Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 ggem looks about 15-20 mm around me.. similar to 12z if eyeballing correctly tho i may be generous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 You are getting old, you used to stay up much later. Or it could be that I have to get up extra early than normal and I'm conserving my energy for when it counts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 GFS and GGEM are both 6-10" This is a VERY good time to go to bed. 'Night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 ggem looks about 15-20 mm around me.. similar to 12z if eyeballing correctly tho i may be generous More like 20-25mm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Or it could be that I have to get up extra early than normal and I'm conserving my energy for when it counts? Your not as dumb as you look , have a great night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I think the middle map is wrong on the time. They are all the correct maps I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 They are all the correct maps I think yeah I read it wrong. I just deleted it since it clogs the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 More like 20-25mm mm, on the maps sacrus posted looks like ~10, 5, 5 and thats on the high end of each but at 5 days out i'll give you 5 mm if it's that important Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 looks like about 1000 replies in 2 days in the initial thread. Start anew? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 mm, on the maps sacrus posted looks like ~10, 5, 5 and thats on the high end of each but at 5 days out i'll give you 5 mm if it's that important What is 5 mm between friends, oh right that is more then i have had all winter so far . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 ji started a new thread which i guess we should migrate to.. im sure this will get closed but ill leave it open b/c maybe someone wants to respond to something http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/7383-the-jan-11-31-storm-threat-part-ii/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Awesome storm, only draw back is it's a canonball. Hopefully it'll find a way to slow down. I'll take it as is though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 it's going to be a rough start now that we only have the euro whiff left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 My gut tells me the Euro will look awful and probably worse than 12Z. This is the sort of night when the Euro does that. I bet the UKMET is hideous as well. That dumb model never looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 it's going to be a rough start now that we only have the euro whiff left Did you forget about the Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 it's going to be a rough start now that we only have the euro whiff left when GFS and Euro actually agree on a snow event for us AT THE SAME TIME...ill get excited. This hasn't happened yet this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 My gut tells me the Euro will look awful and probably worse than 12Z. This is the sort of night when the Euro does that. I bet the UKMET is hideous as well. That dumb model never looks good. UKMET will have a a 1041 low 200 east of JAX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Did you forget about the Ukie. I really only care about the American and euro suites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 i would of changed the title of the thread to say Jan 11-12 but I didnt want to jinx anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 I really only care about the American and euro suites the UK is in euro isnt it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 I really only care about the American and euro suites So your telling me if the GGEM and the Ukie both show different solutions then the GFS and Euro you do not pay that any mind?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 the UK is in euro isnt it? Ian is flush with cash and since they do not use the Euro there he does not consider it part of Europe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 So your telling me if the GGEM and the Ukie both show different solutions then the GFS and Euro you do not pay that any mind?. The UKMET is a garbage model. That guy from Bermuda always tells everyone it is the "second best model" but it jumps around way too much for that to be true outside of some sort of academic definition of "best." I promise you it will be terrible tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 the UK is in euro isnt it? i guess but it's not the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 The UKMET is a garbage model. That guy from Bermuda always tells everyone it is the "second best model" but it jumps around way too much for that to be true outside of some sort of academic definition of "best." I promise you it will be terrible tonight. But i always thought it had the second best verification scores after the Euro?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 My gut tells me the Euro will look awful and probably worse than 12Z. This is the sort of night when the Euro does that. I bet the UKMET is hideous as well. That dumb model never looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 I would love to turn these model threads to obs threads. only 21 more runs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 So your telling me if the GGEM and the Ukie both show different solutions then the GFS and Euro you do not pay that any mind?. i see them posted here all the time so im sure they are factored in but i dont go looking for them in general .. gfs/euro/ensembles/nam/sref are pretty solid combos. i guess more is better but im not smart enough to synthesize it all in my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 i see them posted here all the time so im sure they are factored in but i dont go looking for them in general .. gfs/euro/ensembles/nam/sref are pretty solid combos. i guess more is better but im not smart enough to synthesize it all in my head. So basically i should not get to excited when the GGEM shows a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 So basically i should not get to excited when the GGEM shows a bomb. whenever the globals support eachother it is good. the euro should actually probably be better based on what's happened since yesterday with various things. if it's not someone's waving a red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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