PhineasC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 To Ian's post, NAM showed gobs of QPF this morning as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carolina23 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 .97 How about KMTN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The NAM QPF is probably overdone, but what about the upper levels? The H5 levels looked really good. sort of a contradiction if upper levels are good then that would support more qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 how much for new hampshire? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 How about KMTN? in the other thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 tomorrow is the day where we need subtle changes in the 500mb low...one more south shift and we can get our 6 inches. NYC though is making me sick to my stomach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 sort of a contradiction if upper levels are good then that would support more qpf Yes, but I doubt that Cecil county gets 8"+, or NYC getting 16-20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
voodoosnowgoddess Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Thanks for the RIC info mitchnick and Kevin Druff. I'm actually closer to Tappahannock so hopefully more snow than sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Back to the NAM talk, Ian, it may be wrong this time around, I suppose, but it's hard to forget it locked onto the snow hole early and was adamant about it in December. Doesn't mean it is right now with a different system, but it, along with the Euro, means perhaps we are still alive for potential near warning level criteria. I suppose the GFS will raise the middle finger to us in an hour at any rate. What is clear is that NYC and beyond is in the sweet spot this winter in any event. But maybe we can share some of the love from Ma Nature with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hokierulz98 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'll take 4-5 inches in Ric yeas please. NAM did better than the Sref and Gfs for the Christmas storm so I can still hope right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Back to the NAM talk, Ian, it may be wrong this time around, I suppose, but it's hard to forget it locked onto the snow hole early and was adamant about it in December. Doesn't mean it is right now with a different system, but it, along with the Euro, means perhaps we are still alive for potential near warning level criteria. I suppose the GFS will raise the middle finger to us in an hour at any rate. What is clear is that NYC and beyond is in the sweet spot this winter in any event. But maybe we can share some of the love from Ma Nature with this one. If the GFS looks anything like this, even CWG will have up probabilities of a dusting to 12%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carolina23 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 in the other thread Got it, thanks.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Got it, thanks.. We make out like bandits, relatively speaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 If the GFS looks anything like this, even CWG will have up probabilities of a dusting to 12%. ROFLMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Thanks for the RIC info mitchnick and Kevin Druff. I'm actually closer to Tappahannock so hopefully more snow than sleet. ask and you shall receive Tappahannock's station letters for future reference are XSA you get .41" with a start as snow, mix to sleet, then back to snow at least 1/2 is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carolina23 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 We make out like bandits, relatively speaking. I just want enough snow so that i can try out the new snowblower....lol But, i think we are looking better this time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I would rather the NAM show this than not this so I will run with it for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I just want enough snow so that i can try out the new snowblower....lol But, i think we are looking better this time.. so you're the sunovabich that bought a new snow blower and screwed us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This is warning criteria for some of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This is warning criteria for some of us yep looks like 5-7 for balt and nearly a foot for philli Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This is warning criteria for some of us What ratios are you expecting on Mt. Fozz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 2m temps in Boston at hour 66 is 36.1 and 1" of liquid falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This is warning criteria for some of us Yup my house is in the 5-6" band, but i highly doubt this verifies. If this was the NAM inside 48 i would be a little more excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 call me crazy, but I really hope the RGEM jumps on board I would prefer 2 short range models agreeing on this regardless of what you think of either or both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 What ratios are you expecting on Mt. Fozz? Maybe 11:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carolina23 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 so you're the sunovabich that bought a new snow blower and screwed us Oh trust me I'm feeling like i'm cursed now..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This is warning criteria for some of us still don't like the proximity of that snow hole to our SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 He must get a phone call when threads get above a certain length. Almost 1700 people online and we're flying with no features disabled. Just trying to keep things running smoothly, chief. Big threads make mysql angry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Oh trust me I'm feeling like i'm cursed now..... quick go sell it to someone in new england before the storm comes lol reverse the curse !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 2m temps in Boston at our 66 is 36.1 and 1" of liquid falls Wicked hardcore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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