Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Was the Euro showing the bitter cold on previous runs like the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 that would be great news if we can get 4-8 mon/tue then warm up. right now the general model consensus is for a major se va snow. i consider 2+ major here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 If I recall correctly the Euro had a super bomb that retrograded to the west just south of dc prior to the 12/26 event, and it also didn't have the support of any other models like it does in this case today. i was talking the east jog specifically. i remember commenting that it looked like last yr during the big runs in that respect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 How do you type the noise you make when you take a deep breath and exhale loudly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Delayed but not denied? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Delayed but not denied? Which usually means denied...01-02 all over again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 ya know, looking at the NAM, it looks like it could be pretty big down the road. Look at that s/w in the southwest. If that friggin PV from hell easing up just enough....I like the fact that the NAM slowed it down from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 ya know, looking at the NAM, it looks like it could be pretty big down the road. Look at that s/w in the southwest. If that friggin PV from hell easing up just enough....I like the fact that the NAM slowed it down from 12z it's still like 3-4 days after the end of the nam run though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 it's still like 3-4 days after the end of the nam run though I know, but its still good to look at the progression of what will eventually be the storm for trends, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 it's still like 3-4 days after the end of the nam run though Late Tuesday/Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Late Tuesday/Wednesday? 150+ on the euro/gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 maybe its just me, but I like the look of the NAM. Or it could be that I'm desperate and grasping at straws looking at the 78 hour 18z NAM , saying I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The slower the better- you want the lead wave to not run too far out in front. It will have the juice with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 ya know, looking at the NAM, it looks like it could be pretty big down the road. Look at that s/w in the southwest. If that friggin PV from hell easing up just enough....I like the fact that the NAM slowed it down from 12z Was just about to post this exact same thing. And yes, it's the NAM late in its run, etc etc...but the trend looks positive for down the road I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 maybe its just me, but I like the look of the NAM. Or it could be that I'm desperate and grasping at straws looking at the 78 hour 18z NAM , saying I like it. it looks pretty similar to the 12z gfs i think http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_500_084m.gif http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_090m.gif get on the pessimism bus!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 84 looks great, its now getting closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 it looks pretty similar to the 12z gfs i think http://www.nco.ncep....am_500_084m.gif http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_090m.gif get on the pessimism bus!! Shoot, if you told me right now I could have the 3-4 inches or whatever that the 12Z GFS gives us here in Central MD, I'd take it in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 it looks pretty similar to the 12z gfs i think http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_500_084m.gif http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_090m.gif get on the pessimism bus!! Disagree, especially with the amplitude and strength of the southern vort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Disagree, especially with the amplitude and strength of the southern vort i see that too but.. resolution differences etc. it's close enough at this range especially on the whole. i dont think the nam can be extrapolated in any meaningful manner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I love how the 84hr map has a big fat "N" right over top of DC.......NO DC.....you will not have snow this weekend!! it looks pretty similar to the 12z gfs i think http://www.nco.ncep....am_500_084m.gif http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_090m.gif get on the pessimism bus!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 It looks like the 18z run is closed off versus the prior run Disagree, especially with the amplitude and strength of the southern vort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Looks like the DGEX is on board for this via the NYC thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Looks like the DGEX is on board for this via the NYC thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Reminds me of the cutoff with last years storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 How do you type the noise you make when you take a deep breath and exhale loudly? Sigh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 18z gfs looking at 500mb this run is going to to look mighty different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 18z gfs looking at 500mb this run is going to to look mighty different really? looks pretty similar to 12z thru 72.. i mean some features are slightly off mainly northeast of maine, but it's still really early in the evolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 alot more interaction with the S/W's out west hr 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 faster/norther in gom by 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 faster/norther in gom by 96 Maritime low lifting out quicker also at 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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