DomNH Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:20 PM, moneypitmike said: What's whdh? WHDH and the legendary Pete Bouchard: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hEnvvW7IjrM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 so i guess as the nam rolls forward the critical question is wether it shifts the inv. trough NE and we get some inflow to give higher QPF via euro or it leaves it to mostly rot over the NE pa S NY SW CT area as the HPC favored last nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Looking pretty good imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:25 PM, ETauntonMA said: Nam luvs LI........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:26 PM, Dryslot said: Nam luvs LI........ That trough is dumping on the NYC/LI area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 pete bouchard clip :weight_lift: did he really say that. awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wokeupthisam Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:12 PM, Dryslot said: This is awful, I feel bad for the Mets that have to forecast this storm off of these........ Seems that way but if they run with any one model or init time they'll be cooked in a pattern like this. Guessing they're using ensembles and looking at more than one run. Also see alot of 'track is uncertain' / "could change - stay tuned" type language in the forecasts so far this year, which is definitely called for. As much as I keep looking for a consensus storm from 5 days out, it has been an education just watching the changes and reading about what's making it so tough to nail down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 NAM is already shifting the Norlun back northeast..Instead of sw of NYC it's now NE of NYC and likely not done yet AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:25 PM, ETauntonMA said: Looking pretty good imo. i think QPF may crap the bed edit hr 60 congrats S NY SW cT central/ E L. I hpc called for 6-8 inch strip there last nite.....qpf thru 60 says yep. ct bliz look at the 48 54 60 hour frames for QPF over the area from S ny and SW CT perhaps 8 miles NE of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:28 PM, ETauntonMA said: That trough is dumping on the NYC/LI area. Conveyor belt... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Nam looks to fire up another trough over Central Maine....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:31 PM, cpickett79 said: i think QPF may crap the bed It may but still looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:30 PM, CT Blizz said: NAM is already shifting the Norlun back northeast..Instead of sw of NYC it's now NE of NYC and likely not done yet AWT And it's a wicked norlun as it comes back this way. It's a neat depiction on the NAM, ripping snow just on the other side of the sharp dry slot/air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 blizzard conditions for I-95 eastbound exits 7-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:25 PM, ETauntonMA said: Looking pretty good imo. I think Rick is smiling quietly in Knox as he watches this qpf unfold on his house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:30 PM, CT Blizz said: NAM is already shifting the Norlun back northeast..Instead of sw of NYC it's now NE of NYC and likely not done yet AWT That thing could move 1 or 2 hundred miles at this time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Wow at the total QPF in the NYC/LI area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 qpf max appears to be LI/S NY just north and east of NYC as well as SW CT. 2NDRY max a good chunk of ME above PWM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:31 PM, cpickett79 said: i think QPF may crap the bed edit hr 60 congrats S NY SW cT w L. I hpc called for 6-8 inch strip there last nite.....qpf thru 60 says yep. ct bliz look at the 48 54 60 hour frames for QPF over the area from S ny and SW CT perhaps 8 miles NE of NYC. Hopefully we can all share in on the fun-- ABC already calling for 3-6 inches for western areas here and 6-10 for eastern areas.... might be a bit premature to issue a forecast though lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:34 PM, ORH_wxman said: That thing could move 1 or 2 hundred miles at this time range. Right..which is what i was saying this AM..I just don't think NYC is where it rips. Nice to see the Euro give all of us advisory -low end warning snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 If this run actually verified I would probably get more snow out of this than I did with the Blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:34 PM, ORH_wxman said: That thing could move 1 or 2 hundred miles at this time range. To it's usual climo position of coastal ME/NH/E MA, AWT hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:36 PM, DomNH said: To it's usual climo position of coastal ME/NH/E MA, AWT hopefully. Yes....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Should be a fun ride for me through NY up to SE Mass friday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:34 PM, ORH_wxman said: That thing could move 1 or 2 hundred miles at this time range. Will looking at the 5h set up and the modeled SW's as we get closer is there any reason to suggest that the highest QPF will not be SHifting to the "climo" area of E SNE as many are posting. I mean is there reason for those over SW CT ....Central LI to be gaining confidence in a plowable snow or not yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:40 PM, cpickett79 said: Will looking at the 5h set up and the modeled SW's as we get closer is there any reason to suggest that the highest QPF will not be SHifting to the "climo" area of E SNE as many are posting. I mean is there reason for those over SW CT ....Central LI to be gaining confidence in a plowable snow or not yet? Do you honestly think anyone can give a definitive answer to that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:36 PM, DomNH said: To it's usual climo position of coastal ME/NH/E MA, AWT hopefully. That's what the Doc brought to the table, isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Through 78 hours, a rather small penis of 0.25 goes through Ray's BY and out to the ocean just north of BOS. Still going then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:43 PM, weathafella said: Through 78 hours, a rather small penis of 0.25 goes through Ray's BY and out to the ocean just north of BOS. Still going then. Kevin is going to work on that quote... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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