Symblized Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Philly weenies are about to commit mass suicide. It's like their version of 12/26 for LWX weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I'm hanging on until the bitter end. well i know you were really bearish the whole time on 12/26 so this is hopefully good news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Philly weenies are about to commit mass suicide. I've already attempted suicide over here, but it didn't work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I've already attempted suicide over here, but it didn't work! Incompetent failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 well i know you were really bearish the whole time on 12/26 so this is hopefully good news We're hanging by a thread, but this whole situation is dynamic enough that we could get a quick 1"+ in the late evening hours. I'm afraid our chances to get to 2" or above have take a near-fatal hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Well it's officially a bust! LWX now has us at less than an inch in Arlington with mixed precip. What a drag! I cannot do this again. Argh!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Weenies need to relax, the precip in WVA is headed this way, should be here at 7 ...so maybe a dusting to an inch...for 5 days of model tracking, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Weenies need to relax, the precip in WVA is headed this way, should be here at 7 ...so maybe a dusting to an inch...for 5 days of model tracking, lol perfect map we're getting d*cked again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Weenies need to relax, the precip in WVA is headed this way, should be here at 7 ...so maybe a dusting to an inch...for 5 days of model tracking, lol it would be worth watching if there wasn't a mountain range there. not a whole lot is going to make it past the Apps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 its too late for us, the best case scenario now is an inch...ill pass. I am rooting now that the trend continues and the coastal is another few hours slower developing and there is no storm at all....this is honestly getting really close to being no big deal for anyone except southern new england. At least then we do not have to track another close miss...this time its missing us by 300 miles lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 perfect map we're getting d*cked again SCREWED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 it would be worth watching if there wasn't a mountain range there. This. They may be small, but they stop a lot. As for the LWX, I give them some slack because this storm was tricky, but the constant revisions the day of kind of take the "fore" out of forecasting. I will be giving my predictions for this storm on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grhqofb5 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Okay let me make this clear. If you base what's going to happen 4 hrs from now on current radar than you are going to be majorly let down. All the modeling has shown light snow and flurries until about 4 or 5. The models blossom light to moderate and even heavy snow for a couple hours literally right over top of the DC/Balt/Annapolis area. So you will be watching radar and nothing will be there and then all of sudden boom you will get your quick 1-3 inches. That's what's been modeled all along. Is there a chance it converges to our northeast? Yes. But again what I just described is what has been modeled all along. Sit back and watch the radar. I'm sticking with my common sense conclusion. I don't trust anything but the Green. The models have been completely unreliable, from what I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This. They may be small, but they stop a lot. As for the LWX, I give them some slack because this storm was tricky, but the constant revisions the day of kind of take the "fore" out of forecasting. I will be giving my predictions for this storm on Friday. My sentiments exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 FWIW (Baltimore): ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES...MAINLY SNOW. A GLAZE OF ICE POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BECOME MORE STEADY BY EARLY EVENING...AND CONTINUE MUCH OF THE NIGHT...ENDING BETWEEN 4 AM AND 6 AM. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE BETWEEN 9 PM AND 3 AM. AT TIMES SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE COULD BE MIXED IN WITH THE SNOW. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30 EARLY THIS EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TONIGHT. * WINDS...EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 kudos top Buckeye he called it; OV low took over and its pressure is still lower than the coastal AND 3hr pressure drops greater than coastal double barreled never worked out - no southern stream w/o the southern stream, we're cooked in a NINA KA is now the Master of Snowfall Disasters and JB is just a chump, and a boneheaded one at that by not changing his forecast maybe we get an inch bfd if we do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Well now we know...the band models were developing right over us the last 3 days is developing right now. Over southern PA Band is breaking out in a line from Wilmington DE to York PA to State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 kudos top Buckeye he called it; OV low took over and its pressure is still lower than the coastal AND 3hr pressure drops greater than coastal double barreled never worked out - no southern stream w/o the southern stream, we're cooked in a NINA KA is now the Master of Snowfall Disasters and JB is just a chump, and a boneheaded one at that by not changing his forecast maybe we get an inch bfd if we do Not sure when buckeye said this but I pointed it out 3 days ago and took a lot of heat at the time for it. Until the next day when the models starting coming around to my idea. H5 track never looked good to me since about 5 days ago. Go back to when this was 7 days out and had real potential, the H5 was supposed to track over VA. That shifted north around day 5 and it just took the models a day or 2 to sniff out how that would change the surface evolution. We cant get snow here with a weak wave along the coast and the upper level support to create lift over ohio. This was DOA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Not sure when buckeye said this but I pointed it out 3 days ago and took a lot of heat at the time for it. Until the next day when the models starting coming around to my idea. H5 track never looked good to me since about 5 days ago. Go back to when this was 7 days out and had real potential, the H5 was supposed to track over VA. That shifted north around day 5 and it just took the models a day or 2 to sniff out how that would change the surface evolution. We cant get snow here with a weak wave along the coast and the upper level support to create lift over ohio. This was DOA yeah, but the models, as well as the pro forecasters, all had us with a light/mod event as with every storm this year, it was a last minute bust that''s why I'm calling this year a bust BWI will not get another 5" of snow for the rest of the season barring a major thaw and then a fluke my gut says that does not happen its ova', on to next year and the hopes the NINA wanes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergeek Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Check out what Justin Burk from abc2 news just posted on FB regarding this. "Surface map shows Ohio storm winning the race to develop faster. It is stronger now and models didn't expect that. There is still an EAST WIND at BWI (good for moisture, bad for sleet) and transition zone likely to fill in in the next 2-4 hours. This is just the beginning. The steady and heavier stuff has been slated to reach us within a few hours of midnight. If OH Lo wins... less snow for New England, but could pull the coastal moisture into and through us." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Weenies need to relax, the precip in WVA is headed this way, should be here at 7 ...so maybe a dusting to an inch...for 5 days of model tracking, lol Sit back and watch as the mountains chow down on that. They might be nice enough to burp out some flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 yeah, but the models, as well as the pro forecasters, all had us with a light/mod event as with every storm this year, it was a last minute bust that''s why I'm calling this year a bust BWI will not get another 5" of snow for the rest of the season barring a major thaw and then a fluke my gut says that does not happen its ova', on to next year and the hopes the NINA wanes Thanks, Ji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Not to sound like a puss who can't hang, but after two big letdowns in a little more than two weeks, I'm not sure I can trust a forecast calling for snow at least up until the day before the event, and maybe not even then. I mean, we have been having a 100% chance of snow for what, two days now? And once again, we'll be lucky if we see any accumulation at all? It's frustrating to be a weather weenie right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Well at least the weather is CONSISTENT - WE get screwed over yet again. It smarts - but at least we weren't progged to get a lot of snow. That would REALLY hurt. No need to suicide over a couple of inches of snow. I said this before - We need a reshuffle. If this was a game of blackjack, DCA would be 200,000 dollars in the hole. WE're losing bad. We need a reshuffle really bad. F*ck the house rules - get that damn deck reshuffled. We need to dump this cold air, enjoy highs in the upper 60s for three weeks then get the block back - Start fresh. This aint workin' - we're getting screwed over and PA will get all of our snow. Gawd I'm such a disgusting weenie - last night I got so worked up over that damned radar - I wasted SEVEN HOURS over sh*t. We get nothing after all g-d what a disgusting fooking weenie I am geeze. I need a new goddamn hobby. N VA sucks huge goat balls and this winter is a pile of steaming sh*t. I hate this winter. I want spring already - This just sucks. You know it's real bad when you can't even get a couple damn inches of snow in DC. F*CK F*CK F*CK!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Sit back and watch as the mountains chow down on that. They might be nice enough to burp out some flurries. They munch and destroy dry little cold clippers...not this juicy mamma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Every darn storm is a let down here. Can i be banned for the rest of the winter please so I don't have to deal with this? I'm having a Ji moment at this point. I can't take it anymore, my love of the weather is being overridden by failures on models time after time after time. Get me out of here, Ian, Randy, somebody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 They munch and destroy dry little cold clippers...not this juicy mamma Bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Just not sure what some are waiting for, the band of snow we were supposed to get had developed, its over PA right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Maybe we are better off switching gears and hoping for multiple hours of freezing drizzle tonight to feed our severe weather fix. A an inch or two of snow or a a tenth of an inch of ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 It's over Ian. Lock the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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