Ji Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Pv moving out faster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Pv moving out faster? even if it is, so far it is leaving behind those tentacles of energy instead of consolidating to a smaller spinning vortex closer to the preferred 50/50 location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Pv moving out faster? Manic phase for Ji? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 this looks like my face now when i look at models...cant it all just phase? NAM looks way better at 0z with the pac NW shortwave, it is more consolidated and it is moving south not shooting east and ripping apart like 18z It will don't worry, the dagger storm on models are showing now could very well be a pacific initialization error it just looks skewed up to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 NAM looks way better at 0z with the pac NW shortwave, it is more consolidated and it is moving south not shooting east and ripping apart like 18z It will don't worry, the dagger storm on models are showing now could very well be a pacific initialization error it just looks skewed up to me. yeah, and the NAM has the southern stream storm on hold, moving much slower compare the sim/rad to 18Z and its much further west, but stronger returns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 randy says it sucks but i think NAM at 84 looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 yeah, and the NAM has the southern stream storm on hold, moving much slower compare the sim/rad to 18Z and its much further west, but stronger returns Not to mention higher heights and SLP upstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 The jet streak out west looks pretty good on the nam. Could possibly be enough to carve out a sharper base to the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 randy says it sucks but i think NAM at 84 looks good this looks to be heading right for us http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/index_ref_s_loop.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 randy says it sucks but i think NAM at 84 looks good Agree. Like the look of the amped up western wave coming out of the Rockies. If the primary gulf low dampens out like some models are showing, given the disconnect with the western wave, maybe a slower gulf solution will eventually help capture the western energy in time. I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 randy says it sucks but i think NAM at 84 looks good I don't see how 4 March 1960s identical twin sucks. I guess that storm screwed the DC area a little, we only got around 10-15 while further NE got 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 randy says it sucks but i think NAM at 84 looks good I am happy that you like the NAM at 84 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 this looks to be heading right for us http://www.nco.ncep....ef_s_loop.shtml Lakes Cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Lakes Cutter trouble maker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 randy says it sucks but i think NAM at 84 looks good thats before i saw the 84 hour panel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 any of this hitting the ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 not yet snowlng in york,pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Few flurries in Loudoun county, VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 any of this hitting the ground? not yet snowlng in york,pa Few flurries in Loudoun county, VA Wrong thread!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 You could be considered part of the Upstate subforum, or the Mid Atlantic subforum, or PHL. someone from s-cent pa asked a mod in the phil forum.... and i use all 3 of these forums thanks... i'm on that radar loop so why not answer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 00Z GFS is an improvement for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 00Z GFS is an improvement for sure. Now if we can just get it to verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 00Z GFS is an improvement for sure. we got to do better than 2-4 inches....weve been tracking this for a week with over 1000 posts....we need to catch a break...a full phase or something. Some of the ensemble members give us a MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i like this run of the gfs a lot.. it sort of fits into what i've been thinking though im dubious of the qpf a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i like this run of the gfs a lot.. it sort of fits into what i've been thinking though im dubious of the qpf a little Any less QPF and we get a dusting so I am not sure we'd have a storm at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 we got to do better than 2-4 inches....weve been tracking this for a week with over 1000 posts....we need to catch a break...a full phase or something. Some of the ensemble members give us a MECS You have a disorder, dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 At this point I'll take a 2-4" snow and run with it.......too desperate to desire a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 i like this run of the gfs a lot.. it sort of fits into what i've been thinking though im dubious of the qpf a little dubious as in too high or too low? It would bring a nice 3-6".... maybe 4-8 if we were lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Any less QPF and we get a dusting so I am not sure we'd have a storm at that point. well it might be more how it looks at the surface.. the 700/500 maps look good. im just now looking at the rest, i skipped the output part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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