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Jan 11-12 Model/Forecasting Discussion


Ji

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Based on the weenie radar, is this thing going further OTS than even the GTS forecast? Unreal. At this point no snow at all is the perfect middle finger end to this fiasco.

The stuff you see going "OTS" is not what we will supposedly be getting. Don't look just at the radar.

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I was just going to say the same thing. This may sound overly conceited of me, but I would gladly give up our 2 inch snowfall if it means everyone to north also at least sees their snowfall forecasts cut in half or 2/3. Maybe then people will learn, more often than not, we are in this together.

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We will have a HECS again...where the models show 20-25 inches of snow. I dont feel that bad about this storm because the models never gave us anything good to begin with. The Dec 26 was much worse

So true. Other than a couple of quirky runs this time around, models (not crazy bufkit ratios, but realistic rations) have been showing 1-5 inches area-wide with more the further NE you go since Friday-ish. Last time was fringe-y, but all over the map.

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Wes, I've been meaning to ask this - my blackberry cuts off anything on Wapo's site on the right side. Don't know if others have reported this but is there any workaround that you have heard of?

I know I'm not Wes...but I use the Opera browser for problem pages on my BB.

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Chill out dude you are getting annoying, no one ever said this will be big :arrowhead: . We will get 2-4" and thats it.

Did I ever say we are getting nothing or that is was going to be big? Seriously, go back and look. Where are you coming up with this? You getting annoyed at me is annoying. :P

Edit : Not to mention the fact that I have a whopping 37 posts since 11/18. How the heck could I be that annoying? LOL!

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Did I ever say we are getting nothing or that is was going to be big? Seriously, go back and look. Where are you coming up with this? You getting annoyed at me is annoying. :P

Edit : Not to mention the fact that I have a whopping 37 posts since 11/18. How the heck could I be that annoying. LOL!

As you can see i am not the only one, i said you are getting annoying. No need to say over and over why we are not getting a big storm we all know.

Thanks! I'll have to try that!

And dude - try to be happy with the snow we're expecting! You'll turn into Ji otherwise and get on peoples nerves.

Thank you.

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As you can see i am not the only one, i said you are getting annoying. No need to say over and over why we are not getting a big storm we all know.

Thank you.

Lol - you're welcome? I don't like to take sides but we all need to be happy with what we can get. Do I want a blizzard? Yes. But realistically ill take my 1-2 inches.

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Lol - you're welcome? I don't like to take sides but we all need to be happy with what we can get. Do I want a blizzard? Yes. But realistically ill take my 1-2 inches.

The good news is our next blizzard is only 8 days away and it looks like this one will either give the whole east coast a storm or be a cutter. So we can start wasting our next 7 days tomorrow after we enjoy our couple inches tonight.

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As you can see i am not the only one, i said you are getting annoying. No need to say over and over why we are not getting a big storm we all know.

Thank you.

I really don't care what you think. That is my analysis. Things come together too late for us. I could be wrong. As a matter of fact...that would be a nice surprise.

I already made my call. And it was for more than an inch. So think what you want.

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Wes, I've been meaning to ask this - my blackberry cuts off anything on Wapo's site on the right side. Don't know if others have reported this but is there any workaround that you have heard of?

I think it is related to bandwidth as others are having problems at times when trying to post stuff and it sometimes takes forever to get the site to load. Jason indicated to one of the posters thatn some type of work around was in the works. I'll e-mail him and ask.

Wes

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FWIW the GFS looks to be off on the position of the low by a bit, looking at the HPC mesoscale site the low appears to be just off the NC coast, SW of Cape Hatteras. The 12z GFS at 6h has the low East of there by at least 50+ miles.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17#

Yeah i think the HPC already said it initialized 40 miles to far east.

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