Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 euro is horrible pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 BWI .11 on Euro all this for that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Nice sized flakes falling now by IAD. They're 10 feet apart but they are at least big. lol My office is right by LWX. Everytime I drive by, I envision someone at a desk writing the morning updated AFD. You should stob by and ask for a tour. I would,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 BWI .11 on Euro all this for that! basically nothing south and west of dc.. almost nothing in dc -- it's wrong, gotta be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaPlata Twister Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 There were some 35dbz returns down in Charles / St. Mary's counties. Sleet? Yes, sleet. At least down in southern St. Mary's it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 still looking good here with my trace-2" at BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 NYC only .54 on euro JYO .04 DCA .07 PHL .25 lol Boston CRUSHED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I would not be shocked to wake up tomorrow to find bare ground in Manassas. That is exactly what happened with the Christmas storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 euro isnt good within 18 hrs.. yeah that's it, gotta be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 euro isnt good within 18 hrs.. yeah that's it, gotta be http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/lwx/winterstorm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 So according to the EURO, we can't even get a damn inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://www.erh.noaa....wx/winterstorm/ that thing changes every 5 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://www.erh.noaa....wx/winterstorm/ I'm actually happy with where we're at. Things look to be right one track for a 1-3 / 2-4 event area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 that thing changes every 5 minutes The zones were changed again... bascially if you southwest of BAL you are getting around an inch now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The zones were changed again... bascially if you southwest of BAL you are getting around an inch now oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 So according to the EURO, we can't even get a damn inch you guys do realize the EURO is considered garbage now even in the short range. It had DC at .50 just 2 days before the storm..not its barely .10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Do I have to be the first to say it... Ok fine, this is starting to look like a total whiff again Signs are plenty that the precip does not organize until it is just northeast of DC/BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 trying to give some realism to the weenies algreek3, on 11 January 2011 - 01:06 PM, said: Euro is .75" for NYC and a little higher for Queens, which is also part of NYC. Ji replied No. Its not. Euro is .54 for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The zones were changed again... bascially if you southwest of BAL you are getting around an inch now Well, as of this minute, we are not seeing any indication that it would be otherwise. Still, too early to pull the plug. This morning we had 2-4 projected, now an inch. Does it really matter? We'll get what we get. I think we'll know in about 3 hours. The mid west low is certainly pumping snow far south into KY and coming right across WV. Maybe this will enhance the lift and precip will break out. Nothing to advect in from the south, sorry to say as it looks right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I wanted to believe it was just bad luck but it is obvious now that there is something inherently stuck in this pattern that makes it impossible for us to get significant snow here. Most obvious is that we are stuck between the 2 jets and phasing is not happening until east of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Well, as of this minute, we are not seeing any indication that it would be otherwise. Still, too early to pull the plug. This morning we had 2-4 projected, now an inch. Does it really matter? We'll get what we get. I think we'll know in about 3 hours. The mid west low is certainly pumping snow far south into KY and coming right across WV. Maybe this will enhance the lift and precip will break out. Nothing to advect in from the south, sorry to say as it looks right now. It was never SUPPOSED to advect in from the south. The low is still way down south of Hatteras - things are going exactly as forecast this morning. People need to chillax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 algreek3, on 11 January 2011 - 01:06 PM, said: Euro is .75" for NYC and a little higher for Queens, which is also part of NYC. Ji replied No. Its not. Euro is .54 for NYC stop trolling the nyc thread you would not want the same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 stop trolling the nyc thread you would not want the same here i was in the philly thread..not the NYC thread and i was giving EURO QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 you guys do realize the EURO is considered garbage now even in the short range. It had DC at .50 just 2 days before the storm..not its barely .10 it had us in the 0.50 -.67 range so far 0.02' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 i was in the philly thread..not the NYC thread and i was giving EURO QPF that was fine but no need to put "TIME TO PANIC EURO" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I don't know why, but I have more optimism right now that this storm will overperform farther S & W than what the models show. Looking at radar, H5, and surface pressures, I just seems that it won't take much for our area to hit the high end of the forecast. If the coastal deepens just a little faster and farther west than modeled could pop some nice dynamics for at least a couple of hours of moderate snow. I don't care how powerful a computer is, trying to nail a miller b transfer is an impossible calculation (unfortunately we usually end up on the wrong side of the calculation). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I wanted to believe it was just bad luck but it is obvious now that there is something inherently stuck in this pattern that makes it impossible for us to get significant snow here. Most obvious is that we are stuck between the 2 jets and phasing is not happening until east of us. Chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 that was fine but no need to put "TIME TO PANIC EURO" well..my warn is 100% now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I don't know why, but I have more optimism right now that this storm will overperform farther S & W than what the models show. Looking at radar, H5, and surface pressures, I just seems that it won't take much for our area to hit the high end of the forecast. If the coastal deepens just a little faster and farther west than modeled could pop some nice dynamics for at least a couple of hours of moderate snow. I don't care how powerful a computer is, trying to nail a miller b transfer is an impossible calculation (unfortunately we usually end up on the wrong side of the calculation). Agreed. Everyone needs to relax. Let the storm play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Agreed. Everyone needs to relax. Let the storm play out. As if we can do anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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