Kevin Druff Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Midlo -- from where does that graphic come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 How were the 12Z Euro ensembles? Usually Ender pops in to tell us they were horrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Midlo -- from where does that graphic come? http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/min_temp.shtml?NCR2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 correct me if I am wrong, but I do not believe the GGEM ever showed such a threat for us with the 12/26 storm my recollection is that it and the NAM were always against us getting anything substantial thoughts? Canadian never gave us a flake IIRC, NAM had a run or two that was OK for us but was pretty close to reality within 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Canadian never gave us a flake IIRC, NAM had a run or two that was OK for us but was pretty close to reality within 60. that's what I thought this is now 2 runs in a row with the GGEM giving us something, with the 12Z being better than just something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 http://wxweb.meteost...temp.shtml?NCR2 Midlo, at the top of that map it says 2020/11/1/05z. What the heck does that mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 DTs been quiet lately, what's he think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 DTs been quiet lately, what's he think? Hard to post when your account was deleted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 qpf maps (only have panels not total) imply it's mostly too far east -- maybe clipping the coast ok -- but it's not a terrible look for now and was pretty consisent from 0z at least.. maybe slightly sooner development with 12z, but 500 is initially a little less amped so it's sort of a wash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 DTs been quiet lately, what's he think? he is rather bullish at this time. all snow for northern nc and va for now. Wxrisk.com AM JAN 5 IDEAS FOR JAN 11 EVENT. Right now.. NONE of the weather Models- NONE- show rain for Richmond so those on TV wx guys that are saying that ...well there may be right but right now NO data shows Rain. In fact the Biggest risk to this snow missing RIC is it passing to the south and east... NOT rain !!!! 11 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 ukie ggem gfs euro all at hr 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Just popping in as I actually have a job. Correct me if I'm wrong. Euro - SE with 1-2" for most...GGEM maybe 2-4" for most...UKMET 3" for London....GFS 3-5" for most. Is this where we are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 ukie ggem gfs euro all at hr 144 i think if you live south of here (northern deep South into the Carolinas) you're getting excited for now.. there is now fairly decent agreement among the models imo and we're not really seeing rapid swings in the last 24 hrs with surface placement or general ideas. i just dont think we'll get a real strong low till it's too far away to do a lot of good.. so you need to be in the sweetspot for track initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 ukie ggem gfs euro all at hr 144 Is GGEM a Miller B? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Just popping in as I actually have a job. Correct me if I'm wrong. Euro - SE with 1-2" for most...GGEM maybe 2-4" for most...UKMET 3" for London....GFS 3-5" for most. Is this where we are? We are at the point that there is still a storm on the models that is 7 days away. Worry about the details later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Just popping in as I actually have a job. Correct me if I'm wrong. Euro - SE with 1-2" for most...GGEM maybe 2-4" for most...UKMET 3" for London....GFS 3-5" for most. Is this where we are? GGEM is 7-10 across the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 We are at the point that there is still a storm on the models that is 7 days away. Worry about the details later. not sure what models you are looking at? most models have snow on the door step at day 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 not sure what models you are looking at? most models have snow on the door step at day 5 You are correct sir - I forgot how to count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 So, is there general consensus of this event occurring Monday into Tuesday? I am flying into Norfolk on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 You are correct sir - I forgot how to count. put a Dollar sign in front of the numbers, pretend its yours, then you'll never be wrong when it comes to counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 new run of SREFs look juicy for next week's system at the end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 new run of SREFs look juicy for next week's system at the end of the run 500 looks more like the gfs too-- diggy southern S/W and faster dive from the s/w in western canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 500 looks more like the gfs too-- diggy southern S/W and faster dive from the s/w in western canada almost looks like it wants to phase them, but that's probably as a result of the smoothing from the diff ensemble members http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/sref/21/images/sref_50h_087s.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 GGEM is 7-10 acrosst the area. heh, people from Glen Burnie may be reading Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 heh, people from Glen Burnie may be reading people from Glen Burnie know how to read?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 sref gave us .5"+ like 12 hours out from 12/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
northpittweather Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 sref gave us .5"+ like 12 hours out from 12/26 When thinking about this storm, this storm is different than the day after christmas storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 When thinking about this storm, this storm is different than the day after christmas storm yeah but the qpf colors are the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 new run of SREFs look juicy for next week's system at the end of the run Texas is a long way from dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 people from Glen Burnie know how to read?! we, I mean thay, have cumm a loong waa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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