Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 so what's your point? we're both going to finish with over 600 posts in this string of threads... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS @ 00h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 off topic kinda but does anyone know links to a good sfc obs maps that includes buoys, METAR, etc... I like the UCAR map but it shows Alt not SLP and doesnt show buoys. Always wondered how you guys pull these insane buoy or one station reporting the lowest pressure etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 say what you want, that radar in NC/VA looks nice actually, it's really not a solid moisture plume. Even if holds together which is probably won't, can't see it amounting to much, especially around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah, looking at the GFS so far, not heading for good things. Not going with the GFS for my forecast, all the higher resolutions are better for me. many against gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 pretty much every model run -- even the good ones -- looked like this around now I was trying to make a differen't point however that the storm is to broad to microcast right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 actually, it's really not a solid moisture plume. Even if holds together which is probably won't, can't see it amounting to much, especially around here. SN at KMTV.....yes it may be sporatic but those arent nothing returns. LWX radar is lighting up with what may not be virga. might be starting to back off the confluence enough to start some WAA soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah, looking at the GFS so far, not heading for good things. Not going with the GFS for my forecast, all the higher resolutions are better for me. many against gfs. i'd definitely hug the worst models you can find Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS looks horrible. Dusting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 24 looks pretty ick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 actually, it's really not a solid moisture plume. Even if holds together which is probably won't, can't see it amounting to much, especially around here. believe me, I understand the broken structure of the precip band I'm trying to be a little positive it is nicely generating as it moves north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 24 looks pretty ick I think it will looks similar to 18z, + or - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 believe me, I understand the broken structure of the precip band I'm trying to be a little positive it is nicely generating as it moves north Fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 SN at KMTV.....yes it may be sporatic but those arent nothing returns. LWX radar is lighting up with what may not be virga. might be starting to back off the confluence enough to start some WAA soon. all the stuff to the south now is modeled to drift ene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 WWA issued for entire area. lol......I made that taunting post literally 5 minutes before the advisory was issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS looks horrible. Dusting? This thread is far worse than the one over at Accuweather. Let the run play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Might finally get the 3-5 inch storm I have been looking for. Is it just me or was the WSW criteria lower in the past? WSW criteria is 5"+. 3-5" is mostly less than warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 WSW criteria is 5"+. 3-5" is mostly less than warning criteria. Thanks for two answers to a question I didn't ask, Fozzmeister. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This thread is far worse than the one over at Accuweather. Let the run play out. I'm sure it will turn around and bomb us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 im hugging sref... it had it's bust last storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Thanks for two answers to a question I didn't ask, Fozzmeister. Ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 all the stuff to the south now is modeled to drift ene modeled or not look at reality... thats more of a 50-55 degree motion vector.... NE not ENE. TIME SENSITIVE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS says 1-3 at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I just realized it is colder than the forecasted low already..... 19.2 with a dewpoint of 13...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This is the driest run I have seen for any model in the last week....and it's 6 hours prior to when my snow should start. ***LOUD NOISES AND GUNSHOTS**** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 modeled or not look at reality... thats more of a 50-55 degree motion vector.... NE not ENE. TIME SENSITIVE most of the stuff that has any chance to move toward is is falling apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I believe the moisture on the radar is farther west than 12/26, so I may not see a complete shutout this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS says 1-3 at best. no offense Phin, but i dont care. GFS has been all over the place. funny how in the 1-3 we would find the heaviest snow of the season anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 modeled or not look at reality... thats more of a 50-55 degree motion vector.... NE not ENE. TIME SENSITIVE It's also breaking apart as there really isn't much of LP to keep it organized now, and even so, as we saw on 12/26, as long as we only have a N wind, it probably won't get here. If there were an easterly component, well, then it might be more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 SN at KMTV.....yes it may be sporatic but those arent nothing returns. LWX radar is lighting up with what may not be virga. might be starting to back off the confluence enough to start some WAA soon. There are flurries 20 miles to my south--and they can't budge north. Don't think it will move north until that coastal takes over. Has been snowing 30-50 miles DUE south of me for 3-5 hours. (MTV is 70 miles SW) According to the NAM, I don't saturate enough for snow until 4 am...and radar looks pretty damn good, but its like hitting a brick wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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