North Balti Zen Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The troops are beaten down and just crossing fingers to avoid a snowhole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I think the short answer is Feb. 6. Didn't coastal and southern areas change over? Beside that, I can't recall another recent good storm where DC and points east changed over to rain while Carroll, Frederick, Hagerstown, and the Valley got pummeled with heavy snow.. . Maybe in 08 or 09? I have lived in Carroll County for 5 years now, and I can tell you that it hasn't happened while I have been here. I know from looking back at the records and memory that it used to happen almost once or twice a winter (where DC got some snow with mixing problems while places towards the blue ridge and up here got 6-10". It has been a long time. I know there were a bunch of instances like that in the early 2000's that come to mind but none since then. I have still done well but mostly because I have gotten 2-3" more for every event then the cities due mostly to no urban heat island and such, but there haven't been any events where I got more then 4" and the cities were mostly rain since I have been here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I have lived in Carroll County for 5 years now, and I can tell you that it hasn't happened while I have been here. I know from looking back at the records and memory that it used to happen almost once or twice a winter (where DC got some snow with mixing problems while places towards the blue ridge and up here got 6-10". It has been a long time. I know there were a bunch of instances like that in the early 2000's that come to mind but none since then. I have still done well but mostly because I have gotten 2-3" more for every event then the cities due mostly to no urban heat island and such, but there haven't been any events where I got more then 4" and the cities were mostly rain since I have been here. I think 2007 had several interior events, especially March 2007 which looks like you did well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Were all good, I know its tough to express emotion through forum text. No he was wrong to give you lip. I'll keep him in line for ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I know it's been a while since you've been on the boards... but "this" means "I agree" just FYI. I wrote that down....thanks...Now go back in your underwater cave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I wrote that down....thanks...Now go back in your underwater cave Happy to help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 NE of Baltimore too. Some are overplaying that aspect. I think you will need to be in PHL north to make out well. I suspect I will do barely better than DC and be watching heavy snow bands rotate in to my north, The "pivot point" won't be until well northeast of PHL. PHL will do better because the band of snow will be developing and strengthening as it moves northeast so they will get longer duration and heavier but nothing is going to start rotating around until the H7 and H5 circulations catch up and that is not until near NYC. Until then the back edge is going to race SW to NE. Best guess IAD 2" DCA 2.5" BWI 3.5" Phin 4" Our only hope for more is one last adjustment south of the H5/H7 track. They did adjust south some from yesterday and one more 50 mile nudge would do us a lot of good but its unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I think 2007 had several interior events, especially March 2007 which looks like you did well. That was the 4" event I was thinking off...I got 4" here and Baltimore was all rain. That was the closest. There was another storm that year where I got 5" here and Baltimore got 2 but we both mixed a lot. A lot of instances like that while I have been here, but none where DC got like 1" and mixed and Carroll County got 8". That used to happen a lot but not so much anymore. Same reason State College PA and Harrisburg PA are in a long term snow drought also, not too many "inside runners" anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 i think randy tried earlier We will rally. We always do. We're Mid Atlantic folk. We will ENJOY our misery. We've seen worse. As we sit here tonight and even tomorrow, hoping for the miracle that won't come, we'll still enjoy every flake falling from the sky tomorrow afternoon. It's not the jackpot, but its something. Come on gang, enjoy your .20 of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Don't look at the 72HR accumulated precip map on the 18Z GFS ensemble mean unless you want to barf. Basically, the blue shading starts about a mile outside the LWX forecast area and there is a huge hole of almost nothing SW of DC. NYC and BOS are totally destroyed. it's actually not bad -- at least dc to balt -- comparing backwards thru the day... fwiw -- 18z is the one it lingers on longest then it cycles from 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 We will rally. We always do. We're Mid Atlantic folk. We will ENJOY our misery. We've seen worse. As we sit here tonight and even tomorrow, hoping for the miracle that won't come, we'll still enjoy every flake falling from the sky tomorrow afternoon. It's not the jackpot, but its something. Come on gang, enjoy your .20 of QPF. Here here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 If DC manages to get 2 to 3 inches, and New York only gets 8 to 10, this will be an alright storm. Not sure why, but for some reason I am really hoping the big snow sets up in Boston instead of closer down the coast to us. It will make this miss more bearable than seeing (and hearing) about another New York blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 We will rally. We always do. We're Mid Atlantic folk. We will ENJOY our misery. We've seen worse. As we sit here tonight and even tomorrow, hoping for the miracle that won't come, we'll still enjoy every flake falling from the sky tomorrow afternoon. It's not the jackpot, but its something. Come on gang, enjoy your .20 of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Isn't it time to rally the troops and hope for a 0Z miracle in two hours? It will happen. Randy tried - And I AM rallying. WE will see a last minute snow miracle in the south and central Mid Atl - More snow than modeled and more snow than forecast - even more than the latest LWX updates. The radar will look worse than shit tomorrow morning but then the beginnings of the comma will blossom and N VA / DCA / MD will get memorably raked by it as it rotates NE. Randy will get 7 inches or more. Mark MY words... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 if those SREFs look like cr@p, I swear I'll troll one person for the rest of this winter.......look out JI, you will be mine!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 It will happen. Randy tried - And I AM rallying. WE will see a last minute snow miracle in the south and central Mid Atl - More snow than modeled and more snow than forecast - even more than the latest LWX updates. The radar will look worse than shit tomorrow morning but then the beginnings of the comma will blossom and N VA / DCA / MD will get memorably raked by it as it rotates NE. Randy will get 7 inches or more. Mark MY words... Consider them marked...just like the underwear im wearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Corriewf Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Hi, I have been in the icu under a coma for the last 6 days... So how is the snow forecast looking? Still 4-8 guys? * Looks at recent models * .......... 1 - 2 inches?!?!?!?........But DT said????? wxri....cant breath..n...o..r.e...as...on...to...LIVE....AHHHH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Consider them marked...just like the underwear im wearing. You pooped yourself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Hi, I have been in the icu under a coma for the last 6 days... So how is the snow forecast looking? Still 4-8 guys? * Looks at recent models * .......... 1 - 2 inches?!?!?!?........But DT said????? wxri....cant breath..n...o..r.e...as...on...to...LIVE....AHHHH! comedic fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 You pooped yourself? Someone's on the ball today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I have lived in Carroll County for 5 years now, and I can tell you that it hasn't happened while I have been here. I know from looking back at the records and memory that it used to happen almost once or twice a winter (where DC got some snow with mixing problems while places towards the blue ridge and up here got 6-10". It has been a long time. I know there were a bunch of instances like that in the early 2000's that come to mind but none since then. I have still done well but mostly because I have gotten 2-3" more for every event then the cities due mostly to no urban heat island and such, but there haven't been any events where I got more then 4" and the cities were mostly rain since I have been here. I grew up in Carroll County in the 80s and 90s and it seemed like it used to happen all the time when I was a kid. We'd get off or delays and nobody to the east or southeast would get anything except for maybe the Hereford Zone of Baltimore County. It seems like Frederick County always got more than us to. As for big storms, I know we got more snow in 2003 when I was at Western Maryland (now McDaniel) College and in '96 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Someone's on the ball today. You set it up perfectly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I grew up in Carroll County in the 80s and 90s and it seemed like it used to happen all the time when I was a kid. We'd get off or delays and nobody to the east or southeast would get anything except for maybe the Hereford Zone of Baltimore County. It seems like Frederick County always got more than us to. As for big storms, I know we got more snow in 2003 when I was at Western Maryland (now McDaniel) College and in '96 as well. way more in 96. The blizz and the 2nd storm after it were deep out here compared to Baltimore. 2003 not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 if those SREFs look like cr@p, I swear I'll troll one person for the rest of this winter.......look out JI, you will be mine!!!! If the 0.25 line isn't near DC (like within 10 miles) I will join you in said trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 just remember the crap sref was pulling in this range last time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 way more in 96. The blizz and the 2nd storm after it were deep out here compared to Baltimore. 2003 not so much. Baltimore got raked that storm, but Westminster did certainly better than DC and points east of a line roughly NNE from DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Corriewf Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 comedic fail Hey! I stood up for you when DT called everyone here morons.. I had better gifs but im not looking to get bannnneeerrrdid.. As much as I wanted it to snow a lot, DT needed to be brought back down to earth.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 just remember the crap sref was pulling in this range last time oh, I could care less about the snow I just want them to look like cr@p so I have an excuse to troll JI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Srefs no srefs , this storm isn't our storm, this winter isn't our winter. Sorry about negativity but that's how is this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 just remember the crap sref was pulling in this range last time True, but it will be correct this time because we are getting less snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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