Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 It either will or it won't. Not much more to it than that. I'm trying to maintain sanity. But, have you ever seen 4 consecutive runs of the GFS look as different. Just compare the 500 maps at about 120 hours from now. So, how do we have any confidence in anything? no one should have confidence other than there being a threat. i think the 0z/12z gfs are pretty decent from here. the 6z while a hit is more problematic in this time range. overall im more enthused than yesterday at this pt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 congrats on your 2-3 inches that you will earn after 10 days of stormtracking! In this winter, I'll take any 1-3 inch event I can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 seasonal pattern continues to dominate, and probably will that is all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 congrats on your 2-3 inches that you will earn after 10 days of stormtracking! I'd be pretty grateful for that right about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 yea been a signal for a several runs now if this can all combine would be a nice mecs We need an ensemble photoshop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 GFS is pretty toasty in the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 GFS is pretty toasty in the long range and this cold has resulted in how much snow? let it get warm for all I care maybe when it turns cold at the end of the season we have a better shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 GFS is pretty toasty in the long range we're due some nina love.. hoping we flip warm and stay there for feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 and this cold has resulted in how much snow? let it get warm for all I care maybe when it turns cold at the end of the season we have a better shot secs+ in march.. book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 secs+ in march.. book it. Mmmm... didn't you say we would see something significant in december too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Mmmm... didn't you say we would see something significant in december too? im counting that one as correct just off a few miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010 extreme Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 By Jan 20 heights really come down over Alaska. That usually means a blow torch for the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 im counting that one as correct just off a few miles Oh well in that case - it did snow again on December 19th, just out at sea. Win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 im counting that one as correct just off a few miles Frankly, you should. That was one heckuva storm, and not far away at all. Still amazed at the areas within our region that cashed in while DCA to BWI and points west did not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 By Jan 20 heights really come down over Alaska. That usually means a blow torch for the east. last night we were near 0 at the end of the run, today near 50... not sure what to take from that other than we shouldnt look that far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 this winter just needs to end. At least we got snow in 2001-02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 By Jan 20 heights really come down over Alaska. That usually means a blow torch for the east. At this point, if we cannot get some snow in here, I am all for that. I love snow, but am one of those that loathes cold and dry. If it's not going to snow, warm it up to the 50s and try again with a new pattern after a period of warm temps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 you know its a tough winter when there are bare spots in the valley at Dolly Sods on 1/5 http://www.fsvisimages.com/images/photos-large/doso1_large.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 works for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 you know its a tough winter when there are bare spots in the valley at Dolly Sods on 1/5 http://www.fsvisimages.com/images/photos-large/doso1_large.jpg was up there this weekend huge meltdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 huge differences at H500 with the S/W ggem Vs gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 GFS looks like all snow down in Raleigh...looks like a good 6-10" for there. Richmond looks like 2-4" and most of the DC area including Leesburg around 1-3"....FWIW this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 don't have the surface maps yest, but Day 6 on Canadian suggests huge hit for DCA/BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 how far does the 12z ggem go to? i want to see some kind of color besides white over DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 wow..nice storm on the GGEM. Too bad the model sucks balls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 GGEM would be a pretty decent hit I'd imagine. Wes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 how far does the 12z ggem go to? i want to see some kind of color besides white over DC all the way to 240, but the maps are slower to come out there are color maps that go out to 144, and they should be out in a few minutes I think we do good on Canadian, but it hasn't been stellar this year either I'm certain RIC will do fine on Canadian, if not crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 GGEM = Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I'm going to assume the GGEM is right here and the GFS is off the mark simply because I don't like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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