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Jan 11-12 Model/Forecasting Discussion


Ji

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Any thoughts that the QFP could be under down? The Southern branch looks potentially juicy. Possibly a wider precipitation field also.

I don't think it will increase greatly. Track of the storm will not allow for too much northerly trend. It could even go lower.

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I don't think it will increase greatly. Track of the storm will not allow for too much northerly trend. It could even go lower.

Eh, I don't agree. You have been saying "the models blow so why buy the nice snow depictions" but by the same token it is sort of silly to act like the .27 on the Euro cannot become .40 in 100 hours. It could also become 0.0, of course.

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Eh, I don't agree. You have been saying "the models blow so why buy the nice snow depictions" but by the same token it is sort of silly to act like the .27 on the Euro cannot become .40 in 100 hours. It could also become 0.0, of course.

I think you have my take wrong. My stance is that there will be a storm but I just can't buy into any bomb scenario a la the GGEM from last night. Quibbling about QPF right now is silly. I clearly have no clue how much precip will fall as any of us do. Please believe me that I am happy a storm is shown and I am very hopefull that we get 4"+ but I'm just being overly cautious.

I agree that QPf totals can and will go either way. .4 or over would not surprise me.

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