Fozz Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Accuwx continues its weenieness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 40N/70W That is the ideal latitude and longitude for a good I95 snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 ens mean northern branch is way dug into the SE. compared to the op, ens has more expansive precip than the op, here is where they differ hr 102 op low turns ene from hat ots all of a sudden hr 102... ens. the low goes NNE instead of ENE ens are atleast 75miles further north with the low due east of va 75-100 miles compared to 75-100 miles east of hat hr 114 ens are way west nj looking good hr 120 low near the benchmark compared to couple hundred miles due east of va capes on the op could be. the op has been consistent enough not to weigh the ens more heavily imo. i deleted your big DT like ending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 can someone tell a newbie to this what "the benchmark" is? I hear it referred to quite a bit. 40n 70w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 They had it nailed yesterday. I have it from reliable sources that Accuwx's "super-secret" model has this stormed nailed and it's a KU bomb for the I-95 corridor DC-BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 west thru 114 as well.. looks like it would be a decent hit It being west is a nice development. Do you get ens mean precip from it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Damn euro gives Philly .60 from the midweek storm? How did they weasel their way to that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 can someone tell a newbie to this what "the benchmark" is? I hear it referred to quite a bit. This is the 40/70 benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 phineas is secretely a weenie Who would have guessed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 could be. the op has been consistent enough not to weigh the ens more heavily imo. i deleted your big DT like ending. Makes me think the operational still has some room to improve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 It being west is a nice development. Do you get ens mean precip from it? no totals, just on each panel. it looks like it would be a little more than the op around here at least, though it looks less near the center but that could just be smoothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Damn euro gives Philly .60 from the midweek storm? How did they weasel their way to that? Philly wins every time. They got 25"+ from both 12/19 last year and 2/6, they got a foot of snow on 12/26, and yet again, they will be getting 6-10" while we get 2-3".........according to the latest runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 This is the 40/70 benchmark Is that a picture of Ray?, i always thought he would be a big fat ugly dude . He is one handsome man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Who would have guessed? You have been funnier lately. You went through a weird phase for a while in mid-December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Makes me think the operational still has some room to improve. i thought it should have been a little west of 0z with the 500 look so that's possible if it continues into 0z tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 loving me some nam right now looking good so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 loving me some nam right now looking good so far Ya but the run will kill the s/w in next panel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 no totals, just on each panel. it looks like it would be a little more than the op around here at least, though it looks less near the center but that could just be smoothing Thanks, the 66hr nam looks like it will be an ok run still nice digging of the trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Midlo...... wtf model is that? Those made me laugh out loud. Especially preceeded by the cat looking sideways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 They had it nailed yesterday. What happened then? This new map is full of equivocation..."may turn up the coast", "snow threat". What happened to painting the 95 corridor with "HEAVY SNOW"?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The NAM is looking mighty threatening. It is pumped up for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The NAM is looking mighty threatening. It is pumped up for sure. im excited that soon the nam will be in range so we dont have to see it extrapolated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NAM definitely likes that northern s/w at 84hrs. Much stronger than the corresponding 12z GFS. NAM actually pops a defined surface low over KC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NAM definitely likes that northern s/w at 84hrs. Much stronger than the corresponding 12z GFS. NAM actually pops a defined surface low over KC! We can only pray the NAM at 84 hours is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 the NAM at 84 looks way better than the GFS at 90. it looks pretty potent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NAM definitely likes that northern s/w at 84hrs. Much stronger than the corresponding 12z GFS. NAM actually pops a defined surface low over KC! That doesn't leave me feeling that warm and fuzzy as it smacks of a miller be hybrid and if the southern stream system doesn't get going quick enough. We might even have ptype problems. Certainly would be wintery weather. That's a huge change from the earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 it's the 84 hr nam people!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 it's the 84 hr nam people!! Yes it is and I'm going to go run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 That doesn't leave me feeling that warm and fuzzy as it smacks of a miller be hybrid and if the southern stream system doesn't get going quick enough. We might even have ptype problems. Certainly would be wintery weather. That's a huge change from the earlier runs. I am now with mitchnick. I'll take my chances with a juicy more inland system and temp issues. I am tired of this fringed BS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Yes it is and I'm going to go run. im not letting you get down on this.. we're getting some snow. :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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