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Jan 11-12 Model/Forecasting Discussion


Ji

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I dunno...I'm sure it's just rampant weenie-tastic logic and wishcasting run amok, but I was expecting things to look bleak this morning.

Everything I see, from pressures to radar looks pretty promising to me.

If we can somehow get 4-6 inches out of this that'll go a long way towards making me feel better about this winter.

At the very least, that blossoming virga over VA/MD should help moisten the atmosphere so that things get going quicker later.

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If we can somehow get 4-6 inches out of this that'll go a long way towards making me feel better about this winter.

If we can get 4-6 inches out of this, we'll be just about exactly where we should be at this point in January for the season, going by averages. Maybe even ahead. Easy to forget that after last year.

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Snowing at BWI now.

I don't see a flake :unsure:

birds are going crazy fwiw, eating the buds of the trees they go after before it snows

yes, it does happen, for whatever reason, they eat the buds off these trees every time before it snows, but that ain't saying how much we're gonna get

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19:1 ratios which, while a bit high, is not completely unbelievable for the height of the energy transfer, at night, with temps around 30

Yeah, pretty much they are unbelievable.

Takes a very rare situation to get ratios better than 15:1 around here. 8-12:1 are climo and are what occur for probably >80% of all snowfalls.

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