Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 precip is east, dc just west of the 0.25 most of va in 0.10"+ low about the same spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Quick note... I just woke up and noticed the staggering amount of posts in the previous thread... which was around 250 posts per hour when this one got started (with 100 posts in 24 minutes!). The hell is wrong with you people? Less posty, more ready. The sad thing is the NYC/PHL crew probably have us beat ----- Looks like the models are trying to converge on the overall shape/pattern of the QPF, with lower amounts over W and S VA and higher amounts on N NJ and LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 0.50" line runs the coast line from del up to nyc east of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 hr 72 0.50 line cuts nj in the middle north to south, sne 1"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 hr 72 0.50 line cuts nj in the middle north to south, sne 1"+ QPF for KBWI? Im guessing around .25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 precip is east, dc just west of the 0.25 most of va in 0.10"+ low about the same spot Total QPF for RIC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Total QPF for RIC? ~0.20" 0c line gets right to ric hr 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 HI RES ARW ready for business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 6znam sorta held Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Every single county northeast or southeast of DC in MD got a WSW! North and west crew...eat your heart out! http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=lwx&FcstType=text&zmx=1&zmy=1&map.x=276&map.y=113&site=LWX MDZ005>007-010-011-013-014-101715-/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0001.110111T1700Z-110112T1100Z/CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WESTMINSTER...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS403 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGHLATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAYAFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR 5 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW.* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE MIDDAY OR EARLY AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TUESDAY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TUESDAY NIGHT.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH TUESDAY...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITORTHE LATEST FORECASTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 NWS-GSP noted that the models forecast QPF too low until the last moment, i.e. real time. Could the unexpectedly potent southern storm sneak us into a WS warning criteria? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 6z is slightly east through 24 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 less phasing, drier and still slightly east through 36 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looks somewhat dry through 54 but seems to have the phase happening quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looking at that setup leading into 48 and 54 I would think that coastal should be a little closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Actually think it looks better then what the GFS has been throwing out on the op for the last several days. As far as setup not precip tot. Wouldn't be surprised to see the GFS Ensemble showing the coastal closer to the coast. Looking at the GFS ensemble for 00Z from last night was kind of surprised that the members weren't as consistent between themselves as they have been for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 24 Hr precip @30 24 Hr precip @54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Total precip @72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 N VA, DC, Balt snow hole continues on this run. Looks like my prediction is still holding. 95% Snowhole for NVA, DC and Balt. area compared to surrounding areas. 5% Enough snow they don't care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Virginia is definitely looking like the worst place to be for precipitation totals (no matter what type ;p ) That and central Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'll take my 3-6 and run in eastern baltimore county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'll take my 3-6 and run in eastern baltimore county. What will you do with the 1-2 that you will actually get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowden Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 What's the timeframe looking like? It appears the bulk will be late tomorrow afternoon after the rush? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 What will you do with the 1-2 that you will actually get? Laugh at those of us just south of Baltimore that get another trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 What will you do with the 1-2 that you will actually get? He'll probably be pretty happy since that would be a huge improvement on the seasonal total one inch we've seen up this way. More likely the six hours of snow leading to a light dusting will leave him grumpy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 What's the timeframe looking like? It appears the bulk will be late tomorrow afternoon after the rush? Should hold off until December 2011 at the earliest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Pretty good agreement between the 06Z GFS Op and the ensemble members this go round. The Op and the mean are almost spot on with precip, evolution and track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Pretty much non event for York pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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