mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 someone nyc to bos will get 18+.. book it I just checked Euro MOS and BOS gets exactly 1"qpf and NYC just under w/decent ratios, however, 18" is doable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 You're not afraid we'll lose a good bit of qpf to saturation? Right now my call is 1-3. I'm not sure how sophisticated the euro cloud physics scheme is because some of the more sophisticated schemes take evaporation into account. Now the snow that occurs during daytime, if snowfall rates are light it would keep accumulations down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Kind of curious to see the 18z nam, it's solution was quite different from the other 12z models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I just checked Euro MOS and BOS gets exactly 1"qpf and NYC just under w/decent ratios, however, 18" is doable probably elevation? banding maybe.. this looks to be moving faster than dec 26 so maybe remove the + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Right now my call is 1-3. I'm not sure how sophisticated the euro cloud physics scheme is because some of the more sophisticated schemes take evaporation into account. Now the snow that occurs during daytime, if snowfall rates are light it would keep accumulations down. On the CWG website, will you remind people that there is no need to ransack the Grocery stores over this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colonel Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On the CWG website, will you remind people that there is no need to ransack the Grocery stores over this. Please....Wes is getting paid by Safeway and Wegman's to pump this up. He's getting atleast 3% of sales tomorrow. Need us not forget Leesburg as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Please....Wes is getting paid by Safeway and Wegman's to pump this up. He's getting atleast 3% of sales tomorrow. Need us not forget Leesburg as well... And how much is he paying us you not to talk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 werent you saying we were getting nothing last night? Yes, I am a weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looking at the national radar - If we didn't have models I'd expect a massive storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looking at the national radar - If we didn't have models I'd expect a massive storm! Big southern snowstorms can and do shaft the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Big southern snowstorms can and do shaft the DC area. Am I allowed to pretend that all that moisture is going to stream directly NE? Please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Am I allowed to pretend that all that moisture is going to stream directly NE? Please. You can pretend, but I choose to live in reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Wes/CWG: Our best guess right now for snowfall from Tuesday and Tuesday night's storm is probably in the 1-3" or 2-4" range with an outside chance of getting 4" or more. The heaviest amounts will probably be north and east of the city. http://voices.washin...looks_real.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 Our best guess right now for snowfall from Tuesday and Tuesday night's storm is probably in the 1-3" or 2-4" range with an outside chance of getting 4" or more. The heaviest amounts will probably be north and east of the city. http://voices.washin...looks_real.html so basically 1-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 Mitch...DC has .01 has qpf day 7 with temps below zero. Whats that about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colonel Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Mitch...DC has .01 has qpf day 7 with temps below zero. Whats that about? 250:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Mitch...DC has .01 has qpf day 7 with temps below zero. Whats that about? big storm in the gulf gets squashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 big storm in the gulf gets squashed its right where we want it. What happened to the +8 from last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 so basically 1-5 I would enjoy 3" if NJ/NYC wasn't getting 8-12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 so basically 1-5 Not where you live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Wes/CWG: Our best guess right now for snowfall from Tuesday and Tuesday night's storm is probably in the 1-3" or 2-4" range with an outside chance of getting 4" or more. The heaviest amounts will probably be north and east of the city. http://voices.washin...looks_real.html 40% chance of zippo....yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 Not where you live. Sorry leesburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 40% chance of zippo....yikes Try again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Sorry leesburg I will be anxious to compare totals with those to the East after all is said and done.....you know like the inch we got yesterday morning when the models weren't showing much while the models and "forecasters" were calling for 2-4 in Baltimore....I forget how much did they get? Oh yeah that clipper in December when the models showed nothing for here....oh wait we got 2"...that's right. Yes...I am in full defend my home mode now. I hope it rains in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Try again Yes I know 60% 1-3 and 20% 4" leaves 20% but Wes' words not mine are 40% screw job over at well the other place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Yes I know 60% 1-3 and 20% 4" leaves 20% but Wes' words not mine are 40% screw job over at well the other place. Actually, I dodn't put he 20%. I just agree to the 60% and pushed for that high. I think it should have been 60 percent chance of more than 1 inch, 20 for more than 4. That part of the 60%. I'll got back and look at it and ask Dan to change it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Actually, I dodn't put he 20%. I just agree to the 60% and pushed for that high. I think it should have been 60 percent chance of more than 1 inch, 20 for more than 4. That part of the 60%. I'll got back and look at it and ask Dan to change it. Hey...I'm an editor!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Yes I know 60% 1-3 and 20% 4" leaves 20% but Wes' words not mine are 40% screw job over at well the other place. Actually, I checked and the it does not say 60% of 1-3. It says 60% chance of 1" or more which included the 20% chance of more than 4 inched. The probabilities are not mine alone, it's a consensus. I tend to be on the bullish side of the gang. The editors who have dealt more with the public, tend to be more conservative. When you bust high, you get crushed more than when you bust low. My own feeling is you'll see snow but I doubt it will be in the 4 or 5 inch range. That was why I commented to Ji plus he sounded vaguely like the guy on CWG that didn't like us having a large range with the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Actually, I checked and the it does not say 60% of 1-3. It says 60% chance of 1" or more which included the 20% chance of more than 4 inched. The probabilities are not mine alone, it's a consensus. I tend to be on the bullish side of the gang. The editors who have dealt more with the public, tend to be more conservative. When you bust high, you get crushed more than when you bust low. My own feeling is you'll see snow but I doubt it will be in the 4 or 5 inch range. That was why I commented to Ji plus he sounded vaguely like the guy on CWG that didn't like us having a large range with the last storm. Good lord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Actually, I checked and the if does not say 60% of 1-3. It says 60% chance of 1" or more which included the 20% chance of more than 4 inched. The probabilities are not mine alone, it's a consensus. I tend to be on the bullish side of the gang. The editors who have dealt more with the public, tend to be more conservative. When you bust high, you get crushed more than when you bust low. My won feeling is you'll see snow but I doubt it will be in the 4 or 5 inch range. That was why I commented to Ji plus he sounded vaguely like the guy on CWG that didn't like us having a large range with the last storm. I'm just goofing off Wes...it's how we used to have fun here when storms did us no good. I'm ready for whatever falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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