HoarfrostHubb Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 7:15 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: No.....looooong duration events are more prone to settling....not whining, but it is what it is......prob. a nice 3" or so depth....5" snowfall. Giant dendrites piles up like a house of cards... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Here goes the NAM again...back to the more SE track with the s/w out of Canada. Just doesn't want to stay with more southerly digging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 15z SREF's came in more robust than 9z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 7:54 PM, ETauntonMA said: 15z SREF's came in more robust than 9z. link sir (i will save it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 7:54 PM, cpickett79 said: link sir (i will save it) http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 7:54 PM, ETauntonMA said: 15z SREF's came in more robust than 9z. They still stink IMO.. .25 is nothing to boast about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 7:58 PM, snowNH said: They still stink IMO.. .25 is nothing to boast about How many more today do we have to endure...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 7:58 PM, snowNH said: They still stink IMO.. .25 is nothing to boast about That's 5-10" with good ratios. By 30 hrs the NAM has out the whooping stick with a massive band of snow now 3 miles wide. At least early it stinks compared to the 12z, could change as we roll along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I don't have a lot of faith in the SREFs. They really did not do too well with the DEC 20th snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:05 PM, messenger said: That's 5-10" with good ratios. By 30 hrs the NAM has out the whooping stick with a massive band of snow now 3 miles wide. At least early it stinks compared to the 12z, could change as we roll along. Do we ever get ratios that high in New England where 0.25" can produce 10"? Maybe in Tolland, CT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:05 PM, weathafella said: How many more today do we have to endure...... There coming out of there bunkers......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:07 PM, HubbDave said: Do we ever get ratios that high in New England where 0.25" can produce 10"? Maybe in Tolland, CT... In December I got like 20:1 ratios with that wrap around ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I would say .25" of QPF could produce 5" of snow, especially in the western areas of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Looks like another new solution coming. The s/w is being slowed so much as it approaches the coast at 30-36 hours vs earlier runs. Still kind of amazing the models are having this much trouble inside of even 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 How has Snownh been allowed to stay a member here? I've never seen anything like it. He's on 5 posts per day and all 5 are troll posts. How is he still here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The coastline would probably see 15:1 ratios at best, but inland areas could see 20:1 at of this. 18z NAM at 30 hours can't tell if this will be a good hit or not, the time period we are at is around 48 hours still, still out of the NAM's deadly range. So we will just have to see how this unfolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:09 PM, messenger said: Looks like another new solution coming. The s/w is being slowed so much as it approaches the coast at 30-36 hours vs earlier runs. Still kind of amazing the models are having this much trouble inside of even 36 hours. thing is, you could restart the model again right now and it would be different again. it almost has to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:09 PM, messenger said: Looks like another new solution coming. The s/w is being slowed so much as it approaches the coast at 30-36 hours vs earlier runs. Still kind of amazing the models are having this much trouble inside of even 36 hours. This is awful, I feel bad for the Mets that have to forecast this storm off of these........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 nevermind ....mis-read 34 partly cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:13 PM, cpickett79 said: how is that a troll post? he says .25 does not equal 10 inches ... .....i mean it's ez to pile on but this post doesn't seem that out of line. No he said .25 is nothing to boast about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:12 PM, Dryslot said: This is awful, I feel bad for the Mets that have to forecast this storm off of these........ I'd say a general meh 2-4''/3-6'' for most at this point. Probably won't know details until tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 36h the 18z NAM is still much different than the 12z NAm at hour 42. Amazing. The southern stream energy phases with the northern stream energy, however this energy combines into the ocean storm well to the southeast and east of the region, we all pretty much know this will happen, however the NAM brings this energy closer to SNE now. So there is still a lot going on, especially with so many s/ws moving through the trough and upper level flow. Amazing inconsistencies. Also the NAM handles the SPV differently as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:15 PM, DomNH said: I'd say a general meh 2-4''/3-6'' for most at this point. Probably won't know details until tomorrow night. Yeah, Thats just as good a guess as any 1-3" is not out of the cards...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 15z ETA brings some fun times for NE MA up into S Coastal ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 whdh put out an early sf call map. They have 3-6" for southern half of CT, se mass, and the cape and islands and into se NY. 1-3" across all of mass, ENY, and the coast of NH/Maine. North of S VT and SNH they have flurries. A little to early for a call like this IMO but just thought Id mention it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:16 PM, CCPSUSuperstorm2010 said: 36h the 18z NAM is still much different than the 12z NAm at hour 42. Amazing. The southern stream energy phases with the northern stream energy, however this energy combines into the ocean storm well to the southeast and east of the region, we all pretty much know this will happen, however the NAM brings this energy closer to SNE now. So there is still a lot going on, especially with so many s/ws moving through the trough and upper level flow. Amazing inconsistencies. Also the NAM handles the SPV differently as well. where are you getting that from. at hr 42 it is deeper with ocean storm but even further away. unless i am mis-reading something here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:18 PM, weatherMA said: whdh put out an early sf call map. They have 3-6" for southern half of CT, se mass, and the cape and islands and into se NY. 1-3" across all of mass, ENY, and the coast of NH/Maine. North of S VT and SNH they have flurries. A little to early for a call like this IMO but just thought Id mention it. What's whdh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:20 PM, moneypitmike said: What's whdh? Boston based news station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:12 PM, Dryslot said: This is awful, I feel bad for the Mets that have to forecast this storm off of these........ This is nothing imo. No one should be throwing out totals right now anyway. Probs are high for at least some snow so you throw a little snow graphic in your forecast, up your POPs, and then save the numbers for later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 On 1/5/2011 at 8:18 PM, cpickett79 said: where are you getting that from. at hr 42 it is deeper with ocean storm but even further away. unless i am mis-reading something here Yes it is deeper with energy and at hour 30 it is further northwest with the precip, then the 12z NAM was at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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