WVclimo Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 over 3000 posts tracking an one inch event. This is sick hobby. F u all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You're ruining this thread. Please leave. I second that motionn. Please leave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I recall the NMM and ARW accurately predicting our screwjob on 12/26, so this latest ARW is good to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pen48guins Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I found this board during last winters awesomeness. Always have had an interest in weather since I was young. Over this year I have learned quite a bit about looking at the models and such. It's a pity the first year I hop on is followed by this disaster of a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 oh no, JI is taking his mouse and computer screen and going home game over! Yay!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Stick with tombo's numbers for they are better for us anyway. Ride the tombo!!! Tombo is useless IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Go go HI RES! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I found this board during last winters awesomeness. Always have had an interest in weather since I was young. Over this year I have learned quite a bit about looking at the models and such. It's a pity the first year I hop on is followed by this disaster of a winter. welcome aboard the Titanic hope you enjoy your trip! j/k of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This model did correctly show the DC whiff on Dec 26 from 48 hours out.....hmmmm MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I found this board during last winters awesomeness. Always have had an interest in weather since I was young. Over this year I have learned quite a bit about looking at the models and such. It's a pity the first year I hop on is followed by this disaster of a winter. Don't worry the pain and suffering of a MA winter will continue for years...enjoy the ride. GO PENS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Tombo is useless IMO you're just jealous you don;t have a job 6 months out of the year how does one live like that??? I mean, don't get me wrong, I hope he finds something as he seems decent enough, but man things must be tight for him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I knew the high-res WRF would come into save the day! I've still got big piles of my 3-5" of WRF snow from Saturday. Anybody got the WRF-NMM through 48hr yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Don't worry the pain and suffering of a MA winter will continue for years...enjoy the ride. GO PENS!!! you still healing from last years pain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 Maybe euro is just wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I knew the high-res WRF would come into save the day! I've still got big piles of my 3-5" of WRF snow from Saturday. Anybody got the WRF-NMM through 48hr yet? Glancing around the NYC and Philly storm threads, the WRF is can't miss. Lock it up. Bring the shovels... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Don't worry the pain and suffering of a MA winter will continue for years...enjoy the ride. GO PENS!!! Can we take the wrf seriously? GO CAPS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I knew the high-res WRF would come into save the day! I've still got big piles of my 3-5" of WRF snow from Saturday. Anybody got the WRF-NMM through 48hr yet? it nailed my super band the other night!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 here's the bad news folks the CFS fairly accurately depicted the temp profile of DEC and it looked like what it now shows for JAN now take a look at the FEB temp anomaly map very close to JAN I'm thinking breaking this pattern this winter will be tough if not impossible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 you still healing from last years pain? The pain of shoveling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 it nailed my super band the other night!!!! Yay for you! Only missed precip totals IMBY by a factor of 20-40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'd generally throw out the hi res they are the NAM on steroids. It's better than them sucking thi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 here's the bad news folks the CFS fairly accurately depicted the temp profile of DEC and it looked like what it now shows for JAN now take a look at the FEB temp anomaly map very close to JAN I'm thinking breaking this pattern this winter will be tough if not impossible Well...I don't mind some seasonable or moderately below normal cold, even if we can't have snow. Still want winter to feel like winter. Especially after 8 straights months of much above normal temps last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Tombo is useless IMO I love you dearly but i have to disagree, most of the time he is the only one willing to give pbp and he gives QPF to anyone who asks gladly. So i do not know how you consider that useless. I know the pbp and the IMBY QPF is not your cup of tea but he does it for everyone without ever bitching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Well...I don't mind some seasonable or moderately below normal cold, even if we can't have snow. Still want winter to feel like winter. Especially after 8 straights months of much above normal temps last year. Agreed. Haven't had a cold, dry winter here in a while but they do happen. Just hope we can start getting some more moisture toward spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 here's the bad news folks the CFS fairly accurately depicted the temp profile of DEC and it looked like what it now shows for JAN now take a look at the FEB temp anomaly map very close to JAN I'm thinking breaking this pattern this winter will be tough if not impossible lolumad? late Jan through Feb shows easing of the belows over the eastern third of the country... indicating more northern/western storm tracks, which would have put us in the money with part one of this current storm. Also shows a relaxing in the massive AO block that would allow for more progressive systems... higher probability for changeover/rainmaker events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I love you dearly but i have to disagree, most of the time he is the only one willing to give pbp and he gives QPF to anyone who asks gladly. So i do not know how you consider that useless. I know the pbp and the IMBY QPF is not your cup of tea but he does it for everyone without ever bitching. PBP and run-to-run QPF is for weenies who need false hope and instant gratification/disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 A couple thoughts. It would appear that the models have some kind of consensus with giving the DCA/Annapolis/Balt area somewhere between 1-5 inches. Given the current guidance, the most likely scenario at this point is a 1-3 event. The best would be 4-8. The problem I'm seeing is that it phases literally right over the area before you can get any kind of real banding going on. And then it's over. This is going to be a 6-8 hr event. After this winter so far I think there is a pretty good chance this thing phases to late and we really get screwed once again. However, it's important to keep in mind that all it would take would be a phase 40 miles further south and we would be looking at a 4-8" event. Will be interesting to watch, I just don't think it's going to happen based on the winter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 PBP and run-to-run QPF is for weenies who need false hope and instant gratification/disappointment. sorry, but reality hasn't worked out so well for us this year if Tombo represents false hope, I'll take it if its all we got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 false hope Can I get a 2nd helping of some, please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Well...I don't mind some seasonable or moderately below normal cold, even if we can't have snow. Still want winter to feel like winter. Especially after 8 straights months of much above normal temps last year. Ahhh. With cold should come snow. I cant stand cold and dry. If it aint gonna snow (and it wont out here) just bring on the torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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