mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah I did notice that, that would involve a stronger primary maybe. Dynamics are for nowcasting, so lets see what happens. sick minds think alike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 not really, looking at the sim radar and h7 vv's compared to 6z its not going to look nearly as good next frame. Snow is just about over at DCA at 24 hours. I really doubt the next frame looks anything like it did at 6z. yep...not sure it matters, but the low may be a few mb deeper at 18z vs the 6 hour projection, based on 13z obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I don't see a flake birds are going crazy fwiw, eating the buds of the trees they go after before it snows yes, it does happen, for whatever reason, they eat the buds off these trees every time before it snows, but that ain't saying how much we're gonna get Interesting. I live in Federal Hill and I sometimes see seagulls and other birds flocking around my neighborhood before a snow, I guess looking for a place to hide from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 CT gets killed Ian, get back home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 for your next bit of hope..check out the 192 dgex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 sick minds think alike You got it lol. Don't worry, I don't think we'll get out of this with <3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Not really enjoying this.... http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=ccx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Glad I didn't even see the 6z NAM before I saw the 12z. 2" of snow guys...let's make the most of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 CT gets killed Ian, get back home Home is where the snow hole is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Whatever brunt we take from this storm, it will be in full swing by 3-4 pm and over by 10pm. Just my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Glad I didn't even see the 6z NAM before I saw the 12z. 2" of snow guys...let's make the most of it. But jebman wants to give you 7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 what are you talking about, the NAM just took away the storm here...now is 1-3 like the GFS. rather than screaming it took it away it took it away why not look at why it took it away more vorticity in ohio, so less consolidated overall, and slightly more separation.... everything I said was based on an IF.... now I dont really buy it,, but if we see a big band of snow in N OH, Eastern IN at 1 PM today like the sim radar shows (and makes sense with that vorticity signature) then I will start to believe it.... oh but guess what... by then is the next model run and everybody will be jumping on what it says... its METEOROLOGY, not MODELOLOGY. I am using the modeling to illustrate a point, as a tool, not to make an actual forecast... IMO this reason is why so many short range forecasts are blown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Great run if you like light snow and enjoy seeing CT Blizz sleep through a big snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Great run if you like light snow and enjoy seeing CT Blizz sleep through a big snowstorm. This thing is booking no doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This thing is booking no doubt CT Blizz is the only weenie I know who will post about a storm threat 2,000 times and then zonk out right as the the snow starts and miss it all. His bedtime is 8:45 and that is that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 CT Blizz is the only weenie I know who will post about a storm threat 2,000 times and then zonk out right as the the snow starts and miss it all. His bedtime is 8:45 and that is that. Snow cover weenies are the worst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 for your next bit of hope..check out the 192 dgex Can't find it...can you post it for my weenie ogling satisfaction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 CT Blizz is the only weenie I know who will post about a storm threat 2,000 times and then zonk out right as the the snow starts and miss it all. His bedtime is 8:45 and that is that. He says he'll be up by 3am tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 CT Blizz is the only weenie I know who will post about a storm threat 2,000 times and then zonk out right as the the snow starts and miss it all. His bedtime is 8:45 and that is that. I'm sure he will stay up for this if 2ft is on the board....at least I hope he would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The upper level energy just isnt going to catch up in time for us. The inverted trough is over us right now...but the upper level support for lift is still back in the OH valley. Just too much separation. By the time that gets close enough to enhance lift the whole thing is northeast of us. The H5 was just 6 hours too slow for this to work here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Home is where the snow anus is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The upper level energy just isnt going to catch up in time for us. The inverted trough is over us right now...but the upper level support for lift is still back in the OH valley. Just too much separation. By the time that gets close enough to enhance lift the whole thing is northeast of us. The H5 was just 6 hours too slow for this to work here. Story of our winter. Near-misses and almosts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 in the end, the OV Low seems to be too strong and the coastal not enough for us http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=pr&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 DGEX 192 move the L with the number "996" next to it up to the right of NYC and then the forecast will verify NINA, NINA, NINA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Another NYC li sne special dgex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Ji you just cant stop punishing yourself can you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Ji you just cant stop punishing yourself can you? He doesnt understand that concept pushoffman!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This thread is for TODAY/TOMORROW. Please stop posting/replying threats for next week... we already have a thread for that (especially directed at Ji, who STARTED that thread!). --- I had faith that the 12z NAM would fall back in line, and it did Still liking my snow amounts for NoVA/MD/Delmarva for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 gotta love how the precip just skips over DCA/BWI http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=lwx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Cant beleive some of your guys fell for the 6Z NAM...you weenies are pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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