CAPE Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 you sunavabich!!! LOL well ii havent done bad here but in each storm the heavier stuff has been just east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 you sunavabich!!! Definition of sunavabich= Weenie who is jealous that other man may get 1 more inch of snow then the other . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Throwing my first map out.. Comments and bashing (w/ reason) welcome Western PA is under a WSW and the NC portion of your map is off. Western NC is forecasted 4-8 inches and it will probably snow at least a couple inches with some ice in the area just south of KRDU/KRWI . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Western PA is under a WSW and the NC portion of your map is off. Western NC is forecasted 4-8 inches and it will probably snow at least a couple inches with some ice in the area just south of KRDU/KRWI . As said before, the main focus of the map was with the area from RIC to BOS.. The revised edition, I am currently making is addressing those issues. Thanks for the comment ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 As said before, the main focus of the map was with the area from RIC to BOS.. The revised edition, I am currently making is addressing those issues. Thanks for the comment ! I say you stick with your forecast and not worry about forecasts for areas you don't give two damns about. Besides, it's *your* forecast - no one else's! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 WBAL Met: less than 6 in Baltimore, NorthEast MD- 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 WBAL Met: less than 6 in Baltimore, NorthEast MD- 6+ Like how much less 1" or 5" , it would be nice if they would give a normal range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Like how much less 1" or 5" , it would be nice if they would give a normal range. less than 6" is an easy forecast.. you'll be right 85-90% of the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 less than 6" is an easy forecast.. you'll be right 85-90% of the time Maybe even more than that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Maybe even more than that lol. Looks like a general 1-6 for the area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 pretty tight track cluster with the last 4 gfs ops runs....18z a few mb deeper relative to the earlier runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Maybe even more than that lol. yeah perhaps my rough calculation was 89% of storms are less than 6" in dc going back to the 1800s so i scaled back a little for further north but my numbers are admittedly roug.h a more recent comparo is probably higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 why does anyone bother watching the local TV weather geeks? i honestly cant stand any of the local news stations period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 yeah perhaps my rough calculation was 89% of storms are less than 6" in dc going back to the 1800s so i scaled back a little for further north but my numbers are admittedly roug.h a more recent comparo is probably higher. OT but as I've said before...if this snow hole BS keeps up I think the severe lovers (Ellinwood, Yoda, You and Me) should just separate and whoever else who wants to come can. We'll just wish for severe instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 why does anyone bother watching the local TV weather geeks? i honestly cant stand any of the local news stations period. To give credit where credit is due, for the 12/26 storm Tony Pann from Channel 11 was only calling for 1-4" while everyone else was calling for much more and as you know he was the only one who was close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 less than 6" is an easy forecast.. you'll be right 85-90% of the time Exactly if all i had to do in a storm like this was say less then 6" even a moron like me could be a meteorologist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Sounds like Euro. 4 or 5 inches here if ratios aren't total crap. Wes said the ratios will probably be 10:1. Stop wishcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 To give credit where credit is due, for the 12/26 storm Tony Pann from Channel 11 was only calling for 1-4" while everyone else was calling for much more and as you know he was the only one who was close. Yes, I remember that. It was depressing and I was hoping he was wrong, but Tom Tasselmyer is a great met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 To give credit where credit is due, for the 12/26 storm Tony Pann from Channel 11 was only calling for 1-4" while everyone else was calling for much more and as you know he was the only one who was close. there are certainly a handful of tv mets around here who are pretty good.. in dc bob ryan and doug hill downplayed 12/26 till when everyone jumped on a little... and it was the nws' fault they raised their numbers anyway. the weekend guys are iffy but that's pretty true anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 18Z GFS MOS BWI-.30 DCA-.26-.27 (it has a random .01" the 6 hr period before official start) IAD-.21-.22 (same as above) ILG-.42 MTN-.32 APG-.36 Annapolis-.32 CHO-.15 LAX-.00 Westminster-.30 thanks for the Westminster listing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 there are certainly a handful of tv mets around here who are pretty good.. in dc bob ryan and doug hill downplayed 12/26 till when everyone jumped on a little... and it was the nws' fault they raised their numbers anyway. the weekend guys are iffy but that's pretty true anywhere. Hey I take offense to that weekend comment!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wes said the ratios will probably be 10:1. Stop wishcasting. Fozz, shut up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Hey I take offense to that weekend comment!!! He meant to say most weekend guys . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 there are certainly a handful of tv mets around here who are pretty good.. in dc bob ryan and doug hill downplayed 12/26 till when everyone jumped on a little... and it was the nws' fault they raised their numbers anyway. the weekend guys are iffy but that's pretty true anywhere. He is actually the 3rd string weather guy on Channel 11 here and even while everyone was upping their totals he never waffled and said 1-4", it was actually a pretty impressive call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/lwx/winterstorm/ LWX's computer forecast says 2-3" for everyone, except in Wes-land, where <2". If I understand how this snow forecast works, you divide by 10 to get your actual final amount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 http://www.erh.noaa....wx/winterstorm/ LWX's computer forecast says 2-3" for everyone, except in Wes-land, where <2". If I understand how this snow forecast works, you divide by 10 to get your actual final amount. actually, I think that's more like a general 1-2" with the darker blue 2-3", but I may be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Hey I take offense to that weekend comment!!! You excluded of course. Sorry lol... I don't even watch local tv to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 actually, I think that's more like a general 1-2" with the darker blue 2-3", but I may be wrong Ha! You're right. Even more of a fail coming up than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You excluded of course. Sorry lol... I don't even watch local tv to be honest. Haha I know! Just kidding with ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark304 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I don't think LWX can go wrong predicting 2 inches or so. Looks about right averaging the models. Ah, and the Eagles lost!! Now all i need is for the Steelers to kick the crap out of the Ravens next week and all is well in the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.