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Jan 11-12 Model/Forecasting Discussion


Ji

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Might finally get the 3-5 inch storm I have been looking for. Is it just me or was the WSW criteria lower in the past?

What sucks is my sister in Fayetteville, NC texted me a pic from the six inches of snow they received today. 2nd six inch snowstorm for them in two weeks. I didn't even reply back... I hope we get at least 4 inches..

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Thanks, you are a ray of light around here.

I think my posts may seem negative because there is nothing really positive to post lately (if you are being realistic). I've seen nothing to change my thinking that we will get no more than a dusting here (if not total whiff). QPF signature has been screaming DC Miller B screwjob for days. I'm thinking of switching from Miller Lite to Coors Light just so I am not reminded of these things.

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Not terrible looking, all things considered. Liking the mod precip at the bay, possibly including Baltimore, and NE at 36. Was thinking it would be well on its way out by then considering models all day today.

Let's split the obs thread for this storm like they did for the last storm in the Philly/NYC forum. Us DC folks won't want to hear about Bmore's SN+ while we are PCLOUDY.

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Anybody got the placement of the SLP on the east coast?

Dude it aint happening. And therte is no placement, it has degenerated to a broad trough centered over the warmest waters off the SC coast. Obvs there are not concentrated enough to really place it. I'd just go with the warmest spoot on in the gulf stream.

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Dude it aint happening. And therte is no placement, it has degenerated to a broad trough centered over the warmest waters off the SC coast. Obvs there are not concentrated enough to really place it. I'd just go with the warmest spoot on in the gulf stream.

pretty much every model run -- even the good ones -- looked like this around now

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