TowsonWeather Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 GGEM would be a pretty decent hit I'd imagine. Wes? I've been reading Eastern and American for a couple years now, and it's getting to the point where Wes is one of the very few mets I pay attention to. No hype and great great instincts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 all the way to 240, but the maps are slower to come out there are color maps that go out to 144, and they should be out in a few minutes I think we do good on Canadian, but it hasn't been stellar this year either I'm certain RIC will do fine on Canadian, if not crushed I dunno man..that primary into OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I don't see the coastal low.... Wouldn't 144 be Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I'd take that at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 1001 not exactly a huge hit but looks good except we're a week out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I don't see the coastal low.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Why do the color and b/w surface maps look different at 144h? Color has the high pressure at 1055mb vs 1051mb and the low near us at 1000mb vs 1001mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 i think our most realistic hope here is a smaller storm.. 3-6" or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 hit refresh if you don't see the 144 hr. if you animate it looks like more snow to go through http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/model_forecast/animateweb_e.html?imagetype=model_forecast&imagename=12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_....jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 GGEM 500 low is perfect for a nice storm in NOVA/ DC. Now if the GGEM would only verify for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 hit refresh if you don't see the 144 hr. if you animate it looks like more snow to go through http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/model_forecast/animateweb_e.html?imagetype=model_forecast&imagename=12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_....jpg Agreed..that would be a pretty good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I think the first map at 144 Midlo posted was yesterday's 12z. On the loop I see a different 144 with our coastal. Edit: Fixed now Or I am going crazy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Also, GGEM seems to be a little faster than the GFS..we're talking Monday now. Let's hope the GFS is up to the usual suppressed, OTS stuff with east coast storms. If the Euro comes in nice...well...it still won't mean much considering how it screwed us so far this winter...but I'd be a little more excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I think the first map at 144 Midlo posted was yesterday's 12z. On the loop I see a different 144 with our coastal. Edit: Fixed now Or I am going crazy? The latter is highly likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 1001 not exactly a huge hit but looks good except we're a week out yeah, I expected more, but the southern system slides ots and then the western one captures a piece of the energy I would guess there to be more precip to fall after 144hrs, though not a ton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Also, GGEM seems to be a little faster than the GFS..we're talking Monday now. Let's hope the GFS is up to the usual suppressed, OTS stuff with east coast storms. If the Euro comes in nice...well...it still won't mean much considering how it screwed us so far this winter...but I'd be a little more excited. Well put, Randy. If the Euro comes in nice I think we'll all be a tiny bit more at ease but we've seen the models screw with us several times this winter so we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 i think our most realistic hope here is a smaller storm.. 3-6" or so? I think we would all take that and jump for joy at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 yeah, I expected more, but the southern system slides ots and then the western one captures a piece of the energy I would guess there to be more precip to fall after 144hrs, though not a ton it's a decent solution one way or another... i think a more powerhouse low is going to be an issue. weaker may cause worry of missing to the south but weaker is probably our best option going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 i think our most realistic hope here is a smaller storm.. 3-6" or so? That's a nice track for us (GGEM), assuming the OH Valley low transfers to the coast in time. Not so nice for central/southern VA unless there's some good CAD going on. I think 3-6" or 4-8" is probably a reasonable goal. At this rate, that will be the storm of the year us (it would be in most "average" years). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 That's a nice track for us (GGEM), assuming the OH Valley low transfers to the coast in time. Not so nice for central/southern VA unless there's some good CAD going on. I think 3-6" or 4-8" is probably a reasonable goal. At this rate, that will be the storm of the year us (it would be in most "average" years). 4 to 8 inch snowstorm would be amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 4 to 8 inch snowstorm would be amazing. This year that would be a miracle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 This year that would be a miracle here. What a year has done to us -- last year we would have scoffed at the thought of ringing out 4" from an event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 crushing run of the ggem for dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 looks about .6-.75" or so, maybe a lil more hard to read those maps.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Holy moly from completely rough estimates of looking at those maps DC would make it out with close to 1 inch of QPF. Edit: Probably closer to what Ian posted but still! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 was it the ggem that had a low over chicago yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 was it the ggem that had a low over chicago yesterday? Yes! The ensembles have quite a few members giving us a decent storm. They are pretty encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Both the 6z GFS and the Canadian out just now brought us a storm in basically the same set-up, right? Primary up to OV, and then transfer to coast? That's a clasic Miller B look, if so, right? That alone makes me itchy about this scenario. I know that the occasional Miller B can work for us, but given the way this winter has started, was hoping for more of a Miller A type coastal or over-running event for the snow chance next week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.