Wonderdog Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Ian, when you used the word "elevated", that to me smacked of some sort of jealously, sorry. And what is the deal with some of the posters hating on Accuwx all of the time. Just curious. I'm not affiliated with them and last week when I posted about them, I did it to just get a rise out of the haters and it worked. Why is that? i think most of the euro talk specifically is just saying where it is.. perhaps comparing to previous runs, sometimes thre might be negativity there. jealous? meh.. it's just snow. we've heard enough of your accuwx thoughts im sure... they do have a forum you know if this one is too much for you to deal with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Individual SREF members pretty good overall, the RSM screws up the mean. .3ish for Baltimore. Also, interestingly the RUC keeps bringing the low further west each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Been watching this radar presentation all morning into this midafternoon http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php I've been expecting the precip over the Carolinas and GA to just slide due east out to sea. Well - That is not what is happening. Precip continues to bubble up from Georgia where snow just piles up. I think the energy transfer from the energy in the plains to the developing low on the SE Coast is already underway, and that as time goes on this afternoon and tonight, more precip will bubble up from Georgia up across the Carolinas and gradually a virga blizzard will develop over VA tonight culminating in snow by dawn over N VA and the DC metro. I believe at this time that DC is in for 2-3 inches, BWI 4 inches, Dulles 1-2 inches, Philly 7 inches and my backyard will receive an exhilarating dusting (and I will like it). Leesburg will get fringed with 2 inches. Yoda will get 3 inches locally due to a band setting up over his town. Vortmax will get 5 inches. Stormtracker will get 7 inches due to local banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 That was in response to Accuweather's snow map of 4 days ago..."Significant/Distruptive snow area WEST of I-95" Unless your take on significant/disruptive is less than 4"... wouldn't count it out, yet (though unlikely). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Let's wait for the storm to conclude and then we can talk. And for the record, I wasn't agreeing with the forecast since I'm not a met I was just commenting that it was nice to see some forecasters with the nerve to make a forecast, more that a day or two out. How's that "Heavy Snow" from DC-BOS forecast from 4 days looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Yeah, they wont change that until later tonight.. When you say that, are you inferring they will change it to an Advisory or a Warning? Because right now, there is the potential for 5 or more inches, right? I mean, we all would not be here right now if the potential doesn't exist, right? It may be an unlikely potential - but the potential does exist! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Ok guys, no need to circle the wagons. Just making an observation or two. This is the "American" Weather Forums, isn't it? You could always just stay in those other regional forums if this one is off putting to you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 When you say that, are you inferring they will change it to an Advisory or a Warning? Because right now, there is the potential for 5 or more inches, right? I mean, we all would not be here right now if the potential doesn't exist, right? It may be an unlikely potential - but the potential does exist! There is potential but IMHO which means nothing it is highly unlikely we get a warning criteria snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Unless your take on significant/disruptive is less than 4"... wouldn't count it out, yet (though unlikely). Don't mind him... he's just a Steelers fan secretly shaking in his boots after watching the Ravens beat the snot out of the Chiefs knowing they won by the skin of their teeth even with Ben "Therapist" Roethlisberger at the helm last time out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
budice2002 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 NAM is running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Ian, when you used the word "elevated", that to me smacked of some sort of jealously, sorry. And what is the deal with some of the posters hating on Accuwx all of the time. Just curious. I'm not affiliated with them and last week when I posted about them, I did it to just get a rise out of the haters and it worked. Why is that? i didnt mean for the tombo comments to be taken personally. i have no issues with him, but at the base of it all he is doing is regurgitating maps. that's cool for those who enjoy it. i think there is a long history of accuwx being 'attacked' for their often more bullish than needed forecasts... they are in the business of making money as much as anything else though so i dont really fault them for wanting people to look at their site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Ok guys, no need to circle the wagons. Just making an observation or two. This is the "American" Weather Forums, isn't it? Contrary to belief, we have our own opinions, no one is "circling the wagons". I'm just saying..you seem to have some issue with the opinions of the folks in this forum, and I offered a suggestion. That's all. Not sure what the board name has to do with any of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Differences already. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 There is potential but IMHO which means nothing it is highly unlikely we get a warning criteria snow here. Don't get me wrong. I agree with you. But this 'issue' is the perfect example of why i love this Board (and the previous Board, and the Board before that, and IRC before that (#neweather FTW!) In this place you get the real analysis and not media hype (ratings) or media under-hype (avoid panic). And for NWS, they are doing their job. The potential exists. If we get 8 " they are covered. If we get 2" they are covered because it was 'only potential'. I refer to it as "intelligence chatter" and right now there is not too much woofing and bug eyed emonicons and certainly no bug eyed emonicons with red arrows going through the skull which can only mean 2" and nothing more. : - ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 nam should be rockin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Been watching this radar presentation all morning into this midafternoon http://radar.weather...s/full_loop.php I've been expecting the precip over the Carolinas and GA to just slide due east out to sea. Well - That is not what is happening. Precip continues to bubble up from Georgia where snow just piles up. I think the energy transfer from the energy in the plains to the developing low on the SE Coast is already underway, and that as time goes on this afternoon and tonight, more precip will bubble up from Georgia up across the Carolinas and gradually a virga blizzard will develop over VA tonight culminating in snow by dawn over N VA and the DC metro. I believe at this time that DC is in for 2-3 inches, BWI 4 inches, Dulles 1-2 inches, Philly 7 inches and my backyard will receive an exhilarating dusting (and I will like it). Leesburg will get fringed with 2 inches. Yoda will get 3 inches locally due to a band setting up over his town. Vortmax will get 5 inches. Stormtracker will get 7 inches due to local banding. No I agree with you its move more nne than just east, but it is not consolidated at all, very broken up. I dont know, . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 More compact h5 at 24 hrs on the 18z then it was on the 12z at 30 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 man the 500 low is huge at 30.. looks like the vorts at the base are a little slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Agree, NAM should be rockin Ian, wtf happens at the surface on this run though thru 30? Really, with an H5 like that, it would be even better than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Digging quite a bit deeper at 30, to my untrained eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 NAM looks dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 How's that "Heavy Snow" from DC-BOS forecast from 4 days looking? I highly agree with the CWG map! 2-4 for places NE of DC, Baltimore and NE of Baltimore City. I'd expect the watch to be dropped for the counties along the bay, with Hartford and Cecil being the exceptions. I can see upwards of 5 inches for them, more as you get closer to PA/DE. I'll take my 2-4 and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 not as wet through hr 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Agree, NAM should be rockin Ian, wtf happens at the surface on this run though thru 30? Really, with an H5 like that, it would be even better than 12z. the next panel is probably the boom one.. not sure the surface differences are that important tho really everything is a bit north of what i'd like but it is what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 NAM looks dry. The off runs are always dry. Look at other features Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 700 maps definitely dont look as good imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I think 36 is gonna look better... We are gonna get our quick shot of moderate snow I think, which is as much as we can hope for with the development happening this far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 the next panel is probably the boom one.. not sure the surface differences are that important tho really everything is a bit north of what i'd like but it is what it is I don't get it. the H5 map is very nice, but the surface looks like sh*t, especially compared to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 That's not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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