Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I hope New York likes it when their 1" of QPF melts next weekend. i wouldnt mind a foot of melted snow next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 okay IAD .21 JYO .21 DCA .23 BWI .28 Philly .56 NYC 1.01 The NAM has finally reached reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 okay IAD .21 JYO .21 DCA .23 BWI .28 Philly .56 NYC 1.01 KMTN and KAPG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 okay IAD .21 JYO .21 DCA .23 BWI .28 Philly .56 NYC 1.01 for Phineas MTN-.34 APG-.38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 yes it does its will be a painful Wednesday around here but alas, take heart folks JB's update tonight says he's watching a new storm for next week; apparently that one that the Euro has slipping off the coast keep your hopes up Can I start the negativity train?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 for Phineas MTN-.34 APG-.38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 i know but i thought the NAM would cave one on run and give DC like .67 before going back to .23 the next run. it's good that it's pretty stable.. we could get the .05 back next run. of course these things always seem to develop further north and east than planned so i'd rather have seen it go up .05 than down .05 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Way to grumpy way to prickish on this forum what ever happened to having fun with the weather if thats what you enjoy doing. for some I don't think that is the case Haha bud if u don't like why are you in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 It's gonna phase to late for us folks. NAM shows a stronger storm by about 4mb, which means there will be a tighter gradient in precip totals. NAM and 18z GFS show less precip in western MD and PA too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 how much for ric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This must be how SNE felt the first two weeks of February 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Are the Philly weenies gloating over their comparably good winter. I really have not been looking at that forum. They are having two decent winters in a row. The only big east coast city that can claim that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I hope New York likes it when their 1" of QPF melts next weekend. Not before the citizens go into a riot and oust their mayor by force over not getting to the nearest Starbucks for 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 our best chance will be in early March...we get a MARCH 1960 type event where we make up for this pain with a tremendous storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 It's gonna phase to late for us folks. NAM shows a stronger storm by about 4mb, which means there will be a tighter gradient in precip totals. NAM and 18z GFS show less precip in western MD and PA too. i think it was always going to phase too late for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I really don't think there is much of a chance for any more "adjustments" that would help us. look where the midwest system is already. I don't see it all of a sudden ending up further south. And the coastal is not coming to an abrupt halt waiting for it magically before it passes our latitude. This is already screaming a whole lot of nothing. Maybe not a complete "whiff" but probably not much more than a foul tip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 no point of even looking at the gfs. If the NAM cant save us...nothing will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carolina23 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 for Phineas MTN-.34 APG-.38 Not bad for us Phineas.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I really don't think there is much of a chance for any more "adjustments" that would help us. look where the midwest system is already. I don't see it all of a sudden ending up further south. And the coastal is not coming to an abrupt halt waiting for it magically before it passes our latitude. This is already screaming a whole lot of nothing. Maybe not a complete "whiff" but probably not much more than a foul tip. just off the crossbar and not wide like most of ov's shots.jk im a huge caps guy, good luck to that area in this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 everyone who contributed to the 5000 posts in this thread for our 1-2 inch storm needs his head checked http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/7062-jan-11-12-modelforecasting-discussion/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 For some perspective, here is a picture I came across on the hard drive this evening. Taken last Jan 25, in the middle of our colossal "Snoverkill" winter. Enjoy the snow tomorrow. ] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 final call for Phin, mitch, and me. 3-5 inches with ratios giving the upper echelon possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 everyone who contributed to the 5000 posts in this thread for our 1-2 inch storm needs his head checked http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/7062-jan-11-12-modelforecasting-discussion/ Man, I am good: I am already throwing this threat out. 3 inches at most (5% chance). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Mother Nature is dead to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 i think it was always going to phase too late for us. My point is that DC will be lucky to get 1". Annapolis will be luck with 1-3. And northeast will be lucky to get 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Not bad for us Phineas.... MD bullseye should come out of our general area, most likely some bozo in Elkton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 final call for Phin, mitch, and me. 3-5 inches with ratios giving the upper echelon possibility. IF, and that's a big "IF", we get the qpf as progged by the NAM, then 3", maybe close to 4", is likely sad because we received that much in less than 2 hours in 3 separate storms last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 Keith Allen is looking good for his 25 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Is the start time any sooner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 5% chance is probably good in this range.. 3" at most.. why? It is called meteorology, Ian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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