aldie 22 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 it's best to operate under the assumption we'll get screwed until it's blatantly obvious otherwise Looks to me like we are going to be building up some positive temp departures over the next few days....unless it gets really cold maybe this January won't be all that cold afterall....DCA hits 50 tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Some weird chit going on in this thread.... Buckeye thinks this storm is going to be a cutter. Is he using the 18Z KMA and FIM as evidence? Buckeye loves obscure crappy models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Looks to me like we are going to be building up some positive temp departures over the next few days....unless it gets really cold maybe this January won't be all that cold afterall....DCA hits 50 tomorrow? i guess 50 is possible but clouds should hold us back enough... i dunno enough about long range to really make an educated guess other than liking persistence. but for some reason i feel like it's going to break by the final 3rd of the mo... guess we'll see. so far there's been some good cold and there has been ideas of more modeled but we're so far not seeing many direct blasts of arctic air.. .more modified stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 i guess 50 is possible but clouds should hold us back enough... i dunno enough about long range to really make an educated guess other than liking persistence. but for some reason i feel like it's going to break by the final 3rd of the mo... guess we'll see. so far there's been some good cold and there has been ideas of more modeled but we're so far not seeing many direct blasts of arctic air.. .more modified stuff. +10 at least at all three airports so tomorrow will add to that. I smell a rat with this cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Is he using the 18Z KMA and FIM as evidence? Buckeye loves obscure crappy models. fyi...........since you are discussing possibility of a lake cutter.................from am19psu.................. http://www.americanw...post__p__217560 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 It's a possibility... but it depends on how long the pv to the north east hangs on ... if it gets out of the way to fast, this storm can easily cut to t he lakes. :X If I see highs in the 30s and dry, followed by an Apps runner, followed by highs in the 30s and dry, I'm going to go postal. Then I'm going to go change a diaper or two so I can get a good, up close look at some real ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Some weird chit going on in this thread.... Buckeye thinks this storm is going to be a cutter. i do??? that would suck, a cutter means rain for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 i do??? that would suck, a cutter means rain for me spooky ok....more west than currently modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 well the GFS is looking pretty potent with that southwest s/w at 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Hmmmm..... Not very good at that point though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 well the GFS is looking pretty potent with that southwest s/w at 108 0z says it's gon rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Not sure I'm liking this so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 If you want snow you shouldn't like this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 1 low heads to wva another develops nc coast then goes boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 0z says it's gon rain If you want snow you shouldn't like this run. NASO fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 congrats north east this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Strike three called on another CUTTER!! Now the ground crew will come out and cover the field, as the rain has begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Like I have said since October... cold/dry, warm/rain, cold/dry That is La Nina down here, guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Well by hour 180 the block decides it will finally pull its weight and prevent it from cutting to the western lakes.. starts to push things east finally. Might force a secondary low somewhere along the east coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The upper energy is still digging... go figure, it's a Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Well by hour 180 the block decides it will finally pull its wait and prevent it from cutting to the western lakes.. starts to push things east finally. Might force a secondary low somewhere along the east coast... yea main thing is it still has a storm no need to jump ship now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Well by hour 180 the block decides it will finally pull its wait and prevent it from cutting to the western lakes.. starts to push things east finally. Might force a secondary low somewhere along the east coast... Probably too late for DC southward. But 8 or 9 days out.....still early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Yea pulls off a good storm north of the Maryland/Pa line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 200 hours in GFS-land might as well be 10,000 hours. 06Z will be totally different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Probably too late for DC southward. But 8 or 9 days out.....still early Thank goodness... I was worried that the next run would show the same solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Well by hour 180 the block decides it will finally pull its weight and prevent it from cutting to the western lakes.. starts to push things east finally. Might force a secondary low somewhere along the east coast... Gonna post that. Spectacular display of blocking. The position of the ridge on the west coast really wants to force a piece of the PV down into Hudson's bay and phase it. The blocking ridge over the bay stops it. GFS also to funnel a shortwave under the block from Northeast Quebec. The shortwave ridging stops it. All this may not be enough to save DC though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I think the GFS just forgot that the entire arctic tundra was headed south from the Canadian prairies courtesy a 1062 High this run until it was a bit too late for it to show what should have been a great east coast snow storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Well, all of our hopes are pinned on the block to save us. This probably won't end well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 longer the storm stays near here on the gfs the more i'll believe it ends up inland.. we need another fluke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 time for a jan 17 thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.