? It's just as likely as the each individual cosmic dildo soloution imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The one out over the Atlantic at about 60 hours...its hard to say exactly which vortmax is forming it as they become diffuse looking before redeveloping out over the water. Regardless, with so many moving parts, its going to be a nightmare. Yeah, it seems related to that shortwave currently over Northern NM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 Since every model has some semblance of the Norlun it's obviously real..where it sets up determines if you get 3-6 or 6-12 +. Not rocket science Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The 18z NOGAPS slides the leading edge under us and then the whole vortex joins it and gives E MA a HECS, lol. I think the 18z GFS started out okay and did the usual later. I like that the NOGAPs maybe will be the signal for a clearer trend. We saw both NCEP models slow things down, just not enough yet. What we need is another 12 hours delay and then we'll have a party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The 18z NOGAPS slides the leading edge under us and then the whole vortex joins it and gives E MA a HECS, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Since every model has some semblance of the Norlun it's obviously real..where it sets up determines if you get 3-6 or 6-12 +. Not rocket science The EURO gives some folks 6-12.....wasn't aware of that. Let me rephrase that....it's not very doubtfull that we some some type of inverted trough, but the idea of anyone getting near 1' from it is a stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 The EURO gives some folks 6-12.....wasn't aware of that. Let me rephrase that....it's not very doubtfull that we some some type of inverted trough, but the idea of anyone getting near 1' from it is a stretch. Yes the Cape gets 6+ on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Yes the Cape gets 6+ on the Euro 6" I can see.....1' is doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 18Z NOGAPS puts a 964mb at the Benchmark at 96 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The EURO gives some folks 6-12.....wasn't aware of that. Let me rephrase that....it's not very doubtfull that we some some type of inverted trough, but the idea of anyone getting near 1' from it is a stretch. I agree, based on what is being shown now I certainly wouldn't expect many 1' totals...more like 3-6'' or 4-8'' type deal with of course some areas getting into some higher amounts. These things are so darn tricky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 D8 storm is still a bomb on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 A crushing hit for all SNE on the Nogaps. Load it ..then lock it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 6" I can see.....1' is doubtful. The Cape did well on the Euro, eastern MA gets 2-4. It doesn't matter...this is still so much a work in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 NOGAPS verbatim is nearly CC special......but I would call that a red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 accuweather gives 16.5" of snow I am assuming these number are from last nights oz run!? Actually last night it said 12.5 so it probably isnt from last night. the weird thing is if you punch in worcester it shows 0.0 Highly inaccurate at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 D8 storm is still a bomb on the GFS. Some of us have issues verbatim though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 A crushing hit for all SNE on the Nogaps. Load it ..then lock it southeast SNE you mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Some of us have issues verbatim though... Your pain is my gain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 NOGAPS verbatim is nearly CC special......but I would call that a red flag. The normally paltry model spits out an inch or more for most of eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Did I read from someone that the 12z Euro Ensm. were a hair better than the Op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.