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Jan 11-12 Model/Forecasting Discussion


Ji

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dubious as in too high or too low? It would bring a nice 3-6".... maybe 4-8 if we were lucky

too high was initial thought just looking at the surface maps .. coastal is still pretty east

i like it because 2-4/3-6 was my high end thoughts.. i just dont see the big time storm.. though i guess it could still go back to the 0/6z from last night

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too high was initial thought just looking at the surface maps .. coastal is still pretty east

i like it because 2-4/3-6 was my high end thoughts.. i just dont see the big time storm.. though i guess it could still go back to the 0/6z from last night

UKIE gives me pause though... should be an interesting model night

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well it might be more how it looks at the surface.. the 700/500 maps look good. im just now looking at the rest, i skipped the output part. :P

The track is pretty good. The low is not a monster, certainly. It seems like forever since we have had a "standard" 3-7 inch coastal storm. It seems we either get big storms or crap.

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I think ORH_wxman likes to look at it around day 3. If it is really wound-up that sometimes means you are looking at a coastal track.

consistency is nice i guess. i havent checked the past 15 runs so ill take dr no's word. it could just be an old fashioned quick hitting secs.

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