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Jan 11-12 Model/Forecasting Discussion


Ji

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deep down ji actually knows quite a bit.. it's just a task to get him to show that off sometimes

Ji has the sort of knowledge that comes with having tracked storms on weather boards for a long time. It might sound silly, but he understands model biases, met biases, climo, etc. to a certain degree. You can predict the weather pretty well just by watching what certain mets say, watching the models, and then adjusting accordingly based on climo and trends. You don't even have to know a thing about the atmosphere!

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I like how we haven't even experienced this mind numbing awesomeness of extreme cold and the talk has already shifted towards a warm last 10 days of January...classic easter....uh...american

There is a set of posters here that I am quite convinced couldn't care less about sensible weather and just want to talk future. I am pretty sure guys like A-L-E-X and Don Sutherland would be here at 2:00 AM with thundersnow outside their windows discussing a possible warm-up in three weeks.

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There is a set of posters here that I am quite convinced couldn't care less about sensible weather and just want to talk future. I am pretty sure guys like A-L-E-X and Don Sutherland would be here at 2:00 AM with thundersnow outside their windows discussing a possible warm-up in three weeks.

Not Don, he loves weather. If you have never seen his snow page, it's worth a look. That said, is it my imagination or does the 84 hr nam handling of the vortex over the Great Lakes look a little like the euro 96hr as compared to the 18Z gfs?

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Not Don, he loves weather. If you have never seen his snow page, it's worth a look. That said, is it my imagination or does the 84 hr nam handling of the vortex over the Great Lakes look a little like the euro 96hr as compared to the 18Z gfs?

Don is a super-intelligent robot from a machine planet impersonating a human in order to gain knowledge of our species in advance of a future invasion by battle droids under his command.

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Not Don, he loves weather. If you have never seen his snow page, it's worth a look. That said, is it my imagination or does the 84 hr nam handling of the vortex over the Great Lakes look a little like the euro 96hr as compared to the 18Z gfs?

If I didn't know better the 0Z GFS is going to keep the PV up over the lakes as well. I think we're better off.... I'd rather take a chance at surpression than having upper energy to our NW with the Mon storm.

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