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Jan 11-12 Model/Forecasting Discussion


Ji

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I get what you are saying about NY crowd. However, I think in this case it maybe should be ranked higher. This is not the thread for this discussion, but I think, even though DC got screwed, there was snow in all of NOrth Carolina, heavy at that by their standards, as well in relatively well-populated Hampton Roads. Throw in a good dose of snow in Philly and Boston, and a raging blizzard in NY, i can see based on how NESIS is set up, it would be ranked higher. But the New York crowd is annoying with stuff like this.. But they have to talk up something since that Norlun Trough didn't quite work out for them today as they had hoped..

I actually didn't think it would be ranked higher than Feb 5-6 last year, but I thought it could be close, so I'm not totally shocked it ended up slightly higher. The thing to remember in the Feb 5-6 storm is that while there were some really big population areas that got hammered, there were plenty that got completely shutout. The Dec storm whiffed DC/BWI but it got NYC metro and BOS metro...both with 18"+ amounts. Then you had the large area of snow in NC and SE VA. That can make up for some lesser coverage pretty quickly on the scale because of the population centers.

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As Wes has said 50 million times, snow ratios are more about the upper levels than the surface. Common weenie mistake. I have seen it snow crappy little grains with a temp in the teens.

Yes, was going to post this. It's more about the temps in the snow growth regions.

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I actually didn't think it would be ranked higher than Feb 5-6 last year, but I thought it could be close, so I'm not totally shocked it ended up slightly higher. The thing to remember in the Feb 5-6 storm is that while there were some really big population areas that got hammered, there were plenty that got completely shutout. The Dec storm whiffed DC/BWI but it got NYC metro and BOS metro...both with 18"+ amounts. Then you had the large area of snow in NC and SE VA. That can make up for some lesser coverage pretty quickly on the scale because of the population centers.

yeah, I agree with you

12/26 was expansive even if the heavy accumulations were limited to a relatively small geographic area

seems to make sense that the expansiveness of the accumulating snow makes up for a lot, plus the heavy accumulations did fall in high pop areas from Ilg N & E

what's it matter now anyway, both storms are ground water now

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