Scuddz Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Another 12/26-esque screwing for DC per the NAM - unbelievable. Right, cuz dc got 2-4 inches on Dec. 26. Less talky more learny. I'd take that verification anyday for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 GFS not very exciting. Decent for Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Right, cuz dc got 2-4 inches on Dec. 26. Less talky more learny. I'd take that verification anyday for DC. This looks much much better than 12/26. The slightest shift west based on this run though, would really put us in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 GFS not very exciting. Decent for Baltimore. Pretty dry run across the board for all parties involved from the Midwest to the South to the North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Pretty dry run across the board for all parties involved from the Midwest to the South to the North what exactly are you looking for??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Right, cuz dc got 2-4 inches on Dec. 26. Less talky more learny. I'd take that verification anyday for DC. I'm talking about the overall setup of significantly higher amounts to the south and north of DC, d-bag.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 what exactly are you looking for??? Uh what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Pretty dry run across the board for all parties involved from the Midwest to the South to the North Except for NYC, LI, Conn. and Boston with an inch or more of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Uh what? never mind!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 better than nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Except for NYC, LI, Conn. and Boston with an inch or more of QPF Maybe on cape cod but .75 or so looks like it to me....that seems less than certainly the NAM and other runs....nothing meant by it other than just what the model is putting out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Maybe on cape cod but .75 or so looks like it to me....that seems less than certainly the NAM and other runs....nothing meant by it other than just what the model is putting out. I didn't either...and not saying it will verify, but at 96 on today's 12Z GFS the 72 hr QPF is between 1" and 1.25", that's all I'm saying, just reading the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 700 low moving from Cleveland to Cape Cod is generally not our best track We'll take our 2-3" and like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 700 low moving from Cleveland to Cape Cod is generally not our best track We'll take our 2-3" and like it. if that much??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I didn't either...and not saying it will verify, but at 96 on today's 12Z GFS the 72 hr QPF is between 1" and 1.25", that's all I'm saying, just reading the map. I'll give you Boston and maybe far Eastern Long Island on those totals and we'll call it game.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I liked this morning runs better than yesterday.... Coastal evolution was slower. Now if the 500mb energy can nudge a little more south and cross the apps through central WVA, the coastal will begin to intensify a little further south along the capes, with a better solution here. On the 12Z runs, it crossed allong the Mason Dixon Line. better than north of Pittsburgh on the 0Z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 UKMET way east. Mostly a miss for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 ggem drops the second low 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The GGEM is compelling. Still not great, I suppose. This looks like another very close miss for our area. Should hurt pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazdog Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Good morning all....new here and still trying to learn. Earlier this week someone posted this link http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/index_ref_s_loop.shtml I was wondering if a similar link for the EURO is available Thank You Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The GGEM is compelling. Still not great, I suppose. This looks like another very close miss for our area. Should hurt pretty bad. well at least it has shading over the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Good morning all....new here and still trying to learn. Earlier this week someone posted this link http://www.nco.ncep....ef_s_loop.shtml I was wondering if a similar link for the EURO is available Thank You Checkout Allen's site here... or go to the top right of this page, click " go to" and click on "model data" http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwf.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 700 low moving from Cleveland to Cape Cod is generally not our best track We'll take our 2-3" and like it. I was thinking 1-3 though just east and north or Baltimore might get more. I don't think the snow ratios will be that good since the depth of the clouds aren't very impressive so we probalby ony get 10 to 1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I'll give you Boston and maybe far Eastern Long Island on those totals and we'll call it game.... LOL.....good enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I was thinking 1-3 though just east and north or Baltimore might get more. I don't think the snow ratios will be that good since the depth of the clouds aren't very impressive so we probalby ony get 10 to 1 ratios. I just told my boss, and people who rely on me for this stuff, that St Mary's Co, MD,... KG Co, Va,... Richmond,... and F Burg, may struggle to reach 2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Lets make a petition to ban talking of the UKMET...its horrendous it is always the far eastern solution....United Kingdom sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I can't believe we have been keeping tabs on this since before New Years all for a forecast of 1 to 3 inches while areas to our south and north (again) get snow. Depressing, considering I can't even recall one snowfall last year that gave us *only* 1 to 3 inches except for maybe the first one last Dec. 5. I'm holding out hope and going with a forecast of 2 to 4 inches for DC and 3 to 5 for Baltimore on North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I just told my boss, and people who rely on me for this stuff, that St Mary's Co, MD,... KG Co, Va,... Richmond,... and F Burg, may struggle to reach 2 inches St Mary's county and maybe KG county may even have mixing issues if the NAM (or something like it) verifies. Last night's 00z NAM at PAX NAS had 4.7°C at 4200 ft with a sfc temp of -1°C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I can't believe we have been keeping tabs on this since before New Years all for a forecast of 1 to 3 inches while areas to our south and north (again) get snow. Depressing, considering I can't even recall one snowfall last year that gave us *only* 1 to 3 inches except for maybe the first one last Dec. 5. I'm holding out hope and going with a forecast of 2 to 4 inches for DC and 3 to 5 for Baltimore on North. Last yr was a once a century winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 FWIW the GFS long range is stinking cold....is that stuff ever coming? Boston .74 NYC .72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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