EasternUSWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ARW Clown map. Here comes the boom! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Prepare for more disappointment this Saturday when the ravens lose to the STEELERS!!! I am not going to get into this with you in a weather thread especially during storm mode. I just have one thing to say Rapistberger and the Squeelers will lose this Saturday and when they do you can come shovel my 4 inches i am getting tomorrow . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 pattern change finally on 12Z ensembles we get into the warmth and then "maybe" get some snow the last 1/3 of the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ARW Clown map. Here comes the boom! Could you post that map showing the adjacent southern region? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Could you post that map showing the adjacent southern region? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 Jma just took a crap on us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The high-res WRFs really don't do well around here. They're fun and that's about it. Really? I hadn't noticed that... They usually verify pretty well IMBY... maybe i'm just being a weenie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Guess thats where the WSW came from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ARW Clown map. Here comes the boom! Please, PLEASE verify!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Jma just took a crap on us How devastating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Jma just took a crap on us it shows what all the other models are now showing qpf-wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You can be a non-met and still be reasonable. How can I help you? I'm asking/telling you to stop being a weenie... only you can make yourself stop worrying about individual model runs and QPF amounts and get more concerned about the overall trends and what to realistically expect. That has nothing to do about what you know, but rather it comes from how you choose to analyze and react to the weather information at hand. I hear what you are saying and if you look at my posts i am not a big worrier nor do i expect alot of snow. In fact from this storm i always thought 2-4" inches was the most likely just from reading all the discussions and taking into acount the seasonal trends. It is still fun to follow every run and see the synoptic changes and QPF differences, like i have said in the past tracking the storms is half the fun to me. If that bothers you i am sorry and what would you like me to do to change short of stopping posting totally?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Please, PLEASE verify!!!! That map has about much chance as the ravens winning in Pittsburgh Saturday...not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 jma looks pretty decent to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I think Midlo just types slow. I think we get the same maps which are the earliest to come out I believe. I share when I can.. hard to stay up till 130 every night. I can see his value for some for sure. problem is i am usually on my laptop with 10 windows open, fingers flying on the pad takes longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 That map has about much chance as the ravens winning in Pittsburgh Saturday...not going to happen. Why? The ARW correctly predicted the 12/26 screwjob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 day 9.5 996 low well east of sc myrtle beach crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 problem is i am usually on my laptop with 10 windows open, fingers flying on the pad takes longer just know that tombo > you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 That map has about much chance as the ravens winning in Pittsburgh Saturday...not going to happen. Considering how much I like snow, I really like those odds... GO RAVENS!!! Anyways, shouldn't you be posting here: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/forum/10-upstate-new-yorkpennsylvania/ or are you one of those strange P-burgh fans who likes rooting for them but not living in the home town? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 cwg map http://voices.washingtonpost.com/capitalweathergang/2011/01/snow_map_accumulation_timeline.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 That map has about much chance as the ravens winning in Pittsburgh Saturday...not going to happen. Oh no you didn't just go there! Back OT: How accurate is the ARW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 jma looks pretty decent to me It did to me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 day 9.5 996 low well east of sc myrtle beach crushed Any sign of that arctic air mass that the GFS has lost for ~Day 10 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 day 9.5 996 low well east of sc myrtle beach crushed Sweet. Is the "Vodka Cold" back on ice in northern Canada? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 problem is i am usually on my laptop with 10 windows open, fingers flying on the pad takes longer My advice would be to focus less on real pron and concentrate on weather pron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 FWIW, the HiRes Window (WRF, both ARW and especially NMM) models have a more significant high bias for moderate to high threshold amounts (anything over .5 in/24 hours) and are much less skillful than either the NAM or GFS in the short range. Here is 24 hour verification for December over east conus....red/blue are the hires wrf where green and purple are nam and gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 just know that tombo > you NOTED!! day 10 says congrats cape hat OTS heck of a storm though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I agree. If you're tracking a possible winter storm, I like Tombo. He provides info on request without complaining. That may very well be true, but myself and tons of other weenies do enjoy it. I see that some Mets do not like the pbp and QPF on every run but i believe a majority on this board do. I could be wrong and it will not be the first or last time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Still waiting for the 8" the WRF had me getting Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I don't want to interrupt the excitement for the 1-5" tomorrow, but is there still a potential 'bigger event' on the horizon like there was a few days ago... or did that vanish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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