mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 verbatim looks like a phase too early.... I'll be visiting my GF north of boston at that time and i will be keeping my eye strongly on that one... hell if i cant get my storm down here I'll be just as happy getting it up north i dunno.. roll it forward. looks pretty darn good for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 --mm5 image-- that would probably be pretty decent.. any reason to believe in it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 that would probably be pretty decent.. any reason to believe in it? no idea actually precip is probably around .30 for most of us all the models seems centered on .2-.3 west to east across the 2 metro areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 FINALLY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 FINALLY! we'll probably be ready for a thaw after the blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 we'll probably be ready for a thaw after the 3rd NE blizzard fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 FINALLY! Wow... been quite a long time since we've seen a map looking evenly remotely close to that. SE ridge has pretty much been dead for two months. Blocking breaking down as well. If it verifies, it'll be a nice little break from the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 you know, as much as this winter has stunk for those in the Balt/Wash area at least there have been storms to track. Looks like after tomorrow we can look ahead to next Wednesday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Wow... been quite a long time since we've seen a map looking evenly remotely close to that. SE ridge has pretty much been dead for two months. Blocking breaking down as well. If it verifies, it'll be a nice little break from the cold. You are such a warmista. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark304 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Wow... been quite a long time since we've seen a map looking evenly remotely close to that. SE ridge has pretty much been dead for two months. Blocking breaking down as well. If it verifies, it'll be a nice little break from the cold. I say bring it on! The cold has definitely gotten old. ...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 you know, as much as this winter has stunk for those in the Balt/Wash area at least there have been storms to track. Looks like after tomorrow we can look ahead to next Wednesday! it will only be ~7 days away too.. we saved ourselves at least 3 solid days of tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCWeatherJunkie Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 We should just go ahead and lock it in. We're due... gas up the bus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 you know, as much as this winter has stunk for those in the Balt/Wash area at least there have been storms to track. Looks like after tomorrow we can look ahead to next Wednesday! Please, that storm is a freaking fantasy...enjoy your rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 We should just go ahead and lock it in. We're due... gas up the bus! One way to upgrade the old bus - Would be to install a massless drive. That would be one hell of a snow train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 it will only be ~7 days away too.. we saved ourselves at least 3 solid days of tracking. Tomorrow is obs day...wed we shovel...then were 5 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The precip is making a move north. There are also new extensions to the Midwest energy's precip/radar return expressions. http://radar.weather...s/full_loop.php North wind or not - This is getting interesting. Been watching this radar for sixteen hours. The northern part of the pcpn over VA is breaking out more and more, not only farther and farther north, but also west as well - WE are seeing snow developing over more and more of West Virginia, as if the entirety of VA will break out in radar returns dynamically within the next three hours. There are radar precip extensions of the midwestern piece of energy, extending east too, as if the two areas of precip are trying to join up. I'm not suggesting snow will reach the ground in three hours, but that there may well be radar return elements over N VA and perhaps even the District by 3am EST. My temp is 23 degrees with a dewpoint of 15 degrees. Dews are coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Looks like both the ARW and NMM came in with less qpf than there 12z runs. .25 line just east of DC along the bay. 12z had the .5 line along the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 We'll take a trip to MT Tolland and steal all of the snow while CTBlizz is asleep load it into a big truck and bring it to Capitol Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Looks like both the ARW and NMM came in with less qpf than there 12z runs. .25 line just east of DC along the bay. 12z had the .5 line along the bay. Not that they really matter or should be given any weight, but they aren't out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Im surprised there arent any radar hallucinations, especially based off the weenie intellicast radar. http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Not that they really matter or should be given any weight, but they aren't out yet. Yeah they are...and they should be given weight because they are good short range models. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevpage=Param&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=01%2F11%2F2011+00UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=sim_radar&model=HRW-NMM-EUS&area=EUS&cat=&areaDesc=Eastern+United+States&fcast=Loop+All Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Just checked the temps/dp's/rh at navel academy and bwi. 25F/16/69% 23F/14/68% Not as dry as I would have thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Just checked the temps/dp's/rh at navel academy and bwi. 25F/16/69% 23F/14/68% Not as dry as I would have thought. 17.1 with a dew point of 13 here in Frederick....quite moist out actually. There are stations around me reporting 14-15 degrees with 12-13 dew points. Should be minimal virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Just checked the temps/dp's/rh at navel academy and bwi. 25F/16/69% 23F/14/68% Not as dry as I would have thought. Yeah good point, hopefully dry air wont be a huge factor, so we can squeeze out all of that .20-.25 qpf we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah they are...and they should be given weight because they are good short range models. http://mag.ncep.noaa...&fcast=Loop+All there's some issue there sw of dc... that hard line is nor legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 there's some issue there sw of dc... that hard line is nor legit. yeah based on how the sim radar totally botched the loop you would think that if it would have been right it would have upped our totals a good bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 How did this thing go from 2 pages to 20 while I slumbered for 5 hours? Why are people using the simulated reflectivity for a snow storm?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 How did this thing go from 2 pages to 20 while I slumbered for 5 hours? Why are people using the simulated reflectivity for a snow storm?!? And this is my first post in the past 5 hours . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 FWIW I think EURO is a bit west...Probably similar QPF to 12Z though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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