Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 hr 30 colder over va low a bit east of 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Ji's favorite model sweet, only because its shifting back in our favor like the NAM, though I would be happy with that verifying for sure that's 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I'm thinking now that we may want the southern system to stay as far south as possible to keep the baroclinic zone further south on which the new coastal can form. Maybe it doesn't matter and its all dependent upon the trough in the OV heading east. I don't know. Any mets have the answer? I don't know what we need either. I just hope whatever it is, it happens. If you had been asleep for a week and woke up and saw the national radar and the water vapor loop, wouldn't you think we would have been golden? It just looks like it would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 sweet, only because its shifting back in our favor like the NAM, though I would be happy with that verifying for sure that's 4-6" One thing about that map is that the colors don't line up with what we are used to. That's still only in and around 0.25 inches in our area. Well, maybe better for you. I don't know where you are. It's not much for me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 One thing about that map is that the colors don't line up with what we are used to. That's still only in and around 0.25 inches in our area. Nearly .75 up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 low looks a little east at 42 off nc/sc border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 prety much the same at 36hr closed 1016 low this run not closed last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nearly .75 up here. The colors aren't the same. It is nearly .50 for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 hr 42 low is east a little precip northen extent about the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nearly .75 up here. Yeah, I have a tendency to look only at NoVa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 54 mostly back to where it was just se of nc coastline, perhaps slightly se still.. less precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The colors aren't the same. It is nearly .50 for you. Thanks, Fozz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 60 low just east of hat, precip looks better this panel compared to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 60 low just east of hat, precip looks better this panel compared to 0z Are you going to post amounts? Whether we bump our pops depends on how much the euro has for dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 hr 48 1016 low east of myrtle beach precip extent is further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Are you going to post amounts? Whether we bump our pops depends on how much the euro has for dc. mod snow to DC per PHl thread at 60 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 60 low just east of hat, precip looks better this panel compared to 0z hr 48 1016 low east of myrtle beach precip extent is further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 pretty similar but precip looks up across whole area probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 mod snow to DC per PHl thread at 60 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 hr 60 ric near 0.25 dc 0.10"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 .25" pushed back toward blue ridge in dc area compared to right over dc last run.. .5" still near coastline.. quite similar maybe a fe hundredths increase most places? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 actually, .5 moved west as well.. covers most of area east of bay now was on coast at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I don't know what we need either. I just hope whatever it is, it happens. If you had been asleep for a week and woke up and saw the national radar and the water vapor loop, wouldn't you think we would have been golden? It just looks like it would be great. I know I sound like a broken record but what we need is the H5/H7 energy from the west to track further south. The southern wave is going to wash out, the PV isnt out of the way yet for that to be able to amplify. The amplification will happen with the western trough energy as it swings east. The surface will respond to what that is doing, not the other way around. The track of the SLP along the coast won't matter at all if the energy is not there to support precipitation at the upper levels. Look at the UKMET, has a good surface SLP but its completely dry for us. The inverted trough comes though dry. The reason is it does not develop the OH valley low, but there is no mechanism for precip with the coastal because there is no upper level support, thats back with the H5/H7 low over Ohio. This is really simple, if that energy tracks further south we have a shot. If it does not, we do not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 hr 66 ric 0.25" dc ~0.30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 crushes coastal nj nyc sw ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 .25" pushed back toward blue ridge in dc area compared to right over dc last run.. .5" still near coastline.. quite similar maybe a fe hundredths increase most places? That's good and supports bumping the pops some. I think we're going with 60% chance of an inch or more and 1-3 for the most likely amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Sounds better all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Go Ravens, Go Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 So .25 back to Blue RIdge for DC. VA too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I know I sound like a broken record but what we need is the H5/H7 energy from the west to track further south. The southern wave is going to wash out, the PV isnt out of the way yet for that to be able to amplify. The amplification will happen with the western trough energy as it swings east. The surface will respond to what that is doing, not the other way around. The track of the SLP along the coast won't matter at all if the energy is not there to support precipitation at the upper levels. Look at the UKMET, has a good surface SLP but its completely dry for us. The inverted trough comes though dry. The reason is it does not develop the OH valley low, but there is no mechanism for precip with the coastal because there is no upper level support, thats back with the H5/H7 low over Ohio. This is really simple, if that energy tracks further south we have a shot. If it does not, we do not. For snow? or a big snow? If you are referring to more than 4i inches I agree. If you think we cna't get an inch, then I disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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