mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Cant beleive some of your guys fell for the 6Z NAM...you weenies are pathetic. you just better hope they beat the Steelers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Can we keep this Thread about today's 1-1.5 inch snowfall, no way anyone should be looking ahead to 192 hours or 72 hours, after the nam just proved it can't hold a solution for 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 gotta love how the precip just skips over DCA/BWI http://radar.weather...id=lwx&loop=yes Don't worry, it's not snowing where the radar shows it is either.. you're familiar with virga, right?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 This thread is for TODAY/TOMORROW. Please stop posting/replying threats for next week... we already have a thread for that (especially directed at Ji, who STARTED that thread!). --- I had faith that the 12z NAM would fall back in line, and it did Still liking my snow amounts for NoVA/MD/Delmarva for now. whats your prediction again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 gotta love how the precip just skips over DCA/BWI http://radar.weather...id=lwx&loop=yes Are you trying to hand out the cyanide pills to the weenies? The snow will develop over us, not advect in, as you well know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 whats your prediction again? (NC fail) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Cant beleive some of your guys fell for the 6Z NAM...you weenies are pathetic. Shut up. We were discussing the model. Dont wanna hear your crap, Nowcast and get your 3-5, anything More and We'll be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 (NC fail) can you post that link to the mesoscale site? I bookmarked it at home and left forgetting to e-mail it to myself for work computer thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 after this debacle, why are you posting something 7 days away?? Incredible. We should probably stop posting about weather altogether, right? Get over it. I asked him to post it, because it's interesting to think about, however unlikely to verify as something good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Are you trying to hand out the cyanide pills to the weenies? The snow will develop over us just north of us, not advect in, as you well know. Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 To the cabin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 can you post that link to the mesoscale site? I bookmarked it at home and left forgetting to e-mail it to myself for work computer thanks http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ I'm in love with this site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 18Z nam might bring it back guys. NAM hasnt shown 2 straight solutions yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The midwest system finally looks like it's starting to take a little north tilt- more ENE now than due east. By the time it phases we will be in its rear-view mirror. While the current radar echos are probably virga or light flurries, it may hint to where the precip may line up when it starts for real. I think south of I-70 is really screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 For the first time I get to feel the pain of the DC crowd. My home is in Monmouth County and we got slammed with 30 inches of snow for X-MAS. Now I am in APG and having to deal with this nonsense. It's depressing. Don't worry, it's not snowing where the radar shows it is either.. you're familiar with virga, right?. Hmmmmm, generally the NWS radar shows precip that is hitting the ground. We are getting snow showers here in APG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Shut up. We were discussing the model. Dont wanna hear your crap, Nowcast and get your 3-5, anything More and We'll be happy OK weenie. Really though, no one should even be looking at 6Z runs....they are pretty useless in my mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 18Z nam might bring it back guys. NAM hasnt shown 2 straight solutions yet Please. Event will be in progress by 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 No reason to change the forecasts. It still looks like a 1-3 inch event for the city and west and a 2-4 to east and northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 We should probably stop posting about weather altogether, right? Get over it. I asked him to post it, because it's interesting to think about, however unlikely to verify as something good for us. There's another thread for it. For the first time I get to feel the pain of the DC crowd. My home is in Monmouth County and we got slammed with 30 inches of snow for X-MAS. Now I am in APG and having to deal with this nonsense. It's depressing. Hmmmmm, generally the NWS radar shows precip that is hitting the ground. We are getting snow showers here in APG. lol no it doesn't... it's just like every other site that runs raw 88D data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 We should probably stop posting about weather altogether, right? Get over it. I asked him to post it, because it's interesting to think about, however unlikely to verify as something good for us. A met echoed my sentiments exactly so you get over it!!! No not stopping about weather, but use common sense. Were not done with this one and it just nonsensical.If you go to the psu eyewall site you can find the dgex model.!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 There's another thread for it. lol no it doesn't... it's just like every other site that runs raw 88D data. Hmmm, well the NWS radar out of NJ has NEVER once failed me in the 10 years I've looked at it. If precip is over us, its falling. If not, it isn't. Maybe it's different down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Bressi, I was just looking at it and I knew it wasn't likely. Btw I'm not even on FF anymore, tired of it. Wanted to call for 2-4 Xmas and they all said 6-10. Anyway, let's just chill out and enjoy our high end wwa event. For all we know, models are off, but I think the call by LWX is right as I said 3-5 as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 None of us are as funny or humorous as we think we are....FYI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Hmmm, well the NWS radar out of NJ has NEVER once failed me in the 10 years I've looked at it. If precip is over us, its falling. If not, it isn't. Maybe it's different down here. No it's not. All of the 88D radars collect data and get displayed in the same manner. Don't kid yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The midwest system finally looks like it's starting to take a little north tilt- more ENE now than due east. By the time it phases we will be in its rear-view mirror. While the current radar echos are probably virga or light flurries, it may hint to where the precip may line up when it starts for real. I think south of I-70 is really screwed I still think Balt can get 1-2 out of this but we know its a La Nina winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Bressi, I was just looking at it and I knew it wasn't likely. Btw I'm not even on FF anymore, tired of it. Wanted to call for 2-4 Xmas and they all said 6-10. Anyway, let's just chill out and enjoy our high end wwa event. For all we know, models are off, but I think the call by LWX is right as I said 3-5 as well Oh Im not saying LWX is wrong...and Kudos on the Xmas....however we still would have been wrong too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverTSRA Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 @Mdecoy Radar pulses do not travel parallel to the ground, they travel at an angle and therefore they increase in height with distance away from the radar. Therefore, especially in areas far from the radar the pulse can pick up on precipitation higher up in the boundary layer that might be evaporating before it reaches the ground (virga). The closer you are to the radar site, the less likely you are to deal with this effect, but the radar most certainly picks up precip that is not actually hitting the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 LWX has updated their zones twice in one hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 No it's not. All of the 88D radars collect data and get displayed in the same manner. Don't kid yourself. I can't argue with that. All I know is I've never once had a verga issue with the BASE NWS radar from NJ. Not once in 10 years. The radar on Wunderground (whatever they use) has never had verga issues either. That's just been my experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 LWX has updated their zones twice in one hour http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/lwx/winterstorm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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